Been a slow week in terms of selections, mainly because of commitments away from the racing, back today & just the one selection from me that looks worth the bet.
Exeter -
14:05 SONOFVIC - 6 Point Win @ 7/4 = LOST
Paul Nicholls' 8 year old gelding showed promise when returning from a long break to win over this C&D on similar good to soft ground recently & looks as though he can certainly go well here again. Came back last time out after a break of well over 500 days & got off the mark nicely by beating an Emma Lavelle trained odds on favourite by some 12 lengths. Although it was only a 3 runner race he done the job really well & beat a horse who was clearly well thought of. This gelding is still unexposed as a chaser, this is only his 7th run & has spent some lengthy spells off the racecourse. The form he has shown over fences looks good though, back in his novice days (2011) his best piece of form came in a grade 2 chase over this distance where he finished a close second to the then very impressive Grand Crus. The Twiston Davies trained/ridden, According To Trev looks the main danger in here who himself has run with credit over fences this season winning twice over 25 furlongs, but i think he would still have to show improvement on that if SONOFVIC turns up in the right mood. The ground looks no issue, since he has won on ground both good to soft & soft. SONOFVIC is still fully unexposed & came back from nearly 600 days off to win really well last time out & realistically he should be better for that run. It's certainly not out of the question to think he can improve & if he is turning up here in the same form as last time then he can be going close for his top yard, looks worth the bet at a decent looking price.
Friday 22nd November 2013
Unfortunately there will be nothing for the blog again today, i am busy away from the racing as i have been for the last few days. It's been a slow week so far & one of small losses but still overall its been a month of solid profit. Will be going over the next few days racing later on & hopefully there will be some picks that look worthwhile for me to post on the blog over the weekend.
Wednesday 20th November 2013
Well yesterday was a disappointing one, with none of the 3 selections able to yield a return & thus failing to confirm what looked promising form. BURREN VIEW LADY once again gave a solid effort but for the 3rd time running was frustratingly touched off into second. In the grand scheme of things this has still been a solid month of profit so far despite yesterday's losses. Yesterday's stakes weren't particularly high with only 8 points staked in total (still + 39.5 points for the month), but it was still a disappointing show & i can only apologise to anyone who followed. Although no one wants to lose, in this game there are always gonna be those bad days where things go against the form, this is only to be expected & in all fairness this has been the first real poor showing for quite some time so it isn't too bad. Today's racing doesn't look overly appealing on first glance & unfortunately i am busy away from the racing tomorrow also so it will be a day left alone, hopefully back thursday with some worthwhile selections.
Tuesday 19th November 2013 - Daily Tips
Saturday was the most recent day of tips & it was another nicely profitable day at that, overall it's been another good month & with a few weeks to go hopefully the month can continue on the upward curve. Onto today & the focus is purely on the AW meeting at Wolves this evening where there looks to be some decent bets.
Wolverhampton -
16:00 - BURREN VIEW LADY - 4 Point Win 5/2
BURREN VIEW LADY has been in very solid form this season for the Easterby yard & she hasn't finished outside of the top 2 places on her last 5 runs, winning on two of those occasions & they have all come at this venue, she looks set to go well once again & in all honesty it is very hard to make any sort of case against her. Last time out she was a promising 2nd of 12 runners over C&D in this class (class 4) & to me that looked a slightly stronger race than this one. This filly has shown impressive progression this summer since switched to the polytrack here & she clearly thrives on it, that last race was her hardest task yet & she ran with much credit after going down by only a neck to horse rated 85 & was 3 lengths clear of the rest. The horse who narrowly defeated her last time is of a higher mark than anything in this race, the main threat looks to come in the form of top weighted Fat Gary, who himself is a recent C&D winner but in what looks a weaker race than me on all evidence & he will have to give BURREN VIEW LADY 3lbs. This is a handicap so nothing should ever be taken for granted, but BURREN VIEW LADY has been in excellent form here & if running up to her latest piece of form she should be going very close & looks a nice bet, The early price looks to be a somewhat generous one & is certainly worth snapping up as odds of 5/2 mean you don't have to go big to get a really nice return.
