Having gone through today's cards it looks another poor day for the most, however there does look to be a few selections that catch the eye & look worth the bet.
Southwell -
16:40 - COUSIN GUILLAUME 5/2 WIN = LOST (3rd)
Karen Mclintocks 4 yo gelding comes into this for just his second start after a promising debut run (finishing 3rd) over 2 miles 1 furlong at Kelso back at the start of October. Considering that was his debut he shaped pretty well to finish 3rd of 12 & seemed to know his job 7 finishing 6 lengths clear of the field. That race came in a class 5, now drops into a class 6. The drop back from 17f to 16f doesn't look as though it should inconvenience him. The main concern would have to be that he hasn't faced easing ground but considering he is entered around this time of year would suggest it might not be too much of a problem but nevertheless it does have to be a slight worry. Of those runners with form he definitely looks the strongest considering he posted a decent effort in what looks a stronger race than any other runners else in the race have encountered. The booking of Richard Johnson is always an added positive also. A couple of the debutants could have something to offer & the market is certainly getting behind the points winner Truckers Steal who makes his rules debut. For me though considering COUSIN GUILLAUMES debut run in a class 5 showed plenty of promise, he would be a worthy favourite so the fact that he is a 5/2 second fav in the early market means he is of some value & if taking to the soft ground could run a decent race & go close. Overall considering all the hard evidence he looks worth a small punt.
Wolverhampton -
17:40 - DARING DRAGON WIN 5/6 = WON
This Ed Walker trained gelding comes into this race for just his 4th appearance & has shaped with definite promise on his last two outings finishing 2nd on both of those occasions. Last time out over C&D he finished a 3/4 length second behind an odds on Roger Varian trained favourite. Considering that was his first run for 289 days he was certainly not disgraced & finished a clear 6 lengths ahead of the remainder of the field. That first run for a long while could have definitely sharpened him up & coming into this one he looks to have been found a very good opportunity to lay down a big challenge once more. The opposition faced today don't really look any more appealing than those he beat home last time out & of the other runners those who look the main dangers are Tiger Jim & Speedfit Boy. The latter has posted some placed efforts in weak handicaps but has had plenty of chances to get off the mark & is also yet to be raced on the AW, so all in all he looks vulnerable to a less exposed sort such as DARING DRAGON, Tiger Jim has only had the one run where he stayed on over 8f at Kempton to finish 4th & the manner in which he did so would suggest that he will perhaps be suited by further & the drop back to 7f doesn't look an obvious positive. It is possible to judge these wrong but all things considered DARING DRAGON brings the most solid credentials forward & if repeating his effort from last time out he could go close once more. Despite the short price still looks worth the bet.
18:10 - PRIGSNOV DANCER E/W 9/1(10/1 SP) = WON
Class 7 handicap here over 7 furlongs & there are certainly quite a few who would make appeal for one reason or another, but on that does stand out at a decent price is PRIGSNOV DANCER. DJ Sandersons 8 year old gelding has been running consistently of late in handicaps, posting two 2nds & two 3rds in his last 4 runs. His second to last run came here at Wolves & he ran a decent 2nd over 6 furlongs. He kept on well that day to finish second close home so the extra furlong here could be a positive. On the whole that race & indeed his other recent runs have come against higher rated horses than facing tonight. Like with most handicaps there are plenty of runners who could go well but if PRIGSNOV DANCER can maintain his good recent form then he can go well again under his 7lb claiming jockey, 9/1 looks a nice price & looks well worth a small punt on him to reach the place money.
No comments:
Post a Comment