Yesterday was nothing short of a poor day all round, however the results perhaps don't really tell the full story. 2 out of the 4 simply didn't perform & thats that, SURPRISE VENDOR fell midway through his race after going well in touch which was frustrating as whether or not he would have won won't be known. VINTAGE STAR ran a real good race in the Welsh National but couldn't sustain his challenge inside the final furlong & was narrowly touched out of the places, which left for a disappointing day resulting in around a 12 point loss. Racing is fluid & ever changing, as a result the sport throws up surprises & nobody gets it right all the time (despite what some might claim), the bad days go hand in hand with the good days & the Blog has seen plenty of good days in these first 6 months, so we move onto the next & see what happens. Just the one selection today up at the Doncaster meeting.
Doncaster -
12:40 - ROBBIE - 1.5 Point EW @ 13/2
Keith Reveley's 9 year old ROBBIE still looks very much unexposed over fences & can go well here for his trainer/jockey combination who enjoy a profitable strike rate at this venue. A 9 length hurdles winner over C&D last season & a winner on his second start over fences in a class 4 chase on his final start last season over today's trip at Huntingdon. Retained the winning thread on his seasonal bow when upped to a class 3 chase (class 3 today) over 2m 4f at Musselburgh in November. Kept up the good form when returned to hurdles last time out over C&D in a class 2 event, running a good race in defeat finishing a close up 3rd in behind a couple of decent sorts. Both trainer & jockey have a good strike rate around Doncaster & are both having a decent season thus far. A case could be made certainly for a few of the opposition but ROBBIE still remains unexposed over fences & his proven form over C&D should hold him in good stead. Forecast ground should be of no concern, although he's unraced on ground worse than soft so probably wouldn't want further rain. This gelding is in good hands around here & if able to repeat his already useful form so far this season then he could well go close at a nice EW price.
Saturday 28th December 2013 - Daily Tips
Yesterday afternoon's 3 tips made for poor viewing after they all failed to produce the goods, typically both the EW bets finished 4th also. The 2 evening tips in the 18:25 at Wolverhampton (tipped up in twitter) turned the day nicely around & brought about profit after finishing 1st & 2nd @ prices of 12/1 EW & 11/1 EW. Onto today & another decent day's racing looks on the cards, few tips that look worthwhile also so here they are;
Newbury -
13:45 - SHANTOU MAGIC - 1.5 Points EW @ 6/1 = LOST (4th)
Charlie Longsdon's lightly raced 6 year old, comes into this fascinating grade 1 contest for only his 4th racecourse outing. Has won both his hurdle starts to date & despite them coming in much weaker affairs he could hardly have been more impressive, running out a wide margin winner after being heavily eased on both occasions. Similar conditions faced here as on his first start over hurdles so he should feel at home. No doubt about it that the opposition faced here are all very decent & by far the best he has faced to date; however, he looks the one who could have the most improvement in him & can continue progressing for his top jockey/trainer combination. Despite only 2 places paid he looks the best value for filling one of them.
Catterick -
14:25 - SURPRISE VENDOR - 3 Point Win @ 3/1 = LOST (FELL 5th fence)
Been in tremendous form over fences for trainer Stuart Coltherd since making seasonal reappearance in early November, notching up two wins from his last two & looking steadily progressive in doing so. Those 2 runs have come over 17f & 18f, running out an easy winner on both occasions. On each of those runs he looked as though he had plenty more to give & proved that he can perform well under today's forecast conditions. This is his toughest task yet but certainly looks on the upward curve & with ridden by 7lb claimer puts him at the foot of the weights. The drop to 2 miles today doesn't look to be an obvious negative & if turning up here in the same mood as his last 2 runs then there is no reason why he cannot run another big race.
Chepstow -
14:35 - VINTAGE STAR - 1 Point EW @ 12/1 = LOST (6th/20) & TOUR DES CHAMPS - 0.75 Points EW @ 16/1 = LOST (pulled up)
The Welsh National is usually an open looking affair & this years renewal doesn't look anything different with 20 runners set to go to post the market looks typically open. In this sort of big field handicap staying chase races it's usually not wise to put endless effort in, but better to pick a few out that look good & hope for the best. First up Sue Smith's 7 year old has looked in good knick on both his outings so far this season, the pick of which came last time out when losing out narrowly in listed company, he showed plenty of progression with that effort & there could well be more to come now upped to this stamina emphasized trip. Proven on the ground & will carry less weight today so no reason why he shouldn't give his running once more. TOUR DES CHAMPS for the Twiston-Davies team is another who can potentially go well here. A respectable 4th in last season's Scottish National & ran out a respectable runner up of valuable Cheltenham handicap on his reappearance in October. Failed to justify favouritism next time out at, again at Cheltenham but that came over 28f & the manner in which he stayed on in 6th late in race indicates that he the return to the more testing trip could have a positive effect here. Another who's proven in the conditions & off a lowly weight here could have a decent run in him.
15:10 - GET IT ON - 1.5 Points EW @ 6/1 = LOST (5th)
Evan Williams' gelding has been in impressive form on his last 2 runs & this progressive looking sort could have a shout here if taking this step up in grade in his stride. A winner on both starts so far this season, including a 35 length victory over C&D on seasonal reappearance before winning easily once more next time out under a penalty 3 days later. No doubt this race is much tougher but it would come as no surprise that after those impressive victories his trainer has aimed him at a race of this sort. Proven form on this testing ground & ridden once more by 7lb conditional Conor Ring which see's this gelding sit nicely towards the foot of the weights. If capable of building on some promising performances so far this season then he can go well again & looks worth the EW money.
Newbury -
13:45 - SHANTOU MAGIC - 1.5 Points EW @ 6/1 = LOST (4th)
Charlie Longsdon's lightly raced 6 year old, comes into this fascinating grade 1 contest for only his 4th racecourse outing. Has won both his hurdle starts to date & despite them coming in much weaker affairs he could hardly have been more impressive, running out a wide margin winner after being heavily eased on both occasions. Similar conditions faced here as on his first start over hurdles so he should feel at home. No doubt about it that the opposition faced here are all very decent & by far the best he has faced to date; however, he looks the one who could have the most improvement in him & can continue progressing for his top jockey/trainer combination. Despite only 2 places paid he looks the best value for filling one of them.
Catterick -
14:25 - SURPRISE VENDOR - 3 Point Win @ 3/1 = LOST (FELL 5th fence)
Been in tremendous form over fences for trainer Stuart Coltherd since making seasonal reappearance in early November, notching up two wins from his last two & looking steadily progressive in doing so. Those 2 runs have come over 17f & 18f, running out an easy winner on both occasions. On each of those runs he looked as though he had plenty more to give & proved that he can perform well under today's forecast conditions. This is his toughest task yet but certainly looks on the upward curve & with ridden by 7lb claimer puts him at the foot of the weights. The drop to 2 miles today doesn't look to be an obvious negative & if turning up here in the same mood as his last 2 runs then there is no reason why he cannot run another big race.
Chepstow -
14:35 - VINTAGE STAR - 1 Point EW @ 12/1 = LOST (6th/20) & TOUR DES CHAMPS - 0.75 Points EW @ 16/1 = LOST (pulled up)
The Welsh National is usually an open looking affair & this years renewal doesn't look anything different with 20 runners set to go to post the market looks typically open. In this sort of big field handicap staying chase races it's usually not wise to put endless effort in, but better to pick a few out that look good & hope for the best. First up Sue Smith's 7 year old has looked in good knick on both his outings so far this season, the pick of which came last time out when losing out narrowly in listed company, he showed plenty of progression with that effort & there could well be more to come now upped to this stamina emphasized trip. Proven on the ground & will carry less weight today so no reason why he shouldn't give his running once more. TOUR DES CHAMPS for the Twiston-Davies team is another who can potentially go well here. A respectable 4th in last season's Scottish National & ran out a respectable runner up of valuable Cheltenham handicap on his reappearance in October. Failed to justify favouritism next time out at, again at Cheltenham but that came over 28f & the manner in which he stayed on in 6th late in race indicates that he the return to the more testing trip could have a positive effect here. Another who's proven in the conditions & off a lowly weight here could have a decent run in him.
15:10 - GET IT ON - 1.5 Points EW @ 6/1 = LOST (5th)
Evan Williams' gelding has been in impressive form on his last 2 runs & this progressive looking sort could have a shout here if taking this step up in grade in his stride. A winner on both starts so far this season, including a 35 length victory over C&D on seasonal reappearance before winning easily once more next time out under a penalty 3 days later. No doubt this race is much tougher but it would come as no surprise that after those impressive victories his trainer has aimed him at a race of this sort. Proven form on this testing ground & ridden once more by 7lb conditional Conor Ring which see's this gelding sit nicely towards the foot of the weights. If capable of building on some promising performances so far this season then he can go well again & looks worth the EW money.
Friday 27th December 2013 - Daily Tips
Boxing day was a mixed bag in terms of picks which ultimately ended in small profit thanks to the last of the 3 tips winning at 7/1. Onto today & a few more selections that looks decent value.
18:25 - Wolverhampton (Tipped on twitter in evening) - EXCELLENT PUCK - 0.5 Points EW @ 11/1 = PLACED (2nd) & BERLUSCA - 0.5 Points EW @ 11/1 (12/1 SP) = WON
Kempton -
14:00 - SCHOLASTICA - 2.5 Point Win @ 4/1 = LOST
This 6 year old mare has performed very creditably since making her seasonal reappearance two runs back. On that reappearance she won over 2 m 6f at Ascot, travelling well before being driven out towards the finish. Last time out at Sandown she was dropped to 2m 4f which didn't look ideal, she ran respectably finishing third of 12 runners, staying on well towards the finish. Both of these runs would suggest that the step up to 3 miles here can have a positive effect. This previous heavy ground winner should be well suited to these conditions so there doesn't seem any reason why he cannot continue the good form already shown this season.
