Exeter -
15:50 SILVER COMMANDER = LOST (2nd) & 16:20 RAYVIN BLACK = WON - BOTH TO WIN DOUBLE 5/2 = LOST
Starting with the first race, 3 mile chase contested by 4 runners & SILVER COMMANDER brings into it a pretty solid profile having finished runner up on both of his chase starts to date & this looks on the face of it his easiest test so far over fences. His best piece of form was when chasing home a subsequent hat trick winner on his debut over today's of trip 24 furlongs at Ludlow in a class 3 (class 4 today), Jumping pretty well & all round running with plenty of respect, finishing in front of 3 rivals rated in the 130's in doing so. Last time out he ran well again over a trip of 22 furlongs, only beaten by a couple of lengths to a high 120's rated Paul Nicholls horse & had that race been over today's 3 mile he might have won. Comes back into this from a 132 day break so providing he is fit enough he looks definitely to be the solid form option. Yet to race on today's good to firm but that debut run came on good ground & it was his better performance of the 2 so there shouldn't be any real problems on that front. Will also have to carry top weight Dawn Commander & Virginia Ash look the main threats here but are both yet to show any real promise over fences, with the former running well over hurdles but on 3 chase appearances last season was disappointing & certainly has questions to answer over his jumping, Similarly Virginia Ash didn't live up to favouritism on her chasing debut & unseated the rider at the third & although he should do better than that i think he could come up short against SILVER COMMANDER who overall brings a nice profile forward & this looks a good opportunity for him, if ready after his break & repeating his decent jumping again here then he looks the best option.
Onto the second & that comes in the next race, a 2 mile 1 furlong novice hurdle where similarly to the first selection RAYVIN BLACK brings forward a very steady profile, having had 4 starts over hurdles so far posting figures of 2212. Last time out he finished a decent 2nd of 9 runners in this class over today's trip at Market Rasen & before that he was a tidy winner of a 14 runner maiden. Today looks to be perhaps his easiest task yet in novice company with not many others in this line up showing too much promise in the hurdling sphere. Will have to shoulder top weight here but he looks as though he can handle it as he carried close to top weight last time out in what looked a better race & he ran well. The main danger looks to be Rayes Mavos & it would be hard to get really excited about his prospects since he has been well beaten on both his hurdles appearances to date all be it on softer ground but i think he would have to show real improvement to get seriously involved. The newcomer Frozen Over is an interesting runner & is likely to have support since he was a useful stayer on the flat but again i think he would have to put down a big debut run over hurdles to win this. All in all this looks a good opening for RAYVIN BLACK & like the above if ready to go fresh after a break & repeating his steady hurdle form so far then he has a very good chance. While both picks are short in the market at odds on, together as a double at 5/2 looks decent value & is worth the bet in my eyes.
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