17:30 - GREYEMKAY - 1 Point EW 11/2
GREYEMKAY is a horse i have backed a few times this season at decent EW prices & he is a horse who very often gives a good performance but is unlucky in defeat. To me he definitely looks as though a handicap win at this level is well within his grasp & so he looks worth the EW punt here. On both of his last two runs he has run a creditable 4th over C&D & has been perhaps unluckily touched off the place money each time. Last time out he put up a decent run in a class 6 (0-60) race, dropping down to a (0-52) tonight looks to be a big positive. Ridden by regular jockey Jacob Butterfield who claims 5lb means he will sit pretty nicely towards the foot of the weights which is another eye catching thing to bear in mind. One negative you could draw upon is the fact he is drawn wide in stall 12 but considering the race is over 1 mile 1f there is time to get placed well if he is given a decent ride, so this shouldn't cause for much concern. This is a fairly big field & there a few who bring decent form forward, but GREYEMKAY has performed well in a better race last time out & has shown some consistent form this season so a reproduction of that last performance here should see him make a decent claim for the places & is worth a small punt EW.
18:00 - KYLE OF BUTE - 1 Point EW 11/2
Very similar to the bet above, this gelding has performed with credit recently notching up a win & 2 decent 2nds over C&D from his last 4 runs. Similarly to above again he drops from a decent run in a (0-60) into a (0-52) so for me this gives him obvious appeal. He ran well last time out over C&D in second & perhaps delivered his challenge a tad early but either way it was a decent performance & considering this looks a weaker race he should be going well once again. Ridden by 5lb claiming apprentice Josh Baudains means he will be towards the bottom of the weights & he looks to be drawn well in stall 5 also. Once again with AW handicap stuff there are a few others who can go well but for me KYLE OF BUTE makes the most appeal after a decent run in what looked a better race, if able to reproduce that form he can go close once again & looks worth the EW money.
Wolverhampton -
16:00 - BURREN VIEW LADY - 4 Point Win 5/2
BURREN VIEW LADY has been in very solid form this season for the Easterby yard & she hasn't finished outside of the top 2 places on her last 5 runs, winning on two of those occasions & they have all come at this venue, she looks set to go well once again & in all honesty it is very hard to make any sort of case against her. Last time out she was a promising 2nd of 12 runners over C&D in this class (class 4) & to me that looked a slightly stronger race than this one. This filly has shown impressive progression this summer since switched to the polytrack here & she clearly thrives on it, that last race was her hardest task yet & she ran with much credit after going down by only a neck to horse rated 85 & was 3 lengths clear of the rest. The horse who narrowly defeated her last time is of a higher mark than anything in this race, the main threat looks to come in the form of top weighted Fat Gary, who himself is a recent C&D winner but in what looks a weaker race than me on all evidence & he will have to give BURREN VIEW LADY 3lbs. This is a handicap so nothing should ever be taken for granted, but BURREN VIEW LADY has been in excellent form here & if running up to her latest piece of form she should be going very close & looks a nice bet, The early price looks to be a somewhat generous one & is certainly worth snapping up as odds of 5/2 mean you don't have to go big to get a really nice return.
17:30 - GREYEMKAY - 1 Point EW 11/2
GREYEMKAY is a horse i have backed a few times this season at decent EW prices & he is a horse who very often gives a good performance but is unlucky in defeat. To me he definitely looks as though a handicap win at this level is well within his grasp & so he looks worth the EW punt here. On both of his last two runs he has run a creditable 4th over C&D & has been perhaps unluckily touched off the place money each time. Last time out he put up a decent run in a class 6 (0-60) race, dropping down to a (0-52) tonight looks to be a big positive. Ridden by regular jockey Jacob Butterfield who claims 5lb means he will sit pretty nicely towards the foot of the weights which is another eye catching thing to bear in mind. One negative you could draw upon is the fact he is drawn wide in stall 12 but considering the race is over 1 mile 1f there is time to get placed well if he is given a decent ride, so this shouldn't cause for much concern. This is a fairly big field & there a few who bring decent form forward, but GREYEMKAY has performed well in a better race last time out & has shown some consistent form this season so a reproduction of that last performance here should see him make a decent claim for the places & is worth a small punt EW.
18:00 - KYLE OF BUTE - 1 Point EW 11/2
Very similar to the bet above, this gelding has performed with credit recently notching up a win & 2 decent 2nds over C&D from his last 4 runs. Similarly to above again he drops from a decent run in a (0-60) into a (0-52) so for me this gives him obvious appeal. He ran well last time out over C&D in second & perhaps delivered his challenge a tad early but either way it was a decent performance & considering this looks a weaker race he should be going well once again. Ridden by 5lb claiming apprentice Josh Baudains means he will be towards the bottom of the weights & he looks to be drawn well in stall 5 also. Once again with AW handicap stuff there are a few others who can go well but for me KYLE OF BUTE makes the most appeal after a decent run in what looked a better race, if able to reproduce that form he can go close once again & looks worth the EW money.