Wetherby -
14:50 - BLUE COVE - 1 Point EW @ 10/1 = LOST (4th)
Lynn Siddall's BLUE COVE has been in some decent form of late, posting 2 placed efforts over 3 miles at Towcester recently. Both of those outings have come in similar races to this & have seen him stay on well towards the finish without quite being able to get to the winner, this would suggest that the extra furlong here today could play to his strengths. Similar ground conditions as those forecast today have been faced the last twice, so there should be no cause for concern on that front. This Yorkshire based trainer has a decent record at this venue & today looks a good opportunity to boost her percentages. Looks well in at the weights & seems to have a decent EW chance.
Leicester -
15:15 - WILY FOX - 1 Point EW @ 7/1 = LOST (4th)
Once a winner on the flat, James Eustace's 6 year old gelding still looks relatively unexposed as a hurdler at this trip. A convincing winner of a Market Rasen conditional handicap in October, this strong traveller performed with credit once again when finishing 3rd over 2m 5f last time out. It didn't look like he got the trip that day & the drop back to 2 miles today looks a favourable one. Trainer has a respectable record over hurdles & the booking of Kieran Edgar looks a positive one since he was on board for that impressive Market Rasen win & he claims a handy 7lb which leaves WILY FOX well in at the weights. 7/1 looks a nice price & if building on some decent runs so far this season then he should make a decent claim for the places.
18:25 - Wolverhampton (Tipped on twitter in evening) - EXCELLENT PUCK - 0.5 Points EW @ 11/1 = PLACED (2nd) & BERLUSCA - 0.5 Points EW @ 11/1 (12/1 SP) = WON
Kempton -
14:00 - SCHOLASTICA - 2.5 Point Win @ 4/1 = LOST
This 6 year old mare has performed very creditably since making her seasonal reappearance two runs back. On that reappearance she won over 2 m 6f at Ascot, travelling well before being driven out towards the finish. Last time out at Sandown she was dropped to 2m 4f which didn't look ideal, she ran respectably finishing third of 12 runners, staying on well towards the finish. Both of these runs would suggest that the step up to 3 miles here can have a positive effect. This previous heavy ground winner should be well suited to these conditions so there doesn't seem any reason why he cannot continue the good form already shown this season.
Wetherby -
14:50 - BLUE COVE - 1 Point EW @ 10/1 = LOST (4th)
Lynn Siddall's BLUE COVE has been in some decent form of late, posting 2 placed efforts over 3 miles at Towcester recently. Both of those outings have come in similar races to this & have seen him stay on well towards the finish without quite being able to get to the winner, this would suggest that the extra furlong here today could play to his strengths. Similar ground conditions as those forecast today have been faced the last twice, so there should be no cause for concern on that front. This Yorkshire based trainer has a decent record at this venue & today looks a good opportunity to boost her percentages. Looks well in at the weights & seems to have a decent EW chance.
Leicester -
15:15 - WILY FOX - 1 Point EW @ 7/1 = LOST (4th)
Once a winner on the flat, James Eustace's 6 year old gelding still looks relatively unexposed as a hurdler at this trip. A convincing winner of a Market Rasen conditional handicap in October, this strong traveller performed with credit once again when finishing 3rd over 2m 5f last time out. It didn't look like he got the trip that day & the drop back to 2 miles today looks a favourable one. Trainer has a respectable record over hurdles & the booking of Kieran Edgar looks a positive one since he was on board for that impressive Market Rasen win & he claims a handy 7lb which leaves WILY FOX well in at the weights. 7/1 looks a nice price & if building on some decent runs so far this season then he should make a decent claim for the places.
Thursday 26th December 2013 - Daily Tips
Busiest race day of the calendar year today with 11 meetings scheduled to go ahead even after 2 meetings have fallen to the weather, but despite it being a big day of racing it's not my style to go crazy & try to tip something at every meeting, so i have kept things minimalistic as usual & have gone for 3 selections that all look worthwhile.
Kempton Park -
12:50 - DUBAI PRINCE - 4 Point Win @ 7/4 = LOST (Pulled up)
This looks a decent novice hurdle on paper & no doubt a case could be made for several of these runners but for me the one who stands out the most is DUBAI PRINCE, who could hardly have been more impressive on hurdling debut a month ago. Once a winner at group 3 level on the flat, John Ferguson's 5 year old made a winning start over hurdles last time out at Leicester over today's trip of a 2 miles. That race was undoubtedly a weaker affair but he jumped slickly & shot clear to win by 6 lengths after never having to be asked by jockey Dennis O'Regan, winning in a manner that suggested he had plenty more to give. That was he first racecourse appearance for over 450 so he is entitled to be plenty sharper for it. This isn't a gimme by no means with some smart performers also going to post but DUBAI PRINCE showed real promise first time out & with improvement likely he looks one to side with.
15:45 - JUNCTION FOURTEEN - 1.5 Points EW @ 7/1 = WON
Emma Lavelle has been enjoying a fine season so far & she looks to hold decent claims here with the lightly raced JUNCTION FOURTEEN. The 4 year old makes only his 4th racecourse appearance today & has performed with plenty of credit, showing progression with each run so far. There seems no reason why he cannot continue that improvement now switching his attention to handicaps, last time out over 2m 4f in a novice event he ran a good race to win late on by a head, staying on strongly in the final stages which would indicate that the extra furlong today should have further positive impact. Leighton Aspell gets the ride today, a jockey who has been in good form recently himself & has a strike rate of 37.50 % when teaming up with Emma Lavelle. 14 runners due to go for this one but JUNCTION FOURTEEN looks easily the least exposed & has shown steady improvement each run so far, which means it would come of no surprise to see him improve further & run a big race here with conditions looking set to suit. The early 7/1 looks a nice price & is worth getting on EW.
Wolverhampton -
15:45 - TAXIFORMISSBYRON - 1.5 Points EW @ 6/1 = LOST (4th)
Regular readers will remember that i tipped this horse last friday, since he looked to have been found a good opportunity to go close off a price which looked far too big (16/1 SP), he put in a good performance to run out the eventual 2nd returning nice EW money. This 3 times AW winner took the route back into handicap company nicely after some efforts that didn't best reflect him in claimers, that race came in 0-65 company & the drop into 0-60 company today makes him appealing. His rating has slipped to 60 & is as low as it has been since october, so realistically he looks capable of taking a race like this from his current mark. Admittedly this is low grade stuff & horses at this level often fail to confirm on what looks promising form, if that proves to be the case here then so be it. For me though this looks like a nice opening for TAXIFORMISSBYRON to go close once more, if turning up in similar mood as last friday then there's no reason why he shouldn't be getting involved.
Thursday 26th December 2013 (Boxing Day) - King George VI Preview
The 23rd, 24th & 25th December bring about a quiet period for punters with no racing over these 3 days; However, this drought is ended in some style on the 26th when boxing day brings along the busiest day in the racing calendar & despite two meetings already being abandoned as a result of the weather there are still 11 cards scheduled across Britain & Ireland for punters to get stuck into. The Highlight of which is none other than The King George VI chase from Kempton Park, a race which is only second in stature to Cheltenham's famous Gold Cup.
The King George VI has been won by some of the great chasers over the years, the likes of; Arkle, Silver Buck, Wayward Lad & Desert Orchid have all been victorious in this historic race. See More Business & Kauto Star are a few of the big names from the modern era to also take this prestigious prize, both of which have trained by Paul Nicholls who has dominated this race in recent years, claiming 5 of the last 7 runnings all with the Magnificent Kauto Star & once again the Somerset trainer looks to have a strong hand this year with two entrants among a select field of only 9 runners.
There may only be 9 runners who go to post for this years renewal but when you consider that 5 of 9 runners are previous winners at Grade 1 level & 3 of the other 4 have won at Grade 1 level as a novice, there can be no denying that this is a race full of top quality performers. Current champion trainer Nicky Henderson will be hoping for back to back success in this race as he saddles 2 runners including last years winner Long Run who bids to become only the 4th horse to take the race for a third time. It seems worthwhile to bear in mind that plenty of these horse have run against each other on several previous occasions & have beaten each other in various different combinations which is why the punting in the early market looks very tight & for horses who know each other very well it could be a race where the tactics of the jockeys play a big role.
Runner by runner preview (each runner given a rating between 1-10) -
AL FEROF - The first of the Paul Nicholls duo, a winning grade 1 hurdler & a horse who looks fairly unexposed as a chaser at this level. Wasn't seen on course for just over a year before making his reappearance in a Grade 2 Chase at Ascot back in November, while he did look well that day he only had 1 other rival to race against & although the job was seen out well winning by a comfortable 8 lengths it was hard to gage really where he is at considering the horse defeated was rated 18lbs his inferior, although that horse has gone on since to finish 2nd in a valuable handicap chase at Cheltenham. Before that year long absence though Nicholls gelding was last seen winning the Paddy Power Gold Cup at Cheltenham in November 2012. On that occasion he carried top weight to stay on strongly & win by 3 lengths, the manner in which he gained that victory gave the impression that he stays very well & that the step up to 3 miles today for the first time should play to his strengths. Interesting to see that he's the choice of stable jockey Daryl Jacob & it's unlikely Nicholls would have entered him here if he wasn't at the required level, dangerous to dismiss stepping up in trip.
