3 selections that look worth the bet today so here they are;
Plumpton -
13:15 - KNOCK HOUSE - 3.5 Point Win @ 2/1 = WON (rule 4 reduction for non runner)
Class 4 novice hurdle for this one & the one who immediately catches the eye is Mick Channon's runner KNOCK HOUSE, Ran a very respectable 3rd of 12 runners at Ascot recently in a class 3 maiden hurdle & drops into what looks an easier race here. Last time out was his first go over hurdles so connections would have been pleased with the performance & although he had no chance with the short priced Henderson trained winner he ran on well to press for 2nd close home, which looks a good indication that the extra furlong here today should be a positive. The form from that race looks fairly strong with the winner going to place in a grade 2 event & the second place who was only half a length in front of KNOCK HOUSE has gone to win a similar race to this one here. There are of course a few others in this race that are not without a decent shout, Call The Police for Nicky Henderson is bound to be well fancied but his jumping was not up to scratch last time out & to me the form he showed is certainly not on the same level as Mick Channon's charge. The French import Marcilhac could be a danger considering the good form he showed over fences in france but his credentials over hurdles are unproven & he may need the run after 225 days off, Sky Watch & Auld Sthock are not without their chances either but for me its hard to look past KNOCK HOUSE who's debut hurdle form is very encouraging. The Channon stable is one who have few runners in the national hunt season & fresh from a winner at the weekend they look to hold a good chance here & KNOCK HOUSE looks worth the bet at what looks nice odds of 2/1.
13:45 - DAYS OF PLEASURE - 1.5 Points EW @ 4/1 = LOST (pulled up after bad jump)
Some of you may look at this & question the 4/1 EW?, but with just the 7 runners standard bookies will pay 1/4 the odds which means money back if finishing second. This Chris Gordon trained gelding has been thriving over fences of late & comes into this seeking a hat trick under what look very suitable conditions. Was a soft ground winner last time out over C&D in a race which looks a fairly similar contest to this one. going from low in the weights has clearly helped him win when upped in grade last time & once again today will be the recipient of plenty of weight from his rivals. It would have been slightly more favourable had the ground been on the softer side but with forecast good to soft, the ground should be easing & isn't as much as a worry as if it were good ground. The from from the win last time out looks fairly strong with the two who finished in behind him going on to place & win next time out. In all fairness it should be said that a case could be made for most of these but DAYS OF PLEASURE is clearly thriving at the minute & doesn't seem to have much more on his plate than last time out & a similar performance could see him go close here & the EW looks worth taking while price is available.
Wolverhampton -
15:05 - MONTJESS - 3 Point Win @ 5/2 = LOST
This looks a trappy little handicap event despite the small field but for me MONTJESS stands out & is certainly the least exposed of this bunch. Tom Dascombe's 3 year old filly comes into this on the back of two course 2nds recently won over C&D 2 runs back & on recent form she surely would be anyone's pick. Last time out over over 17 f (today 14f ) she ran well when only a head 2nd, upped to a class 4 event but probably found the step up in trip just a bit much. Dropping back to 14f & in a class 5 here certainly looks favourable & carrying 9 st 3 she looks particularly well in at the weights given her official rating in relation with some of the other runners. Again this is another race where a case could be made for the most & in the early market Don Cantillons Odin looks fairly well supported but she will have to give MONTJESS 8 pounds & for two horses who are rated very similar this seems a fair amount. Could get this wrong but MONTJESS comes here in good nick & looks very well off in the weights, so a good run could be on the cards & a repeat of recent form would see her go close.
ALSO a £1 TRIXIE (total stake £4) on the 3 above selections.
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