Saturday 16th November 2013 - Daily Tips
Thursday was another good day, with the days only selection winning really nicely down at Taunton, bringing in healthy profit & its been a nicely profitable week in total with just 3 selections returning 2 winners & an EW placed. Big Saturday's racing ahead especially with the first big meeting of the NH season at Cheltenham but as usual i like to approach these days with caution & in complete honesty any serious betting is usually minimal on these 'big' saturday's, the racing at the big meetings should be enjoyed for what it is & not necessarily from a betting point of view. Have gone for a few small EW's over at Cheltenham that could go well & a double elsewhere which looks worth being on. Will be having a look through tonight's AW card at Wolves, is anything comes up then it will be posted on here later on this afternoon.
DOUBLE TO WIN - 5 Points 15/8
1340 - Uttoxeter - ASHES HOUSE = WON
15:50 - Wetherby - BLAKEMOUNT = WON
Starting with the Uttoxeter race, Rebecca Curtis' charge looks to have been found a good opportunity on just his third outing over hurdles. This gelding was twice a bumper winner & last time out over C&D he ran a very close second just in behind one of Jonjo O'neill's yards expensive purchase's & he was well clear of the rest of the field. That run was very encouraging & considering that was his first run for nearly a year he should be all the better for it. Conditions are very similar to that day so there should be no concern there & on the face of it this looks an easier race on paper. To sum up ASHES HOUSE performed with great credit last time in a stronger race & if he is able to reproduce that let alone show any improvement he can go very close & looks a nice first part to the double. On to BLAKEMOUNT, this 5 year old irish point winner comes into this for just his second outing over timber & he shaped with plenty of promise on debut when only beaten a few lengths into third over the same trip (20f) at Carlisle & he was a massive 26 lengths clear of the rest of the field that day. With condition's very similar here today he looks to have been found a race where if he is showing the same promise as on debut he can go really well. All in all this looks again a weaker race & he comes into with the best previous form. The double at 15/8 looks a decent bet & is worth the 5 points in my eyes.
Cheltenham -
13:50 - TOUR DES CHAMPS - 1 Point EW 7/1 = LOST (6th) & GODSMEJUDGE - 1 Point EW 7/1 = LOST (5th)
This staying chase over 3 mile 3 furlongs is a tough test for even the best handicap chasers & previous form around the famous Cheltenham course is usually essential when looking for decent prospects here, these two have both turned in decent efforts around here in recent times & both look as though they can go well again. Starting with the Twiston Davies trained TOUR DES CHAMPS, this 6 year old gelding turned in a respectable effort at last season's March meeting here over 25f finishing 8th of 24 in what is essentially a better level of race, that form was respectable but he looked much better when attempting the longer trip in the Scottish Grand National & ran a very respectable 4th. He looked better than ever when making his seasonal reappearance round here just 4 weeks ago & finished a solid second in a similar class of race to this one behind the impressive Balthazar King, this form looks strong considering Balthazar won again next time out around Cheltenham yesterday in the cross country chase. TOUR DES CHAMPS stayed on well in that race last time out over 25f & the step up to 28 today is surely on the plus side, he looks to be really well in off the weights carrying 10 st 1b & there should be no problems with the forecast ground since he has shown form on both good & soft ground, overall if he is in the same mood as last time out he can put in a good showing & looks worth a small bet EW.
Onto GODSMEJUDGE & the 7 year old Alan King trained gelding was the model of consistency last year in staying chase events, in his four runs he never finished out of the places & was twice a winner, most notably when picking up the Scottish Grand National in fine style on his last run of the season. He has shown good form around here which is certainly important, was far from disgraced when running a solid 3rd in the John Oaksey chase at last season's march festival. While this trip of 28f may not be completely his best trip he has won at shorter so there should be no real worries there for this real genuine stayer. He has also performed on a variety of grounds so no cause for concern in that department either. He is making his seasonal reappearance but he ran well fresh last season so could well be up to putting in a good show after a break once again. His win in the Scottish Grand National & his close 2nd in the Betfred Classic Chase at Warwick is some of the best form on offer in this race & if up to the task on his reappearance he is another who can go well & looks worth a little punt EW.