Overall Rating = 8
CHAMPION COURT - 4th in this race last year & Martin Keighley's gelding has put in plenty of respectable efforts since then, including a win in grade 2 company at this year's Cheltenham festival & a respectable 7th in the Paddy Power Gold Cup carrying one of the top weights on seasonal reappearance. Last time out he finished a half length 2nd behind another of today's runners Riverside Theatre in the Peterborough chase (grade 2) at Huntingdon recently, that was a respectable run & but for a mistake at the last he may have gone closer. Only previous try at 3 miles was in this race last year & despite finishing 4th he was some way of the leaders, so there has to be a question mark over whether he can stay the trip as well as some of these. Yet to win at grade 1 level & while he could improve on that latest run it looks as though improvement would certainly be required if he was to seriously get involved here. Overall Rating = 4
CUE CARD - The Tizzard stable's star could only manage 5th in this race last year but since then has been in great form, taking 3 grade 1 contests & finishing 2nd in another, including a win at this year's Cheltenham festival. His Most notable performance came last time out when impressively winning the betfair chase at Haydock after being stepped up to 3 mile 1 furlong for the first time, proving that he stays the trip really well by strongly powering clear to beat Dynaste by 4 & a half lengths. He was impressive in the betfair so is fully deserved of coming here as the early favourite. The Tizzard's have said in a report that "he has come out of the Haydock race really well & that he was in his comfort zone over the longer trip". Overall he has proven himself as a top performer at this level & if turning up in the same form as last time he should undoubtedly be in the mix. Overall Rating = 9
DYNASTE - David Pipe's gelding was one of the top novice chasers from last season, boasting a record of 111212 from his last 6 appearances including a 9 length win over C&D in the Feltham novices chase on boxing day last year. Proved that he was still going in the right direction when making his seasonal reappearance in his biggest test yet last time out when running very respectably behind Cue Card in the Betfair at Haydock. Given that the Betfair was his first run of the season & in the best race he has face to date he performed with real credit & showed that he is probably still improving, it is highly likely that he will be better for that run & it wouldn't be at surprising to see show further improvement here. He has proven form around the track & with further rain forecast this can play to his strengths. Can improve again & has to be seen as one of the big players. Overall Rating = 10
LONG RUN - Not seen at his best since winning this race 12 months ago & looking though he could be vulnerable once again now facing the prospect of some young improving types. He beat 3 of today's field in this race last year & while he pulled 14 lengths clear with the second place horse to gain a hard fought victory he hasn't been able to go on from that form & is still searching for his next win. Was sent off the 4-5 favourite on seasonal reappearance in a grade 2 at Wetherby & finished well down the field some 40 lengths of the eventual winner. Last time out despite improving on his first run he could only manage 4th in the Betfair chase & was some 15 lengths behind the front 3 who all go in today's race. Jockey Sam Waley-Cohen has said that "as he get's older he takes longer to get fit" so realistically Nicky Henderson's gelding should be better off having had 2 runs now this season & now the visor is fitted for the first time so it wouldn't be a surprise to see him improve. At early prices of around 10/1 he could be worth an EW shout, but a return to his form of old looks desperately needed. Overall Rating = 6
MENORAH - A grade 1 winner as a novice back in April 2012 but since then Phillipp Hobbs' charge has failed to really land a blow at the top level & looks a rightful outsider in this field. The fact that the 8 year old is making his seasonal reappearance in this race also looks a negative & it's hard to envisage that he could be up to level of some of these who have had the benefit of a run or two before this. Last time out he finished 3 parts of a length behind Champion Court back at the Cheltenham festival in April, on that form he looks held by a rival who looks an unlikely winner himself. Has finished a long way behind both Cue Card & Silviniaco Conti on previous occasions & it would be a big surprise is he could seriously get involved in here. Looks best watched. Overall Rating = 3
MOUNT BENBULBEN - Gordon Elliot enters Ireland's only runner here & despite a convincing winner of a grade 1 novice chase at Punchestown towards the end of last season that form looks some way off the what would be required to win this. Made his seasonal reappearance at the beginning of November at Down Royal but seemed to be struggling halfway before unseating his rider. Should be better off & no doubt his trainer has got him right after that but looks another who is a deserved outsider & it would be a surprise to see him get involved with the big players in this one. Overall Rating = 2
RIVERSIDE THEATRE - 2nd to Long Run in this race in 2011, Nicky Henderson's other entrant in the is another who seems to have slipped under the radar somewhat but it shouldn't be forgotten than this 9 year old is 3 times a winner at Grade 1 level & showed signs last time out on his seasonal reappearance that he could be coming back to his best. Winner of the Ryanair chase at the 2012 Cheltenham festival but after that disappointed in his further races that season & was only seen twice last season where he failed to produce on either occasion. During his recent off season break he underwent a breathing operation which to all seemed to have had the desired effects when he stayed on gamely to win the grade 2 Peterborough chase on his reappearance beating Champion Court by half a length. He is entitled to be better off for that win & comes here looking a far better prospect than he did in this race last year. For win purposes he might not be at the level some of these are but he can certainly build on that latest win with the first time blinkers fitted here so shouldn't be discounted. All in all if he's back to near his best then can perhaps get involved at likely bigger odds than most, could be worth the EW money. Overall Rating = 7
SILVINIACO CONTI - Winner of the 2011 Betfair Chase (grade 1) beating Long Run by the best part of 3 lengths, also going well in last seasons Gold Cup when fell 3 out. Made a pleasing seasonal reappearance in this season Betfair chase behind Cue Card & Dynaste, like the latter that was his first run of the season so he should be a lot sharper for it. Has previous winning form around this C&D to his name which should hold him in good stead. Has proved he can cut it at this level & with improvement likely after a respectable effort last time out he is no back number here as the early market would suggest (5/1), Can go well for top trainer with an excellent record in this race & wouldn't be a surprise to see him get seriously involved.
Overall Rating = 8
As with most of the big grade 1 chases this should be a great race to watch unfold. Any feedback on this review would be greatly appreciated as always, either use the comments below or get in touch via twitter; @tipsfromchirpy.
The King George VI has been won by some of the great chasers over the years, the likes of; Arkle, Silver Buck, Wayward Lad & Desert Orchid have all been victorious in this historic race. See More Business & Kauto Star are a few of the big names from the modern era to also take this prestigious prize, both of which have trained by Paul Nicholls who has dominated this race in recent years, claiming 5 of the last 7 runnings all with the Magnificent Kauto Star & once again the Somerset trainer looks to have a strong hand this year with two entrants among a select field of only 9 runners.
There may only be 9 runners who go to post for this years renewal but when you consider that 5 of 9 runners are previous winners at Grade 1 level & 3 of the other 4 have won at Grade 1 level as a novice, there can be no denying that this is a race full of top quality performers. Current champion trainer Nicky Henderson will be hoping for back to back success in this race as he saddles 2 runners including last years winner Long Run who bids to become only the 4th horse to take the race for a third time. It seems worthwhile to bear in mind that plenty of these horse have run against each other on several previous occasions & have beaten each other in various different combinations which is why the punting in the early market looks very tight & for horses who know each other very well it could be a race where the tactics of the jockeys play a big role.
Runner by runner preview (each runner given a rating between 1-10) -
AL FEROF - The first of the Paul Nicholls duo, a winning grade 1 hurdler & a horse who looks fairly unexposed as a chaser at this level. Wasn't seen on course for just over a year before making his reappearance in a Grade 2 Chase at Ascot back in November, while he did look well that day he only had 1 other rival to race against & although the job was seen out well winning by a comfortable 8 lengths it was hard to gage really where he is at considering the horse defeated was rated 18lbs his inferior, although that horse has gone on since to finish 2nd in a valuable handicap chase at Cheltenham. Before that year long absence though Nicholls gelding was last seen winning the Paddy Power Gold Cup at Cheltenham in November 2012. On that occasion he carried top weight to stay on strongly & win by 3 lengths, the manner in which he gained that victory gave the impression that he stays very well & that the step up to 3 miles today for the first time should play to his strengths. Interesting to see that he's the choice of stable jockey Daryl Jacob & it's unlikely Nicholls would have entered him here if he wasn't at the required level, dangerous to dismiss stepping up in trip.
