Well yesterday was the first day with any involvement for a few days & it could have been a winning one with TATTING 9/2 EW who ended up finishing second, but whom missed the break at the start & therfore surrendered any good position in the running, forced to go widest of all & ran on strongly to finish up second a length behind the winner & im sure im not the only one who feel had he got the right start & been able to take up a better position he could have easily won given the turn of foot he showed in the last 2 furlongs to come from right out the back, not the end of the world as 9/2 EW meant stake returned but still a little disappointing none the less given the run. Onto today & it looks another day best watched on the whole, there is one bet at Carlisle which does look of interest & looks worth a small investment on a day where nothing really serious seems viable.
Carlisle -
15:50 SWALEDALE LAD 10/3 WIN = LOST
This 6 year old gelding has taken to fences pretty well this season & is yet to finish outside the top 3. He looks to have come on from each run so far & there is nothing to say he couldn't come on further. Last time out over today's trip of 2 miles & in the same class 3 company was probably his best show over fences when he was beaten 3 & a bit lengths into 2nd by a really well fancied Charlie Longsdon runner so didn't lose anything in defeat & was 11 lengths clear of the remainder. That run last time out came on good ground & a return to forecast soft ground here looks a positive since he was twice a good winner over hurdles on ground worse than good (once soft, once heavy) so that should play to his strengths. The majority of the field are attempting fences for the first time here today so his has an experience edge over the majority of his rivals & while a few of the competitors were pretty decent over hurdles they may just need this first run now tackling the larger obstacles. Most of the field are also making their seasonal reappearance today so again may just need this first run before they get really competitive, where as SWALEDALE LAD posted a good effort over fences just under 3 weeks ago. The one to fear the most could be Blackwater King who is likely to be popular in the market & has some decent form over timber, running for the powerful Mccain yard could be ready to go well first time over fences but in my eyes SWALEDALE LAD's experience (decent experience at that) makes him a stronger candidate. SWALEDALE would be carrying top weight but regular conditional rider Harry Shalloner takes off 5lb so he looks nicely weighted. All in all SWALEDALE LAD comes with the most experience profile & with conditions that look very much to suit he looks capable of posting a good effort. While this is perhaps the sort of bet i would usually advise EW it doesn't look like he will be a market drifter & should be well supported so at an early price of 10/3 he looks worth a smallish punt on the nose.
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