DOUBLE TO WIN - 5 Points 15/8
1340 - Uttoxeter - ASHES HOUSE = WON
15:50 - Wetherby - BLAKEMOUNT = WON
Starting with the Uttoxeter race, Rebecca Curtis' charge looks to have been found a good opportunity on just his third outing over hurdles. This gelding was twice a bumper winner & last time out over C&D he ran a very close second just in behind one of Jonjo O'neill's yards expensive purchase's & he was well clear of the rest of the field. That run was very encouraging & considering that was his first run for nearly a year he should be all the better for it. Conditions are very similar to that day so there should be no concern there & on the face of it this looks an easier race on paper. To sum up ASHES HOUSE performed with great credit last time in a stronger race & if he is able to reproduce that let alone show any improvement he can go very close & looks a nice first part to the double. On to BLAKEMOUNT, this 5 year old irish point winner comes into this for just his second outing over timber & he shaped with plenty of promise on debut when only beaten a few lengths into third over the same trip (20f) at Carlisle & he was a massive 26 lengths clear of the rest of the field that day. With condition's very similar here today he looks to have been found a race where if he is showing the same promise as on debut he can go really well. All in all this looks again a weaker race & he comes into with the best previous form. The double at 15/8 looks a decent bet & is worth the 5 points in my eyes.
Cheltenham -
13:50 - TOUR DES CHAMPS - 1 Point EW 7/1 = LOST (6th) & GODSMEJUDGE - 1 Point EW 7/1 = LOST (5th)
This staying chase over 3 mile 3 furlongs is a tough test for even the best handicap chasers & previous form around the famous Cheltenham course is usually essential when looking for decent prospects here, these two have both turned in decent efforts around here in recent times & both look as though they can go well again. Starting with the Twiston Davies trained TOUR DES CHAMPS, this 6 year old gelding turned in a respectable effort at last season's March meeting here over 25f finishing 8th of 24 in what is essentially a better level of race, that form was respectable but he looked much better when attempting the longer trip in the Scottish Grand National & ran a very respectable 4th. He looked better than ever when making his seasonal reappearance round here just 4 weeks ago & finished a solid second in a similar class of race to this one behind the impressive Balthazar King, this form looks strong considering Balthazar won again next time out around Cheltenham yesterday in the cross country chase. TOUR DES CHAMPS stayed on well in that race last time out over 25f & the step up to 28 today is surely on the plus side, he looks to be really well in off the weights carrying 10 st 1b & there should be no problems with the forecast ground since he has shown form on both good & soft ground, overall if he is in the same mood as last time out he can put in a good showing & looks worth a small bet EW.
Onto GODSMEJUDGE & the 7 year old Alan King trained gelding was the model of consistency last year in staying chase events, in his four runs he never finished out of the places & was twice a winner, most notably when picking up the Scottish Grand National in fine style on his last run of the season. He has shown good form around here which is certainly important, was far from disgraced when running a solid 3rd in the John Oaksey chase at last season's march festival. While this trip of 28f may not be completely his best trip he has won at shorter so there should be no real worries there for this real genuine stayer. He has also performed on a variety of grounds so no cause for concern in that department either. He is making his seasonal reappearance but he ran well fresh last season so could well be up to putting in a good show after a break once again. His win in the Scottish Grand National & his close 2nd in the Betfred Classic Chase at Warwick is some of the best form on offer in this race & if up to the task on his reappearance he is another who can go well & looks worth a little punt EW.
Thursday 14th November 2013 - Daily Tips
Tuesday the only day of involvement so far this week & it was a decent one with both the selections making a return with 1 placing & the other winning. Onto today & just the one pick later on this afternoon which looks worth the bet.
Taunton -
16:10 - ASSAM BLACK - 5 Point Win 13/8 = WON
Harry Fry's 5 year old comes into this for just his third run, he has shaped with promise on both of his two starts to date. On debut back in april he finished 3rd of 13 in a wincanton NH Flat race & was far from disgraced considering it was his first racecourse test. When making his seasonal reappearance last time out he showed some improvement when a keeping on 2nd at Newton Abbot last month behind what looks a decent prospect for Jonjo O'neill, He kept on well inside the final furlong & only went down by just over a length & was clear of the remainder. This race today looks to be a decent opportunity for him to continue his progression & go close again. The forecast going of 'good' should be of no worry. The main danger looks to be in the form of the David Pipe entrant Minela Scamp who made his debut last month & finished a respectable 6th of 15, realistically he can be expected to come on from that but i think ASSAM certainly shaped the stronger of the two last time out & if he himself is showing any improvement he may just prove to strong. There are a couple of interesting new comers but like i say if ASSAM is continuing where he left off they would have to put in a very decent performance to get involved. All in all ASSAM BLACK caught the eye last time & looks to have been found a good race to have another crack, i don't think he would have to show too much improvement to go very close once again & looks worth the punt.
Tuesday 12th November 2013 - Daily Tips
The last few days have been one's of no involvement, that has been mainly down to nothing really catching the eye in poor racing & partly down to having to focus on things away from the racing. Things are likely to be quiet around this time of year & it's important to be patient as always by trying to only take the bets that seem decent opportunities & not waste good profit on selections that are probably best avoided. Onto today & there are a couple that look worthwhile, although certainly not a day to be going crazy about.