Overall Rating = 8
CHAMPION COURT - 4th in this race last year & Martin Keighley's gelding has put in plenty of respectable efforts since then, including a win in grade 2 company at this year's Cheltenham festival & a respectable 7th in the Paddy Power Gold Cup carrying one of the top weights on seasonal reappearance. Last time out he finished a half length 2nd behind another of today's runners Riverside Theatre in the Peterborough chase (grade 2) at Huntingdon recently, that was a respectable run & but for a mistake at the last he may have gone closer. Only previous try at 3 miles was in this race last year & despite finishing 4th he was some way of the leaders, so there has to be a question mark over whether he can stay the trip as well as some of these. Yet to win at grade 1 level & while he could improve on that latest run it looks as though improvement would certainly be required if he was to seriously get involved here. Overall Rating = 4
CUE CARD - The Tizzard stable's star could only manage 5th in this race last year but since then has been in great form, taking 3 grade 1 contests & finishing 2nd in another, including a win at this year's Cheltenham festival. His Most notable performance came last time out when impressively winning the betfair chase at Haydock after being stepped up to 3 mile 1 furlong for the first time, proving that he stays the trip really well by strongly powering clear to beat Dynaste by 4 & a half lengths. He was impressive in the betfair so is fully deserved of coming here as the early favourite. The Tizzard's have said in a report that "he has come out of the Haydock race really well & that he was in his comfort zone over the longer trip". Overall he has proven himself as a top performer at this level & if turning up in the same form as last time he should undoubtedly be in the mix. Overall Rating = 9
DYNASTE - David Pipe's gelding was one of the top novice chasers from last season, boasting a record of 111212 from his last 6 appearances including a 9 length win over C&D in the Feltham novices chase on boxing day last year. Proved that he was still going in the right direction when making his seasonal reappearance in his biggest test yet last time out when running very respectably behind Cue Card in the Betfair at Haydock. Given that the Betfair was his first run of the season & in the best race he has face to date he performed with real credit & showed that he is probably still improving, it is highly likely that he will be better for that run & it wouldn't be at surprising to see show further improvement here. He has proven form around the track & with further rain forecast this can play to his strengths. Can improve again & has to be seen as one of the big players. Overall Rating = 10
LONG RUN - Not seen at his best since winning this race 12 months ago & looking though he could be vulnerable once again now facing the prospect of some young improving types. He beat 3 of today's field in this race last year & while he pulled 14 lengths clear with the second place horse to gain a hard fought victory he hasn't been able to go on from that form & is still searching for his next win. Was sent off the 4-5 favourite on seasonal reappearance in a grade 2 at Wetherby & finished well down the field some 40 lengths of the eventual winner. Last time out despite improving on his first run he could only manage 4th in the Betfair chase & was some 15 lengths behind the front 3 who all go in today's race. Jockey Sam Waley-Cohen has said that "as he get's older he takes longer to get fit" so realistically Nicky Henderson's gelding should be better off having had 2 runs now this season & now the visor is fitted for the first time so it wouldn't be a surprise to see him improve. At early prices of around 10/1 he could be worth an EW shout, but a return to his form of old looks desperately needed. Overall Rating = 6
MENORAH - A grade 1 winner as a novice back in April 2012 but since then Phillipp Hobbs' charge has failed to really land a blow at the top level & looks a rightful outsider in this field. The fact that the 8 year old is making his seasonal reappearance in this race also looks a negative & it's hard to envisage that he could be up to level of some of these who have had the benefit of a run or two before this. Last time out he finished 3 parts of a length behind Champion Court back at the Cheltenham festival in April, on that form he looks held by a rival who looks an unlikely winner himself. Has finished a long way behind both Cue Card & Silviniaco Conti on previous occasions & it would be a big surprise is he could seriously get involved in here. Looks best watched. Overall Rating = 3
MOUNT BENBULBEN - Gordon Elliot enters Ireland's only runner here & despite a convincing winner of a grade 1 novice chase at Punchestown towards the end of last season that form looks some way off the what would be required to win this. Made his seasonal reappearance at the beginning of November at Down Royal but seemed to be struggling halfway before unseating his rider. Should be better off & no doubt his trainer has got him right after that but looks another who is a deserved outsider & it would be a surprise to see him get involved with the big players in this one. Overall Rating = 2
RIVERSIDE THEATRE - 2nd to Long Run in this race in 2011, Nicky Henderson's other entrant in the is another who seems to have slipped under the radar somewhat but it shouldn't be forgotten than this 9 year old is 3 times a winner at Grade 1 level & showed signs last time out on his seasonal reappearance that he could be coming back to his best. Winner of the Ryanair chase at the 2012 Cheltenham festival but after that disappointed in his further races that season & was only seen twice last season where he failed to produce on either occasion. During his recent off season break he underwent a breathing operation which to all seemed to have had the desired effects when he stayed on gamely to win the grade 2 Peterborough chase on his reappearance beating Champion Court by half a length. He is entitled to be better off for that win & comes here looking a far better prospect than he did in this race last year. For win purposes he might not be at the level some of these are but he can certainly build on that latest win with the first time blinkers fitted here so shouldn't be discounted. All in all if he's back to near his best then can perhaps get involved at likely bigger odds than most, could be worth the EW money. Overall Rating = 7
SILVINIACO CONTI - Winner of the 2011 Betfair Chase (grade 1) beating Long Run by the best part of 3 lengths, also going well in last seasons Gold Cup when fell 3 out. Made a pleasing seasonal reappearance in this season Betfair chase behind Cue Card & Dynaste, like the latter that was his first run of the season so he should be a lot sharper for it. Has previous winning form around this C&D to his name which should hold him in good stead. Has proved he can cut it at this level & with improvement likely after a respectable effort last time out he is no back number here as the early market would suggest (5/1), Can go well for top trainer with an excellent record in this race & wouldn't be a surprise to see him get seriously involved.
Overall Rating = 8
As with most of the big grade 1 chases this should be a great race to watch unfold. Any feedback on this review would be greatly appreciated as always, either use the comments below or get in touch via twitter; @tipsfromchirpy.
Saturday 21st December 2013 - Daily Tips
Mixed bag yesterday which ultimately resulted in around a 4 point loss, after the first selection looked to have everything set for a big run but could have hardly been any more disappointing, luckily the EW selection ran well for second at an SP of 16/1 resulting in some nice place money which recouped some of the earlier losses. Onto today & its a big day of racing, where a few picks looks worthwhile.
Ascot -
12:45 - COUP DE GRACE - 0.5 Point Win @ 12/1 & 1.5 Points Place @ 3/1 = LOST (4th)
Pat Phelan's gelding comes into this off the back of two respectable efforts the pick of which would be last time out around here at Ascot over 2m 4f, where despite having no chance with the winner who has since gone on to win at a higher level, he stayed on really well up the straight to take a clear second. In terms of strength that race looked similar contest to this one on paper. The step up to 3 miles today looks as though it should suit given the manner in which he finished off his race last time out. He has improved with each of his runs so far this term & stepping up once again to what looks should be a more suitable trip, further improvement could be on the cards. With this relatively big field there are of course plenty of opposition who could have a case made for them but for me COUP DE GRACE stands out considering he still looks unexposed as a hurdler. The fact he is very low in the weights & ridden by handy 3lb conditional Joshua Moore looks to be a big positive & having shown some form on the forecast soft ground there shouldn't be too much worry there. All in all COUP DE GRACE looks to have conditions set for him to run another big race if showing the same sort of form as last time out.
15:35 - WILLOWS SAVIOUR - 1 Point EW @ 12/1 = WON
No less than 20 runners go to post for this one & these are generally the races where you can just pick one out at a nice price & hope for the best. As so many of the big field handicaps the race looks wide open & you could make a solid case for plenty in this field but with this race probably being one of the highlights of the day i have decided to go for just a point EW on a horse who looks to be on the up & may not have finished improving just yet. I am not usually taken by horses who come into races off the back of recent wins as i feel they are usually overbet & face tough tasks but Dan Skelton's gelding has been very impressive in winning his last 2 races that he has given the impression that he might not be done just yet. Two runs back he made his seasonal reappearance around here at Ascot over 2m 4f & won in great style pulling well clear in straight to be heavily eased towards the finish, following that he was able to take a step up in grade to win a decent handicap at Musselburgh last time out having dropped back to 2 miles. The trainer has said after that first Ascot win that the target was to come back here for this race so preparations would appear to have gone well. Will get weight all round today which adds to the appeal of this one. There is no doubt that this is WILLOWS SAVIOUR's hardest task so far but he has been impressive in both outings this season & could continue his upward curve. Most bookies paying 5 places for this one.
Lingfield -
15:10 - MODERNSTONE - 3 Point Win @ 3/1 (4/1 SP BOG*) = WON
Probably the best race on the card here today despite the small field & again a case could be made for the majority but one who does catch the eye is William Knight's filly MODERNSTONE who ran a respectable race last time out in listed company to finish fourth after staying on from the rear. That was her first try t the trip of 12f & it looked to suit. Dropping into a less competitive race than that here could be what is required for her to continue going forward. This filly is easily the least exposed in this field & makes only her 6th racecourse appearance today. Two runs back she posted a decent finish when a head second over 10f here in a class 3 event which admittedly is a weaker race than this one today but she looks much better off over 12f & that performance last time out in listed company would suggest she is on the up. The booking of Andrea Atzeni is a big plus & overall this filly is unexposed & if showing similar form to that of last time out she can go close here & what looks a nice price.
Friday 20th December 2013 - Daily Tips
Wednesday turned into a day of real near misses with all 3 bets narrowly missing out on either the win or the place & finishing 2nd or 4th, but sometimes thats the way it goes. Onto today & just the 2 selections, both from this evening all weather card at Wolverhampton.
Wolverhampton -
16:20 - HAVE A GREAT DAY - 6 Point Win @ 6/4 = LOST (3rd)
Andrew Oliver brings his 2 year old colt over to Wolves for a crack at maiden in British company after some pleasing efforts back home in Ireland in contests that look stronger than the one faced here today. HAVE A GREAT DAY has had 4 outings so far over in Ireland all at this trip & is yet to finish outside the top 4, all of those races on paper look to be at a level above this. This colts latest two runs over in Ireland came AW track Dundalk so experience on the surface is no worry here & in fact these were his best two performances to date finishing 2nd & 3rd respectively in 14 runner events. The form from these races looks stronger than any form achieved by any of the challengers here tonight which is a big positive. HAVE A GREAT DAY comes here with an official rating of 79 & if he's able to run up to that mark here then he should be going very close. Queenie's Home looks to be the biggest danger of those with previous form but his best performances have come over a furlong longer with the drop in trip not looking certain to suit & in all honesty his form doesn't look up to that of HAVE A GREAT DAYS. The booking of Martin Harley tonight is an encouraging one since he has been one of the top performers so far this season on the AW. There are a couple of newcomers here for decent yards so if they turn out to be above average they could get involve but i think HAVE A GREAT DAY easily has the strongest form on offer & what looks to be a good opening where a repeat of his recent form in Ireland would see him right up there.
18:30 - TAXIFORMISSBYRON - 1 Point EW @ 10/1 (16/1 SP) = PLACED (2nd)
Michael Herrington's 3 year old filly is 4 times a winner at this level including over C&D back in January & although not been seen to best effect in recent months she might just have been found a race where she could perhaps rekindle some of her past form. In relation to this race tonight her recent efforts which have come in claiming company can be ignored. 3 runs back was her last outing in handicap company which came around this C&D but in a stronger race (0-75 company, 0-65 tonight), she was awkwardly away from the stalls that night & found herself behind from the start, she did keep on well at the finish to take a never nearer 5th place & was not completely disgraced. Before that she ran a couple of times over this distance & in this class (class 6) up at hamilton where she finished 1st & 3rd, in terms of this race here tonight where the majority of the in form horses have come from weaker races, TAXIFORMISSBYRON's handicap form looks stronger than her early price tag of 10/1 suggests. By no means is this a bet to go crazy about but at a nice price Michael Herrington's filly could have a shot at the place money if bringing forward one of her better performances.
