Yesterday afternoon's 3 tips made for poor viewing after they all failed to produce the goods, typically both the EW bets finished 4th also. The 2 evening tips in the 18:25 at Wolverhampton (tipped up in twitter) turned the day nicely around & brought about profit after finishing 1st & 2nd @ prices of 12/1 EW & 11/1 EW. Onto today & another decent day's racing looks on the cards, few tips that look worthwhile also so here they are;
Newbury -
13:45 - SHANTOU MAGIC - 1.5 Points EW @ 6/1 = LOST (4th)
Charlie Longsdon's lightly raced 6 year old, comes into this fascinating grade 1 contest for only his 4th racecourse outing. Has won both his hurdle starts to date & despite them coming in much weaker affairs he could hardly have been more impressive, running out a wide margin winner after being heavily eased on both occasions. Similar conditions faced here as on his first start over hurdles so he should feel at home. No doubt about it that the opposition faced here are all very decent & by far the best he has faced to date; however, he looks the one who could have the most improvement in him & can continue progressing for his top jockey/trainer combination. Despite only 2 places paid he looks the best value for filling one of them.
Catterick -
14:25 - SURPRISE VENDOR - 3 Point Win @ 3/1 = LOST (FELL 5th fence)
Been in tremendous form over fences for trainer Stuart Coltherd since making seasonal reappearance in early November, notching up two wins from his last two & looking steadily progressive in doing so. Those 2 runs have come over 17f & 18f, running out an easy winner on both occasions. On each of those runs he looked as though he had plenty more to give & proved that he can perform well under today's forecast conditions. This is his toughest task yet but certainly looks on the upward curve & with ridden by 7lb claimer puts him at the foot of the weights. The drop to 2 miles today doesn't look to be an obvious negative & if turning up here in the same mood as his last 2 runs then there is no reason why he cannot run another big race.
Chepstow -
14:35 - VINTAGE STAR - 1 Point EW @ 12/1 = LOST (6th/20) & TOUR DES CHAMPS - 0.75 Points EW @ 16/1 = LOST (pulled up)
The Welsh National is usually an open looking affair & this years renewal doesn't look anything different with 20 runners set to go to post the market looks typically open. In this sort of big field handicap staying chase races it's usually not wise to put endless effort in, but better to pick a few out that look good & hope for the best. First up Sue Smith's 7 year old has looked in good knick on both his outings so far this season, the pick of which came last time out when losing out narrowly in listed company, he showed plenty of progression with that effort & there could well be more to come now upped to this stamina emphasized trip. Proven on the ground & will carry less weight today so no reason why he shouldn't give his running once more. TOUR DES CHAMPS for the Twiston-Davies team is another who can potentially go well here. A respectable 4th in last season's Scottish National & ran out a respectable runner up of valuable Cheltenham handicap on his reappearance in October. Failed to justify favouritism next time out at, again at Cheltenham but that came over 28f & the manner in which he stayed on in 6th late in race indicates that he the return to the more testing trip could have a positive effect here. Another who's proven in the conditions & off a lowly weight here could have a decent run in him.
15:10 - GET IT ON - 1.5 Points EW @ 6/1 = LOST (5th)
Evan Williams' gelding has been in impressive form on his last 2 runs & this progressive looking sort could have a shout here if taking this step up in grade in his stride. A winner on both starts so far this season, including a 35 length victory over C&D on seasonal reappearance before winning easily once more next time out under a penalty 3 days later. No doubt this race is much tougher but it would come as no surprise that after those impressive victories his trainer has aimed him at a race of this sort. Proven form on this testing ground & ridden once more by 7lb conditional Conor Ring which see's this gelding sit nicely towards the foot of the weights. If capable of building on some promising performances so far this season then he can go well again & looks worth the EW money.
No comments:
Post a Comment