Sedgefield -
14:50 - SAM LORD - 1.5 Points EW 6/1 = PLACED (2nd)
This 9 year old gelding tends to save his best runs for this track & with conditions looking to suit & circumstances perhaps in his favour he could go well here once again. He has three times been a winner round here & most recently when completing a quick double back in december over the shorter trip of 17f (today 20f). In relations to this race he did run a respectable 3rd at Carlisle over 20f back in April & last time out round this course he made his seasonal reappearance to finish a creditable 2nd of 14 over 17f, keeping on towards the finish so the step up here today looks as though it really shouldn't pose too much trouble. His previous wins here come on softer ground so there should be no worries there. Probably the big eyecatcher about this one is the fact he is so low in the weights & will receive a fair bit of weight pretty much all round & in conditions that could be quite testing this can be a valuable asset. As with typical handicap stuff there could be cases made for quite a few in here but SAM LORD seemingly likes it a lot round here & would appear to have a good shot at the place money, hopefully he has another big performance up his sleeve ready for this one. Not a bet to be going crazy about & as you can see pretty small stake for this one.
Wolverhampton -
16:50 - INTERCEPTION - 6 Point Win EVENS = WON
D R Lanigan's 3 year old filly has put in two solid performances in maiden company since making her reappearance this season, finishing 2nd the first time & winning last time out & looks set for better things now sent handicapping. She won last time out over C&D & did so in an impressive manner that left the viewers thinking she certainly had more to give if necessary. She showed a nice turn of foot to quicken clear of her rivals before being nicely eased in the closing stages. Steps into handicapping company for the first time & will have to carry top weight which is slightly off putting & I can admit that top weights in handicap company are usually something I would stay clear of & i may get this wrong but she was impressive last time out so I am willing to give her a go at this level considering she looked as though he had plenty more to give when beating a horse rated 70 with comfort, 70 is the opening mark she has been given herself which looks somewhat lenient. That handicap mark makes her the top rated horse in the race & if able to continue the progression she has shown so far then she should be hard to beat despite having to give weight away all round. Available looks to be the selections chief threat as she herself has put in some respectable C&D handicap efforts but I think could struggle to beat INTERCEPTION if she turns up in the same mood as last time. All in all this filly looks to be one who should have more to give now going handicapping & looks worth the bet.
Sedgefield -
14:50 - SAM LORD - 1.5 Points EW 6/1 = PLACED (2nd)
This 9 year old gelding tends to save his best runs for this track & with conditions looking to suit & circumstances perhaps in his favour he could go well here once again. He has three times been a winner round here & most recently when completing a quick double back in december over the shorter trip of 17f (today 20f). In relations to this race he did run a respectable 3rd at Carlisle over 20f back in April & last time out round this course he made his seasonal reappearance to finish a creditable 2nd of 14 over 17f, keeping on towards the finish so the step up here today looks as though it really shouldn't pose too much trouble. His previous wins here come on softer ground so there should be no worries there. Probably the big eyecatcher about this one is the fact he is so low in the weights & will receive a fair bit of weight pretty much all round & in conditions that could be quite testing this can be a valuable asset. As with typical handicap stuff there could be cases made for quite a few in here but SAM LORD seemingly likes it a lot round here & would appear to have a good shot at the place money, hopefully he has another big performance up his sleeve ready for this one. Not a bet to be going crazy about & as you can see pretty small stake for this one.
Wolverhampton -
16:50 - INTERCEPTION - 6 Point Win EVENS = WON
D R Lanigan's 3 year old filly has put in two solid performances in maiden company since making her reappearance this season, finishing 2nd the first time & winning last time out & looks set for better things now sent handicapping. She won last time out over C&D & did so in an impressive manner that left the viewers thinking she certainly had more to give if necessary. She showed a nice turn of foot to quicken clear of her rivals before being nicely eased in the closing stages. Steps into handicapping company for the first time & will have to carry top weight which is slightly off putting & I can admit that top weights in handicap company are usually something I would stay clear of & i may get this wrong but she was impressive last time out so I am willing to give her a go at this level considering she looked as though he had plenty more to give when beating a horse rated 70 with comfort, 70 is the opening mark she has been given herself which looks somewhat lenient. That handicap mark makes her the top rated horse in the race & if able to continue the progression she has shown so far then she should be hard to beat despite having to give weight away all round. Available looks to be the selections chief threat as she herself has put in some respectable C&D handicap efforts but I think could struggle to beat INTERCEPTION if she turns up in the same mood as last time. All in all this filly looks to be one who should have more to give now going handicapping & looks worth the bet.