Wednesday 18th December 2013 - Daily Tips
Monday started off well with the winner down at Plumpton but faded into just an average day resulting in 'break even' after the next 2 were unable to confirm some decent form, but nothing lost so could have been worse. Onto today & have 3 selections that look worth the punt & here they are;
Lingfield -
12:00 - JOYOUS - 1.5 Point EW @ 6/1 = PLACED (2nd)
Dean Ivory's 3 year old filly didn't show too much in maiden company but certainly catches the eye here now making her handicap debut after what was her best performance to date last time out when finishing a respectable 3rd in class 5 maiden company at Windsor back in October. That form reads quite well, considering she was only a couple of lengths behind the winner who has since gone on to obtain an official rating of 72 & is running in better races than this one today. She has been pitched in at the foot of the weights here in a class 6 handicap off an initial mark of 60 which could perhaps prove lenient. There are a few in the race with some decent form at this level but they are all far more exposed that JOYOUS who looks to have been pitched into a nice contest for her handicap debut. Making her AW debut today so she would have to take to the surface but her trainer runs plenty on the AW surfaces so realistically this shouldn't pose a problem, also comes off the back of a little break of 72 days & it wouldn't be a surprise is she is showing some improvement now. All in all JOYOUS is pretty unexposed & looks to have been found a nice race off a lowish mark, so if building on a decent run last time out in a maiden she could have a say & is worth the EW bet.
12:30 - PEACHEZ - 14/1 0.75 Point EW @ 14/1 = LOST (4th)
A small play on one of the outsiders in this field & in all honesty on the form shown this season by Seamus Durack's mare means the price comes as no great surprise, however despite not being able to produce so far this season, the form she showed last season was very impressive & she was one of the most consistent performers at her level, winning twice & finishing 2nd an additional 5 times. in her 4 runs so far this season she has admittedly been some way off her level of last year, but she has been racing in better races than this one today (usually 0-75, 0-70 today) & her handicap mark has dropped to its lowest for some time. last time out around here she finished back in 5th & despite not reaching the leaders she did keep on from the back towards the finish which suggest the step up to 2 miles today could do her some favours. The fact that George Baker gets the ride today is a big positive, considering he is one of the top experienced jockeys around here & also given the fact the only other time he has been on board was a winning occasion. Last time out she was very slowly away & she does has a general tendency to dwell at the start but providing its not one of her worst days start wise then this shouldn't cause too much concern given the distance of the race. Overall its clear to see from the stake that this is not a bet to be going crazy on but one that could potentially go well at a big price if recovering some old form under conditions that look pretty favourable.
Ludlow -
14:25 - RYDALIS - 2 Point Win @ 4/1 = LOST (2nd)
Venetia Williams' Mare RYDALIS has performed with plenty of credit on her 2 runs so far this season, finishing 2nd on both outings & possibly unlucky to bump into a couple of in form rivals each time. Last time out around here (26f, 24f today) she went clear 2 out but struggled to see out the trip & was headed close home to lose by just over a length but was a nice 3-4 lengths clear of a couple of rivals who she will face again today (Cootehill & Raduis Bleu) so on that form she looks to hold that pair. The return to 3 miles today certainly looks in favour & she looks nicely in towards the foot of the weights. Venetia's top jockey Aiden Coleman retains the ride which is certainly a plus & its nice to see that the connections are persisting at this level with a horse who certainly looks capable of having her day in sun sooner rather than later. Evan Williams' runner is the favourite & is probably the biggest danger, after winning a big field handicap at Cheltenham only 5 days ago but he could find things tougher off 6lb higher & perhaps there is a question mark over this race coming to soon. Overall for me RYDALIS has shown a couple of encouraging performances so far this season which suggest her day might not be far away & could go close once again today for her top trainer/jockey combination. 4/1 looks a nice price for a couple of points on the nose.
Lingfield -
12:00 - JOYOUS - 1.5 Point EW @ 6/1 = PLACED (2nd)
Dean Ivory's 3 year old filly didn't show too much in maiden company but certainly catches the eye here now making her handicap debut after what was her best performance to date last time out when finishing a respectable 3rd in class 5 maiden company at Windsor back in October. That form reads quite well, considering she was only a couple of lengths behind the winner who has since gone on to obtain an official rating of 72 & is running in better races than this one today. She has been pitched in at the foot of the weights here in a class 6 handicap off an initial mark of 60 which could perhaps prove lenient. There are a few in the race with some decent form at this level but they are all far more exposed that JOYOUS who looks to have been pitched into a nice contest for her handicap debut. Making her AW debut today so she would have to take to the surface but her trainer runs plenty on the AW surfaces so realistically this shouldn't pose a problem, also comes off the back of a little break of 72 days & it wouldn't be a surprise is she is showing some improvement now. All in all JOYOUS is pretty unexposed & looks to have been found a nice race off a lowish mark, so if building on a decent run last time out in a maiden she could have a say & is worth the EW bet.
12:30 - PEACHEZ - 14/1 0.75 Point EW @ 14/1 = LOST (4th)
A small play on one of the outsiders in this field & in all honesty on the form shown this season by Seamus Durack's mare means the price comes as no great surprise, however despite not being able to produce so far this season, the form she showed last season was very impressive & she was one of the most consistent performers at her level, winning twice & finishing 2nd an additional 5 times. in her 4 runs so far this season she has admittedly been some way off her level of last year, but she has been racing in better races than this one today (usually 0-75, 0-70 today) & her handicap mark has dropped to its lowest for some time. last time out around here she finished back in 5th & despite not reaching the leaders she did keep on from the back towards the finish which suggest the step up to 2 miles today could do her some favours. The fact that George Baker gets the ride today is a big positive, considering he is one of the top experienced jockeys around here & also given the fact the only other time he has been on board was a winning occasion. Last time out she was very slowly away & she does has a general tendency to dwell at the start but providing its not one of her worst days start wise then this shouldn't cause too much concern given the distance of the race. Overall its clear to see from the stake that this is not a bet to be going crazy on but one that could potentially go well at a big price if recovering some old form under conditions that look pretty favourable.
Ludlow -
14:25 - RYDALIS - 2 Point Win @ 4/1 = LOST (2nd)
Venetia Williams' Mare RYDALIS has performed with plenty of credit on her 2 runs so far this season, finishing 2nd on both outings & possibly unlucky to bump into a couple of in form rivals each time. Last time out around here (26f, 24f today) she went clear 2 out but struggled to see out the trip & was headed close home to lose by just over a length but was a nice 3-4 lengths clear of a couple of rivals who she will face again today (Cootehill & Raduis Bleu) so on that form she looks to hold that pair. The return to 3 miles today certainly looks in favour & she looks nicely in towards the foot of the weights. Venetia's top jockey Aiden Coleman retains the ride which is certainly a plus & its nice to see that the connections are persisting at this level with a horse who certainly looks capable of having her day in sun sooner rather than later. Evan Williams' runner is the favourite & is probably the biggest danger, after winning a big field handicap at Cheltenham only 5 days ago but he could find things tougher off 6lb higher & perhaps there is a question mark over this race coming to soon. Overall for me RYDALIS has shown a couple of encouraging performances so far this season which suggest her day might not be far away & could go close once again today for her top trainer/jockey combination. 4/1 looks a nice price for a couple of points on the nose.
Monday 16th December 2013 - Daily Tips
3 selections that look worth the bet today so here they are;
Plumpton -
13:15 - KNOCK HOUSE - 3.5 Point Win @ 2/1 = WON (rule 4 reduction for non runner)
Class 4 novice hurdle for this one & the one who immediately catches the eye is Mick Channon's runner KNOCK HOUSE, Ran a very respectable 3rd of 12 runners at Ascot recently in a class 3 maiden hurdle & drops into what looks an easier race here. Last time out was his first go over hurdles so connections would have been pleased with the performance & although he had no chance with the short priced Henderson trained winner he ran on well to press for 2nd close home, which looks a good indication that the extra furlong here today should be a positive. The form from that race looks fairly strong with the winner going to place in a grade 2 event & the second place who was only half a length in front of KNOCK HOUSE has gone to win a similar race to this one here. There are of course a few others in this race that are not without a decent shout, Call The Police for Nicky Henderson is bound to be well fancied but his jumping was not up to scratch last time out & to me the form he showed is certainly not on the same level as Mick Channon's charge. The French import Marcilhac could be a danger considering the good form he showed over fences in france but his credentials over hurdles are unproven & he may need the run after 225 days off, Sky Watch & Auld Sthock are not without their chances either but for me its hard to look past KNOCK HOUSE who's debut hurdle form is very encouraging. The Channon stable is one who have few runners in the national hunt season & fresh from a winner at the weekend they look to hold a good chance here & KNOCK HOUSE looks worth the bet at what looks nice odds of 2/1.
13:45 - DAYS OF PLEASURE - 1.5 Points EW @ 4/1 = LOST (pulled up after bad jump)
Some of you may look at this & question the 4/1 EW?, but with just the 7 runners standard bookies will pay 1/4 the odds which means money back if finishing second. This Chris Gordon trained gelding has been thriving over fences of late & comes into this seeking a hat trick under what look very suitable conditions. Was a soft ground winner last time out over C&D in a race which looks a fairly similar contest to this one. going from low in the weights has clearly helped him win when upped in grade last time & once again today will be the recipient of plenty of weight from his rivals. It would have been slightly more favourable had the ground been on the softer side but with forecast good to soft, the ground should be easing & isn't as much as a worry as if it were good ground. The from from the win last time out looks fairly strong with the two who finished in behind him going on to place & win next time out. In all fairness it should be said that a case could be made for most of these but DAYS OF PLEASURE is clearly thriving at the minute & doesn't seem to have much more on his plate than last time out & a similar performance could see him go close here & the EW looks worth taking while price is available.
