Monday started off well with the winner down at Plumpton but faded into just an average day resulting in 'break even' after the next 2 were unable to confirm some decent form, but nothing lost so could have been worse. Onto today & have 3 selections that look worth the punt & here they are;
Lingfield -
12:00 - JOYOUS - 1.5 Point EW @ 6/1 = PLACED (2nd)
Dean Ivory's 3 year old filly didn't show too much in maiden company but certainly catches the eye here now making her handicap debut after what was her best performance to date last time out when finishing a respectable 3rd in class 5 maiden company at Windsor back in October. That form reads quite well, considering she was only a couple of lengths behind the winner who has since gone on to obtain an official rating of 72 & is running in better races than this one today. She has been pitched in at the foot of the weights here in a class 6 handicap off an initial mark of 60 which could perhaps prove lenient. There are a few in the race with some decent form at this level but they are all far more exposed that JOYOUS who looks to have been pitched into a nice contest for her handicap debut. Making her AW debut today so she would have to take to the surface but her trainer runs plenty on the AW surfaces so realistically this shouldn't pose a problem, also comes off the back of a little break of 72 days & it wouldn't be a surprise is she is showing some improvement now. All in all JOYOUS is pretty unexposed & looks to have been found a nice race off a lowish mark, so if building on a decent run last time out in a maiden she could have a say & is worth the EW bet.
12:30 - PEACHEZ - 14/1 0.75 Point EW @ 14/1 = LOST (4th)
A small play on one of the outsiders in this field & in all honesty on the form shown this season by Seamus Durack's mare means the price comes as no great surprise, however despite not being able to produce so far this season, the form she showed last season was very impressive & she was one of the most consistent performers at her level, winning twice & finishing 2nd an additional 5 times. in her 4 runs so far this season she has admittedly been some way off her level of last year, but she has been racing in better races than this one today (usually 0-75, 0-70 today) & her handicap mark has dropped to its lowest for some time. last time out around here she finished back in 5th & despite not reaching the leaders she did keep on from the back towards the finish which suggest the step up to 2 miles today could do her some favours. The fact that George Baker gets the ride today is a big positive, considering he is one of the top experienced jockeys around here & also given the fact the only other time he has been on board was a winning occasion. Last time out she was very slowly away & she does has a general tendency to dwell at the start but providing its not one of her worst days start wise then this shouldn't cause too much concern given the distance of the race. Overall its clear to see from the stake that this is not a bet to be going crazy on but one that could potentially go well at a big price if recovering some old form under conditions that look pretty favourable.
Ludlow -
14:25 - RYDALIS - 2 Point Win @ 4/1 = LOST (2nd)
Venetia Williams' Mare RYDALIS has performed with plenty of credit on her 2 runs so far this season, finishing 2nd on both outings & possibly unlucky to bump into a couple of in form rivals each time. Last time out around here (26f, 24f today) she went clear 2 out but struggled to see out the trip & was headed close home to lose by just over a length but was a nice 3-4 lengths clear of a couple of rivals who she will face again today (Cootehill & Raduis Bleu) so on that form she looks to hold that pair. The return to 3 miles today certainly looks in favour & she looks nicely in towards the foot of the weights. Venetia's top jockey Aiden Coleman retains the ride which is certainly a plus & its nice to see that the connections are persisting at this level with a horse who certainly looks capable of having her day in sun sooner rather than later. Evan Williams' runner is the favourite & is probably the biggest danger, after winning a big field handicap at Cheltenham only 5 days ago but he could find things tougher off 6lb higher & perhaps there is a question mark over this race coming to soon. Overall for me RYDALIS has shown a couple of encouraging performances so far this season which suggest her day might not be far away & could go close once again today for her top trainer/jockey combination. 4/1 looks a nice price for a couple of points on the nose.
No comments:
Post a Comment