Saturday 9th November 2013
Unfortunately there will be no involvement from me today as i am busy away from the racing. This week has been another decent one, with a few days worth of picks that yielded healthy profit on the whole, will be going through sundays action tonight & if anything catches the eye as a decent bet then it will be posted in the morning as always.
Thursday 6th November 2013 - Daily Tips
Tuesday turned out to be a day that brought around steady profit in the end thanks to the single & double bet both landing at Kempton to make up for a poor showing from the bet at Southwell. Onto today & its a day that contains much more involvement than recently with a few that look to have been found good opportunities & a few EW's that look as though they can go well for a small bet. Here they are;
Musselburgh -
13:30 - AKDAM 8 Point Win 11/8 = WON
This 3 year old gelding hasn't found it easy to win this season since getting his head in front at Hexham back in June, but is yet to finish outside the top 3 in the 5 runs he's had since that victory. That win back in the summer proved that he can get the job done at this level on his day & if taking a generous view on his runs since he has been unfortunate to find just a one or two too good each time. His best efforts since that victory came a month apart in late august & september both times hitting the places (2nd & 3rd) & on both occasions he was less than a couple of lengths behind the winner with the rest of the field well back. Both of those runs came over 17f in class 4 event (class 4 today). Although this is also a class 4, in complete fairness this looks a weaker race with only 4 runners, two of whom are debutants over timber & it looks on all evidence that this could be AKDAM's easiest opportunity to add to his tally. Forecast good ground should pose no threats. Obviously you have to take a bit of a chance here with the two newcomers, who both showed decent form on the flat & could quite conceivably be decent over hurdles but if AKDAM runs up to the pick of his form here today then they would have to put in quite a big debut performance in my opinion to beat him. All in all this looks a good opportunity for AKDAM to go close & seems worth a little bet.
14:30 - RATHVAWN BELLE 5 point Win 9/4 = LOST (2nd)
Similarly to the bet above, Lucinda Russel's mare might just have been found a good opportunity to go very close on her second start over hurdles. There is no doubt she showed the best form out of the field here in bumpers & although she was a disappointing odds on 2nd on her hurdles debut at Hexham 26 days ago it was her first run for 190 days & she may just have needed it. It wouldn't be surprising to see her improve for that run & despite last time out being only a 4 runner contest it was a class 4 novice hurdle (drops into class 5 maiden company here) & the her conqueror that day has gone on to run at grade 3 level since so she wasn't beaten by any old runner. The drop back to 2 miles looks as though it should suit after all she did win over 2 miles on her bumper debut. The forecast good ground shouldn't pose a problem & any rain that could change that would seem to be in her favour considering she's won on heavy. All in all if she is on her game & makes any likely improvement after that first run over hurdles she could be up there at the business end.
15:30 - WEYBRIDGE LIGHT 1 point EW 12/1 = LOST (5th)
Class 4 handicap hurdle for this one & WEYBRIDGE LIGHT might just be overpriced at 11/1 when you consider a combination of two things, firstly he has shown some decent form at a similar level recently & secondly receives weight from the majority of the field here. His best form was when winning a class 4 (class 4 today) handicap over 20f at Sedgefield back in early October, also posted a respectable third last time out over 16f but to me it looks as though that trip may have been slightly inadequate & the return to 20f here looks a definite positive. Has form on a variety of grounds so there should be no worries in that department. Like with most handicap stuff there are plenty in here that have chances but for me when you consider the above, WEYBRIDGE LIGHT might just represent some value at a nice price & looks worth a small EW bet.
Towcester -
14:40 - GIZZIT 1.5 points EW 7/1 = LOST
Handicap chase here (class 4) & one who catches the eye at a nice price is the Karen George trained gelding GIZZIT. He is still unexposed as a chaser after just two starts & comes into this as one of only 3 with previous chasing experience. Last time out he finished 4 of 7 over today's trip of 2m 1f but was only a total of 8 lengths behind the leader, which isn't terrible considering it was his first run for 139 days & in theory he should be sharper for the run. A big positive is that he will get weight all round here today, combine this with the fact that he has more experience over fences than the majority & he begins to make appeal. Has form on a variation of ground but seems to prefer the easing ground so the forecast good to soft should suit & any rain would probably be in his favour. Again its a handicap so cases could be made for a few but GIZZET has experience over fences which is more than a lot of these can offer, combined with the fact he has conditions to suit & going off lowest weight he looks a worthy prospect for an each way punt.