Wolverhampton -
15:05 - MONTJESS - 3 Point Win @ 5/2 = LOST
This looks a trappy little handicap event despite the small field but for me MONTJESS stands out & is certainly the least exposed of this bunch. Tom Dascombe's 3 year old filly comes into this on the back of two course 2nds recently won over C&D 2 runs back & on recent form she surely would be anyone's pick. Last time out over over 17 f (today 14f ) she ran well when only a head 2nd, upped to a class 4 event but probably found the step up in trip just a bit much. Dropping back to 14f & in a class 5 here certainly looks favourable & carrying 9 st 3 she looks particularly well in at the weights given her official rating in relation with some of the other runners. Again this is another race where a case could be made for the most & in the early market Don Cantillons Odin looks fairly well supported but she will have to give MONTJESS 8 pounds & for two horses who are rated very similar this seems a fair amount. Could get this wrong but MONTJESS comes here in good nick & looks very well off in the weights, so a good run could be on the cards & a repeat of recent form would see her go close.
ALSO a £1 TRIXIE (total stake £4) on the 3 above selections.
Plumpton -
13:15 - KNOCK HOUSE - 3.5 Point Win @ 2/1 = WON (rule 4 reduction for non runner)
Class 4 novice hurdle for this one & the one who immediately catches the eye is Mick Channon's runner KNOCK HOUSE, Ran a very respectable 3rd of 12 runners at Ascot recently in a class 3 maiden hurdle & drops into what looks an easier race here. Last time out was his first go over hurdles so connections would have been pleased with the performance & although he had no chance with the short priced Henderson trained winner he ran on well to press for 2nd close home, which looks a good indication that the extra furlong here today should be a positive. The form from that race looks fairly strong with the winner going to place in a grade 2 event & the second place who was only half a length in front of KNOCK HOUSE has gone to win a similar race to this one here. There are of course a few others in this race that are not without a decent shout, Call The Police for Nicky Henderson is bound to be well fancied but his jumping was not up to scratch last time out & to me the form he showed is certainly not on the same level as Mick Channon's charge. The French import Marcilhac could be a danger considering the good form he showed over fences in france but his credentials over hurdles are unproven & he may need the run after 225 days off, Sky Watch & Auld Sthock are not without their chances either but for me its hard to look past KNOCK HOUSE who's debut hurdle form is very encouraging. The Channon stable is one who have few runners in the national hunt season & fresh from a winner at the weekend they look to hold a good chance here & KNOCK HOUSE looks worth the bet at what looks nice odds of 2/1.
13:45 - DAYS OF PLEASURE - 1.5 Points EW @ 4/1 = LOST (pulled up after bad jump)
Some of you may look at this & question the 4/1 EW?, but with just the 7 runners standard bookies will pay 1/4 the odds which means money back if finishing second. This Chris Gordon trained gelding has been thriving over fences of late & comes into this seeking a hat trick under what look very suitable conditions. Was a soft ground winner last time out over C&D in a race which looks a fairly similar contest to this one. going from low in the weights has clearly helped him win when upped in grade last time & once again today will be the recipient of plenty of weight from his rivals. It would have been slightly more favourable had the ground been on the softer side but with forecast good to soft, the ground should be easing & isn't as much as a worry as if it were good ground. The from from the win last time out looks fairly strong with the two who finished in behind him going on to place & win next time out. In all fairness it should be said that a case could be made for most of these but DAYS OF PLEASURE is clearly thriving at the minute & doesn't seem to have much more on his plate than last time out & a similar performance could see him go close here & the EW looks worth taking while price is available.
Wolverhampton -
15:05 - MONTJESS - 3 Point Win @ 5/2 = LOST
This looks a trappy little handicap event despite the small field but for me MONTJESS stands out & is certainly the least exposed of this bunch. Tom Dascombe's 3 year old filly comes into this on the back of two course 2nds recently won over C&D 2 runs back & on recent form she surely would be anyone's pick. Last time out over over 17 f (today 14f ) she ran well when only a head 2nd, upped to a class 4 event but probably found the step up in trip just a bit much. Dropping back to 14f & in a class 5 here certainly looks favourable & carrying 9 st 3 she looks particularly well in at the weights given her official rating in relation with some of the other runners. Again this is another race where a case could be made for the most & in the early market Don Cantillons Odin looks fairly well supported but she will have to give MONTJESS 8 pounds & for two horses who are rated very similar this seems a fair amount. Could get this wrong but MONTJESS comes here in good nick & looks very well off in the weights, so a good run could be on the cards & a repeat of recent form would see her go close.
ALSO a £1 TRIXIE (total stake £4) on the 3 above selections.
Sunday 15th December 2013
No involvement today. although i was unable to get a blog written up yesterday i did manage to put 2 selections on twitter, both winning to yield a really nice profit for the day. It was good to see some of you get in touch to say you were involved, details of the both selections below.
Saturday Tips posted via twitter -
Doncaster -
12:25 - WARDEN HILL - 3 Point Win (advised early on @ 5/2, SP of 13/8) = WON
13:35 - MAKARI - 1 point EW (advised early on @ 14/1, SP of 8/1) = WON
Saturday Tips posted via twitter -
Doncaster -
12:25 - WARDEN HILL - 3 Point Win (advised early on @ 5/2, SP of 13/8) = WON
13:35 - MAKARI - 1 point EW (advised early on @ 14/1, SP of 8/1) = WON
Thursday 12th December 2013 - Daily Tips
Been another quiet week so far with just the one selection that run monday, onto today & have a couple of picks that look worth while.
Huntingdon -
14:00 - MODULE - 3 Point Win 7/2 = LOST (4th)
Grade 2 Chase action here & MODULE is one who certainly catches the eye, having had just the 7 starts to date this 6 year old gelding has shown that he has plenty of talent, unbeaten on both his 2 starts over hurdles he stepped up to chasing last season really well winning 2 novice chases & then going onto finish a very respectable 4th of 13 runners in a novice grade 2 a the Cheltenham festival. He looked every bit as impressive when making his seasonal reappearance at Exeter in a grade 2 handicap when only just failing by a short head against the the Grade 1 Tingle Creek runner up Somersby & beating the subsequent Grade 1 Betfair chase winner Cue Card, in fairness this performance couldn't have been backed up much better & thus the form looks strong. The step up to 21f today does look to be in favour as he was staying on all the way to the line last time out when narrowly failing, so the extra 3 furlongs look set to suit. That run last time came on the back of a 236 day break so there is every chance he could be better for the run. Looking at the opposition today there is no doubt that on their best form these are some top class chasers, namely Captain Chris, Riverside Theatre who are both former Grade 1 winners however neither have them have been quite at their best in recent times & both make their seasonal reappearances here so could perhaps need the run. Grade 2 winner Champion Court is also another who couldn't be dismissed as he performed with credit when making his seasonal debut in the Paddy Power Gold cup finishing 7th of 20 after making a mistake late. The Slight concern for module perhaps is that today's ground of good (good to soft in places) is the best ground he has faced, having only raced on ground officially softer than good, but considering his performances on good to soft you have to think it shouldn't be too much of a concern & hopefully won't be his undoing. Overall for me, MODULE looks a progressive sort & showed he can mix it at this level with an impressive ran last time out, with both the winner & 3rd placed horse from that day going on to post big efforts since mean that even in a competitive race like this MODULE should be well in with a shout here at what looks a nice price of 7/2.
Kempton -
16:20 - ISABELLA BEETON - 5 Point Win 5/4 (Late tip advised on Twitter) = WON
16:50 - WILHANA - 1.5 Point EW 9/2 = PLACED (3rd)
Pam Sly's 3 year old filly has been slightly frustrating in her 4 starts to date, finishing 2nd on every occasion but nonetheless she has still shown that she has some ability in doing so. The step up in trip to 1m4f today looks as though it could perhaps bring her on considering she stayed on well to take 2nd place close home last time over 1m 2f at Lingfield. There are a couple who are better fancied in the early market, one of whom is a Lady Cecil trained filly, who would have to be taken on the assumption that she has shown big improvement at home since her poor debut run at newmarket in the spring finishing 13th of 14 runners, al be it in a slightly better race & coming from such a powerful stable she should command respect. Secondly Kingston Eucalypt would be the biggest contender with proven form, she herself has posted some respectable placed efforts over this trip recently but to me her form doesn't look any better than WILHANA who is less exposed & untried at this trip which could just be the making of her. Pam Sly's booking of top AW jockey Adam Kirby is also an eye catcher & in all honesty there isn't anyone better for the job on the polytrack than Kirby so this should be seen as a big positive. Wilhana's first 4 attempts have all come in class 5 maidens, dropping into a class 6 tonight & stepping up in trip both look in favour & if able to show any improvement racing over the extra 2 furlongs she can go close in a race lacking in depth. Looks worth a go EW @ 9/2.
Huntingdon -
14:00 - MODULE - 3 Point Win 7/2 = LOST (4th)
Grade 2 Chase action here & MODULE is one who certainly catches the eye, having had just the 7 starts to date this 6 year old gelding has shown that he has plenty of talent, unbeaten on both his 2 starts over hurdles he stepped up to chasing last season really well winning 2 novice chases & then going onto finish a very respectable 4th of 13 runners in a novice grade 2 a the Cheltenham festival. He looked every bit as impressive when making his seasonal reappearance at Exeter in a grade 2 handicap when only just failing by a short head against the the Grade 1 Tingle Creek runner up Somersby & beating the subsequent Grade 1 Betfair chase winner Cue Card, in fairness this performance couldn't have been backed up much better & thus the form looks strong. The step up to 21f today does look to be in favour as he was staying on all the way to the line last time out when narrowly failing, so the extra 3 furlongs look set to suit. That run last time came on the back of a 236 day break so there is every chance he could be better for the run. Looking at the opposition today there is no doubt that on their best form these are some top class chasers, namely Captain Chris, Riverside Theatre who are both former Grade 1 winners however neither have them have been quite at their best in recent times & both make their seasonal reappearances here so could perhaps need the run. Grade 2 winner Champion Court is also another who couldn't be dismissed as he performed with credit when making his seasonal debut in the Paddy Power Gold cup finishing 7th of 20 after making a mistake late. The Slight concern for module perhaps is that today's ground of good (good to soft in places) is the best ground he has faced, having only raced on ground officially softer than good, but considering his performances on good to soft you have to think it shouldn't be too much of a concern & hopefully won't be his undoing. Overall for me, MODULE looks a progressive sort & showed he can mix it at this level with an impressive ran last time out, with both the winner & 3rd placed horse from that day going on to post big efforts since mean that even in a competitive race like this MODULE should be well in with a shout here at what looks a nice price of 7/2.
Kempton -
16:20 - ISABELLA BEETON - 5 Point Win 5/4 (Late tip advised on Twitter) = WON
16:50 - WILHANA - 1.5 Point EW 9/2 = PLACED (3rd)
Pam Sly's 3 year old filly has been slightly frustrating in her 4 starts to date, finishing 2nd on every occasion but nonetheless she has still shown that she has some ability in doing so. The step up in trip to 1m4f today looks as though it could perhaps bring her on considering she stayed on well to take 2nd place close home last time over 1m 2f at Lingfield. There are a couple who are better fancied in the early market, one of whom is a Lady Cecil trained filly, who would have to be taken on the assumption that she has shown big improvement at home since her poor debut run at newmarket in the spring finishing 13th of 14 runners, al be it in a slightly better race & coming from such a powerful stable she should command respect. Secondly Kingston Eucalypt would be the biggest contender with proven form, she herself has posted some respectable placed efforts over this trip recently but to me her form doesn't look any better than WILHANA who is less exposed & untried at this trip which could just be the making of her. Pam Sly's booking of top AW jockey Adam Kirby is also an eye catcher & in all honesty there isn't anyone better for the job on the polytrack than Kirby so this should be seen as a big positive. Wilhana's first 4 attempts have all come in class 5 maidens, dropping into a class 6 tonight & stepping up in trip both look in favour & if able to show any improvement racing over the extra 2 furlongs she can go close in a race lacking in depth. Looks worth a go EW @ 9/2.
Monday 9th December 2013 - Daily Tips
Saturday turned out to be a day that yielded some small but steady profit after 8/1 DEEP TROUBLE proved to be just that at the last fence after seemingly having the race wrapped up, some fantastic riding from Leighton Aspell managed to get the horse home nonetheless & they ended around the 3-4 points profit mark so nothing special but profit is profit. Onto today & just the one that really stands out as good value.
Lingfield
15:00 - SECRET BEAU - 1.5 Points EW 8/1 = LOST (4th)
This gelding has been the model of consistency this season, finishing outside of the places only twice in his last 11 runs & today's step up to a mile looks to be just what is needed. The only other time this horse tackled the trip of a mile was back in october in this class over at Kempton, finishing a close up second that day is probably one of his best performances to date. Makes only his second appearance at lingfield today but was last time seen around here winning a maiden back in August & although he is yet to build on that with a win in handicap company he is has rarely not given his running & has posted some very respectable placed efforts. Last time out he bounced back from one of his few weak performances by earning a staying on 3rd of 13 runners at Kempton over 7f & today's extension to a 1 mile looks certainly to be in his favour. Luke Morris in the saddle today & as jockey's go on the AW you don't get many better so that has to be a confidence booster. Overall Secret Beau shows the most consistent solid form at this level & there is no reason why he shouldn't run his race once more under conditions which look ideal. The price of 8/1 may just be generous & it would be no surprise to see him become the subject of market support later on.
Lingfield
15:00 - SECRET BEAU - 1.5 Points EW 8/1 = LOST (4th)
This gelding has been the model of consistency this season, finishing outside of the places only twice in his last 11 runs & today's step up to a mile looks to be just what is needed. The only other time this horse tackled the trip of a mile was back in october in this class over at Kempton, finishing a close up second that day is probably one of his best performances to date. Makes only his second appearance at lingfield today but was last time seen around here winning a maiden back in August & although he is yet to build on that with a win in handicap company he is has rarely not given his running & has posted some very respectable placed efforts. Last time out he bounced back from one of his few weak performances by earning a staying on 3rd of 13 runners at Kempton over 7f & today's extension to a 1 mile looks certainly to be in his favour. Luke Morris in the saddle today & as jockey's go on the AW you don't get many better so that has to be a confidence booster. Overall Secret Beau shows the most consistent solid form at this level & there is no reason why he shouldn't run his race once more under conditions which look ideal. The price of 8/1 may just be generous & it would be no surprise to see him become the subject of market support later on.
Saturday 7th December 2013 - Daily Tips
Thursday was a disappointing turn out after both selections failed to confirm what looked decent form, although there have only been 2 days involvement so far this month they have been poor ones which is disappointing but there's plenty of time left in december yet. Onto today & a busy day of racing where there are a few picks that catch the eye at what look to be real nice prices.
Aintree -
13:30 KEEL HAUL - 2.5 Point Win 7/2 = LOST (3rd)
Henry Oliver's gelding came back last time out from a near 90 day absence & was able to make it a winning return, when staying on well at the finish to get up by just over a length at Warwick over 2 miles. The win last time out may have been a bit fortunate considering the leader who seemed to be going well in front fell 2 out leaving KEEL HAUL to battle it out with the eventual second placed horse, none the less it was a decent performance at a trip that perhaps doesn't completely suit. The step up to 2m 4f today definitely looks in favour given the manner of his staying on effort last time & he does have some placed form at this trip from the summer. Of the rest Ivan Boru looks the biggest threat & he himself comes here in good knick off the back of two wins, none of which however look to be any better than the selections last time out victory & I think Ivan Boru could find it tough giving the selection over a stone in weight. The ground is a slight unknown since he is unraced on worse than good but with the forecast ground of good to soft (good in places) you have to hope this shouldn't be a problem. Overall Henry Oliver's 5 year old ran with promise last time out & with the step up in trip looking to suit combined with the fact he will go off lowest weight when taking into consideration the apprentice jockey's allowance KEEL HAUL looks as though he can go close & 7/2 looks a nice price & worth the small punt.
Sandown -
14:25 DEEP TROUBLE - 1 Point EW 8/1 = WON
This could be a fairly competitive event & a case can probably be made one way or another for quite a few but one that catches the eye for more than one reason is DEEP TROUBLE. first & foremost in the last year he is a horse who doesn't seem to know how to run a bad race with form figures showing 222122 & the form of his most recent second in what looked a warm cheltenham handicap looks fairly strong. He stayed on well towards the finish that day over the same 17f as today to take a decent second place considering the 19 runners. In fairness this is tougher here but he looked as though he could be a progressive type this term & he will go off almost bottom weight here receiving weight pretty much all round. In terms of recent form DEEP TROUBLE's is some of the best on offer & despite this being a stronger race i don't think he would have to show much improvement to get involved, all round plenty to like about this one & if brining his top game here then he should put up a fight for the places at decent odds of 8/1.
15:35 GODSMEJUDGE - 1 Point EW 7/1 = LOST & BRADLEY - 1 Point EW 7/1 = LOST
3m 5f Staying chase to end the card here at Sandown & it looks a good one. Starting with the Alan King trained GODSMEJUDGE, this is a real likeable horse as a staying chaser & is real honest type who rarely fails to give his running. This is a horse who i have followed intently over the past year & have had considerable joy with, his form figures for the last season read 121315. His most impressive piece of form was when pulling clear to win last year scottish grand national & he looked almost as good when making his seasonal reappearance in a competitive grade 3 handicap at Cheltenham's open meeting last month over 28f, overall he jumped the best the whole way round & it looked to be only a mistake 2 out which cost him at least a place, but still finished a close & very respectable 5th. The extra 2 furlongs here looks surely to be in his favour & perhaps the only negative you could draw on is the fact he carries top weight, but he has given weight all round before & still produced so this isn't enough to put me off him here, overall there isn't much more to say other than GODSMEJUDGE is a real genuine staying chaser who looks capable of going well once again & if putting down his usual run then the place money is a real possibility.
BRADLEY is probably less consistent than the above but certainly is another one who has shown he is very capable in some decent staying chase events. In Fact he finished less than a couple of lengths in front of Godsmejudge in that Cheltenham race last time out, where he was staying on well without being quite able to reach the front pair, nonetheless the form looks strong & the two selections look closely matched on that. He also performed with credit on his other start this season when finishing a respectable 5th of 16 runners behind the impressive winner Balthazar King, also at Cheltenham back in October. He looks better off in the weights than the above & being ridden by 5lb claiming Conor Shoemark could be a real advantage. On the pick of his form this Fergal O'Brien trained gelding looks one of the more likely types here & if continuing his already good start to the season he is another who can make a bold claim for the places.
Aintree -
13:30 KEEL HAUL - 2.5 Point Win 7/2 = LOST (3rd)
Henry Oliver's gelding came back last time out from a near 90 day absence & was able to make it a winning return, when staying on well at the finish to get up by just over a length at Warwick over 2 miles. The win last time out may have been a bit fortunate considering the leader who seemed to be going well in front fell 2 out leaving KEEL HAUL to battle it out with the eventual second placed horse, none the less it was a decent performance at a trip that perhaps doesn't completely suit. The step up to 2m 4f today definitely looks in favour given the manner of his staying on effort last time & he does have some placed form at this trip from the summer. Of the rest Ivan Boru looks the biggest threat & he himself comes here in good knick off the back of two wins, none of which however look to be any better than the selections last time out victory & I think Ivan Boru could find it tough giving the selection over a stone in weight. The ground is a slight unknown since he is unraced on worse than good but with the forecast ground of good to soft (good in places) you have to hope this shouldn't be a problem. Overall Henry Oliver's 5 year old ran with promise last time out & with the step up in trip looking to suit combined with the fact he will go off lowest weight when taking into consideration the apprentice jockey's allowance KEEL HAUL looks as though he can go close & 7/2 looks a nice price & worth the small punt.