Wolverhampton -
17:50 AN CHULAINN 5 point Win 5/2 = WON
6f Maiden for this one & AN CHULAIN trained by Mark Johnston & ridden by the AW's man of the moment Silvestre De Sousa looks the one to be with on the pick of her respectable form. Her best form came in a valuable 6f 2 yr old event at the Curragh where she finished 3rd of 17 in behind a couple of decent sorts. She hasn't quite gone on to achieve anything major after that promising run but she has at least gone on to place & finish 4th in better races than this one. Last time out when finishing 4th at Ayr on soft ground in a class 4 maiden (class 6 today) is form that looks as though it may work out here, the horse who finished a few lengths in front of her in second has gone on to win a maiden here at wolves by a tidy margin so thats positive, she has also placed in a class 3 maiden over 7f. That race was over 7f & she progressed nicely into second before the final furlong so thoughts are that she may have gone closer over 6f & the drop back here looks to be in favour. Makes AW debut which is always a slight concern but she has shown form on a variety of turf ground so in theory she shouldn't have too much trouble handling the surface & if she does she looks to have a big chance. Jolly Red Jeanz is the one who looks to be the main danger & currently occupies joint favouritism in the market & although he ran a decent race over C&D last time out to finish 2nd in a class 5 maiden, it didn't look a particularly strong race & i personally think she may find it hard to beat AN CHULAINN if shes running up to her best form. AN CHULAINN will have to give 4lb away to what looks her main rival but if running her best then this is something she can overcome. All in all this Mark Johnston runner looks to have the opportunity of going close here if matching her best form & taking to the surface, looks a good bet at a price of 5/2 which seems somewhat generous.
18:20 WILHANA 4 point Win 2/1
Another maiden race, this time over the slightly extended mile trip & WILHANA after finishing 2nd on both of her starts to date looks to be the clear form pick for all she is hard to win with but looks to be worth another chance here tonight. Ran a respectable second on debut over C&D & looked in need to the experience, as a result she was heavily backed into odds on favouritism next time out again over C&D & she ended up going down by a neck, again giving here running but will be viewed as a bitter disappointment given her price tag which was never justifiable as an odds on bet so that should be ignored in my opinion. She no doubt has ability but just looks a slightly difficult one to strike with but coming into this race which certainly looks to lack depth she should be wiser after a couple of efforts & can go close once again. The main rival looks to be the godolphin newcomer History Book who looks a decent prospect on paper, if proving to be anything fairly special & of course ready to go first time then she could be a danger for a massive yard who know how to get a winner first time out, this being said it is no guarantee that she will perform first time out & is likely to be very short for a debutant, if WILHANA is showing any improvement she could make her experience count. In honesty i could certainly get this wrong but for me all in all WILHANA looks a fair price at 2/1 so you don't have to go big to get a nice return & for all she looks to have the best form going & is worth a go to get it right on the third time of asking.
Multiples -
DOUBLE TO WIN 2 points @ around 7/1
13:30 Musselburgh - AKDAM = WON
&
17:50 Wolverhampton - AN CHULAINN = WON
Also
SMALL STAKES LUCKY 15 TO WIN (1.5 point overall)
13:30 Musseburgh - AKDAM = WON
14:30 Musselburgh - RATHVAWN BELLE = LOST (2nd)
17:50 Wolverhampton - AN CHULAINN = WON
18:20 Wolverhampton - WILHANA = LOST (2nd)
Pay out for lucky 15 pretty much returned stake.
Musselburgh -
13:30 - AKDAM 8 Point Win 11/8 = WON
This 3 year old gelding hasn't found it easy to win this season since getting his head in front at Hexham back in June, but is yet to finish outside the top 3 in the 5 runs he's had since that victory. That win back in the summer proved that he can get the job done at this level on his day & if taking a generous view on his runs since he has been unfortunate to find just a one or two too good each time. His best efforts since that victory came a month apart in late august & september both times hitting the places (2nd & 3rd) & on both occasions he was less than a couple of lengths behind the winner with the rest of the field well back. Both of those runs came over 17f in class 4 event (class 4 today). Although this is also a class 4, in complete fairness this looks a weaker race with only 4 runners, two of whom are debutants over timber & it looks on all evidence that this could be AKDAM's easiest opportunity to add to his tally. Forecast good ground should pose no threats. Obviously you have to take a bit of a chance here with the two newcomers, who both showed decent form on the flat & could quite conceivably be decent over hurdles but if AKDAM runs up to the pick of his form here today then they would have to put in quite a big debut performance in my opinion to beat him. All in all this looks a good opportunity for AKDAM to go close & seems worth a little bet.