Sandown -
14:25 DEEP TROUBLE - 1 Point EW 8/1 = WON
This could be a fairly competitive event & a case can probably be made one way or another for quite a few but one that catches the eye for more than one reason is DEEP TROUBLE. first & foremost in the last year he is a horse who doesn't seem to know how to run a bad race with form figures showing 222122 & the form of his most recent second in what looked a warm cheltenham handicap looks fairly strong. He stayed on well towards the finish that day over the same 17f as today to take a decent second place considering the 19 runners. In fairness this is tougher here but he looked as though he could be a progressive type this term & he will go off almost bottom weight here receiving weight pretty much all round. In terms of recent form DEEP TROUBLE's is some of the best on offer & despite this being a stronger race i don't think he would have to show much improvement to get involved, all round plenty to like about this one & if brining his top game here then he should put up a fight for the places at decent odds of 8/1.
15:35 GODSMEJUDGE - 1 Point EW 7/1 = LOST & BRADLEY - 1 Point EW 7/1 = LOST
3m 5f Staying chase to end the card here at Sandown & it looks a good one. Starting with the Alan King trained GODSMEJUDGE, this is a real likeable horse as a staying chaser & is real honest type who rarely fails to give his running. This is a horse who i have followed intently over the past year & have had considerable joy with, his form figures for the last season read 121315. His most impressive piece of form was when pulling clear to win last year scottish grand national & he looked almost as good when making his seasonal reappearance in a competitive grade 3 handicap at Cheltenham's open meeting last month over 28f, overall he jumped the best the whole way round & it looked to be only a mistake 2 out which cost him at least a place, but still finished a close & very respectable 5th. The extra 2 furlongs here looks surely to be in his favour & perhaps the only negative you could draw on is the fact he carries top weight, but he has given weight all round before & still produced so this isn't enough to put me off him here, overall there isn't much more to say other than GODSMEJUDGE is a real genuine staying chaser who looks capable of going well once again & if putting down his usual run then the place money is a real possibility.
BRADLEY is probably less consistent than the above but certainly is another one who has shown he is very capable in some decent staying chase events. In Fact he finished less than a couple of lengths in front of Godsmejudge in that Cheltenham race last time out, where he was staying on well without being quite able to reach the front pair, nonetheless the form looks strong & the two selections look closely matched on that. He also performed with credit on his other start this season when finishing a respectable 5th of 16 runners behind the impressive winner Balthazar King, also at Cheltenham back in October. He looks better off in the weights than the above & being ridden by 5lb claiming Conor Shoemark could be a real advantage. On the pick of his form this Fergal O'Brien trained gelding looks one of the more likely types here & if continuing his already good start to the season he is another who can make a bold claim for the places.
Thursday 5th December 2013 - Daily Tips
Onto today & have gone for a few selections that look nice prices on the face of things, both look as though they can go well & look worth the bet.
Market Rasen -
14:50 FORMULATION - 3 Point Win 3/1 = LOST
Rebecca Menzies gelding ran a nice race last time out when finishing a not too distant third over this trip at Hexham, he certainly seemed to benefit from the fitting of cheekpieces that day & with that headgear staying on for today's run he looks as though another good run could be on the cards. His overall form doesn't look anything too inspiring & after 14 attempts over timber he is still a maiden, however this doesn't look a strong race & in fairness he is unlikely to get a better chance than this in handicap company. Despite not yet being able to get his head in front he has shown some respectable place form over this trip, especially on easing ground so today's conditions should suit. All in all FORMULATION wasn't disgraced when hitting the place money last time out in what looks a better race & if able to repeat that sort of form he today then could certainly go close, while the price is too short for the EW 3/1 still looks a nice price & is worth the smallish punt on the nose.
Wolverhampton -
16:20 PICCOLO EXPRESS - 1.5 Points EW 9/2 = LOST
PICCOLO EXPRESS has some respectable efforts posted at this level, around this C&D & tonights conditions look perfectly set for him to put down a decent effort. Last time out he ran a very close third in what looked a similar event in which he was narrowly beaten by another one of tonights runners (Orpsie Boy) however PICCOLO EXPRESS gave that rival 2lb on the night & today is in receipt of 5lb so certainly looks better off. Is without a win yet this season but has placed some respectable efforts at this C&D, especially last time out in that narrow defeat. Things certainly look in favour today, the combination of a sound draw in stall 3 & the fact he has lowest weight to carry is something that certainly catches the eye. You could probably make a case for a few of these on their best form but PICCOLO EXPRESS has conditions which look favourable here & showed last time out that he can certainly get competitive in this sort of race, Looks worth the bet while the EW price is still available.
Also both of the above on a DOUBLE @ around 16/1 - 1 Point Win
Market Rasen -
14:50 FORMULATION - 3 Point Win 3/1 = LOST
Rebecca Menzies gelding ran a nice race last time out when finishing a not too distant third over this trip at Hexham, he certainly seemed to benefit from the fitting of cheekpieces that day & with that headgear staying on for today's run he looks as though another good run could be on the cards. His overall form doesn't look anything too inspiring & after 14 attempts over timber he is still a maiden, however this doesn't look a strong race & in fairness he is unlikely to get a better chance than this in handicap company. Despite not yet being able to get his head in front he has shown some respectable place form over this trip, especially on easing ground so today's conditions should suit. All in all FORMULATION wasn't disgraced when hitting the place money last time out in what looks a better race & if able to repeat that sort of form he today then could certainly go close, while the price is too short for the EW 3/1 still looks a nice price & is worth the smallish punt on the nose.
Wolverhampton -
16:20 PICCOLO EXPRESS - 1.5 Points EW 9/2 = LOST
PICCOLO EXPRESS has some respectable efforts posted at this level, around this C&D & tonights conditions look perfectly set for him to put down a decent effort. Last time out he ran a very close third in what looked a similar event in which he was narrowly beaten by another one of tonights runners (Orpsie Boy) however PICCOLO EXPRESS gave that rival 2lb on the night & today is in receipt of 5lb so certainly looks better off. Is without a win yet this season but has placed some respectable efforts at this C&D, especially last time out in that narrow defeat. Things certainly look in favour today, the combination of a sound draw in stall 3 & the fact he has lowest weight to carry is something that certainly catches the eye. You could probably make a case for a few of these on their best form but PICCOLO EXPRESS has conditions which look favourable here & showed last time out that he can certainly get competitive in this sort of race, Looks worth the bet while the EW price is still available.
Also both of the above on a DOUBLE @ around 16/1 - 1 Point Win
Wednesday 04th December 2013
No selections from me today as having thoroughly looked, there is nothing that really catches the eye, i could go ahead a throw down a few that i think are possible fancies but people who follow will kow this isn't my style & i don't see the value in posting selections that don't have my full confidence. The last few bets have turned out to be poor ones which is disappointing but sometimes this is the way it goes, we all know that in racing things go against even the most solid form, thats just the way it is. Hopefully can turn the fortunes around very soon. On a brighter note the blog now enters its' 6th month, leaving the first 5 months behind, months that have all yielded healthy profit, 5 out of 5 months with steady overall profit is certainly a pleasing statistic. Will be doing the research for tomorrow & friday so hopefully have some worthwhile selections to post. see below for November's results;
November 2013 (11 days of tips) (very few number of tips) = + 33.5 points (points as advised on the blog)
November 2013 (11 days of tips) (very few number of tips) = + 33.5 points (points as advised on the blog)
Monday 2nd December 2013 - Daily Tips
Back after a few really quiet weeks, this has been mainly down to commitments away from the racing. Should be back with regular updates from now on. Last month was another month of decent overall profit & is the 5th consecutive month since starting up that the month has finished in profit so that was pleasing once again. Onto today to kick off december & its just the one pick on the AW at Wolverhampton this afternoon. good luck if you get involved.
Wolverhampton -
15:00 - SPREADABLE - 5 Point Win @ 15/8 = LOST (3rd)
This 2 year old colt was back from a 101 day break 7 days ago, running a very creditable 2nd over C&D in this class & only losing out by a short head whilst 3-4 lengths clear of the remainder. Tyrsal who was his defeater that night 7 days ago is in this race also & it looks potentially as though the pair could fight it out once more. For me though SPREADABLE looks far better off in the weights tonight & will gain a further 6lb which could be just what is needed to reverse that form. Many of the others in this race have something to prove & on the facts & figures Tyrsal looks the main danger, i think he would certainly have to run a better race than that short head victory last time out & while that isn't out of the question he might just struggle to do so under his penalty. SPREADABLE ran very well last time out considering it was his AW debut & coming back from a break, taking into account the fact he carries just over an entire stone less than his conqueror means he is certainly one that catches the eye. Ridden by 7lb claimer Jordan Vaughan sees him go off just about lowest weight which should surely be to his advantage. He is well drawn in stall 2 & still unexposed coming into this for just his 5th run, merely a repeat of the form shown last time out could see him go close & if finding any improvement whatsoever then he should certainly be right up there at the business end & 15/8 looks a price worth the bet.
Wolverhampton -
15:00 - SPREADABLE - 5 Point Win @ 15/8 = LOST (3rd)
This 2 year old colt was back from a 101 day break 7 days ago, running a very creditable 2nd over C&D in this class & only losing out by a short head whilst 3-4 lengths clear of the remainder. Tyrsal who was his defeater that night 7 days ago is in this race also & it looks potentially as though the pair could fight it out once more. For me though SPREADABLE looks far better off in the weights tonight & will gain a further 6lb which could be just what is needed to reverse that form. Many of the others in this race have something to prove & on the facts & figures Tyrsal looks the main danger, i think he would certainly have to run a better race than that short head victory last time out & while that isn't out of the question he might just struggle to do so under his penalty. SPREADABLE ran very well last time out considering it was his AW debut & coming back from a break, taking into account the fact he carries just over an entire stone less than his conqueror means he is certainly one that catches the eye. Ridden by 7lb claimer Jordan Vaughan sees him go off just about lowest weight which should surely be to his advantage. He is well drawn in stall 2 & still unexposed coming into this for just his 5th run, merely a repeat of the form shown last time out could see him go close & if finding any improvement whatsoever then he should certainly be right up there at the business end & 15/8 looks a price worth the bet.
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