14:30 - RATHVAWN BELLE 5 point Win 9/4 = LOST (2nd)
Similarly to the bet above, Lucinda Russel's mare might just have been found a good opportunity to go very close on her second start over hurdles. There is no doubt she showed the best form out of the field here in bumpers & although she was a disappointing odds on 2nd on her hurdles debut at Hexham 26 days ago it was her first run for 190 days & she may just have needed it. It wouldn't be surprising to see her improve for that run & despite last time out being only a 4 runner contest it was a class 4 novice hurdle (drops into class 5 maiden company here) & the her conqueror that day has gone on to run at grade 3 level since so she wasn't beaten by any old runner. The drop back to 2 miles looks as though it should suit after all she did win over 2 miles on her bumper debut. The forecast good ground shouldn't pose a problem & any rain that could change that would seem to be in her favour considering she's won on heavy. All in all if she is on her game & makes any likely improvement after that first run over hurdles she could be up there at the business end.
15:30 - WEYBRIDGE LIGHT 1 point EW 12/1 = LOST (5th)
Class 4 handicap hurdle for this one & WEYBRIDGE LIGHT might just be overpriced at 11/1 when you consider a combination of two things, firstly he has shown some decent form at a similar level recently & secondly receives weight from the majority of the field here. His best form was when winning a class 4 (class 4 today) handicap over 20f at Sedgefield back in early October, also posted a respectable third last time out over 16f but to me it looks as though that trip may have been slightly inadequate & the return to 20f here looks a definite positive. Has form on a variety of grounds so there should be no worries in that department. Like with most handicap stuff there are plenty in here that have chances but for me when you consider the above, WEYBRIDGE LIGHT might just represent some value at a nice price & looks worth a small EW bet.
Towcester -
14:40 - GIZZIT 1.5 points EW 7/1 = LOST
Handicap chase here (class 4) & one who catches the eye at a nice price is the Karen George trained gelding GIZZIT. He is still unexposed as a chaser after just two starts & comes into this as one of only 3 with previous chasing experience. Last time out he finished 4 of 7 over today's trip of 2m 1f but was only a total of 8 lengths behind the leader, which isn't terrible considering it was his first run for 139 days & in theory he should be sharper for the run. A big positive is that he will get weight all round here today, combine this with the fact that he has more experience over fences than the majority & he begins to make appeal. Has form on a variation of ground but seems to prefer the easing ground so the forecast good to soft should suit & any rain would probably be in his favour. Again its a handicap so cases could be made for a few but GIZZET has experience over fences which is more than a lot of these can offer, combined with the fact he has conditions to suit & going off lowest weight he looks a worthy prospect for an each way punt.
Wolverhampton -
17:50 AN CHULAINN 5 point Win 5/2 = WON
6f Maiden for this one & AN CHULAIN trained by Mark Johnston & ridden by the AW's man of the moment Silvestre De Sousa looks the one to be with on the pick of her respectable form. Her best form came in a valuable 6f 2 yr old event at the Curragh where she finished 3rd of 17 in behind a couple of decent sorts. She hasn't quite gone on to achieve anything major after that promising run but she has at least gone on to place & finish 4th in better races than this one. Last time out when finishing 4th at Ayr on soft ground in a class 4 maiden (class 6 today) is form that looks as though it may work out here, the horse who finished a few lengths in front of her in second has gone on to win a maiden here at wolves by a tidy margin so thats positive, she has also placed in a class 3 maiden over 7f. That race was over 7f & she progressed nicely into second before the final furlong so thoughts are that she may have gone closer over 6f & the drop back here looks to be in favour. Makes AW debut which is always a slight concern but she has shown form on a variety of turf ground so in theory she shouldn't have too much trouble handling the surface & if she does she looks to have a big chance. Jolly Red Jeanz is the one who looks to be the main danger & currently occupies joint favouritism in the market & although he ran a decent race over C&D last time out to finish 2nd in a class 5 maiden, it didn't look a particularly strong race & i personally think she may find it hard to beat AN CHULAINN if shes running up to her best form. AN CHULAINN will have to give 4lb away to what looks her main rival but if running her best then this is something she can overcome. All in all this Mark Johnston runner looks to have the opportunity of going close here if matching her best form & taking to the surface, looks a good bet at a price of 5/2 which seems somewhat generous.
18:20 WILHANA 4 point Win 2/1
Another maiden race, this time over the slightly extended mile trip & WILHANA after finishing 2nd on both of her starts to date looks to be the clear form pick for all she is hard to win with but looks to be worth another chance here tonight. Ran a respectable second on debut over C&D & looked in need to the experience, as a result she was heavily backed into odds on favouritism next time out again over C&D & she ended up going down by a neck, again giving here running but will be viewed as a bitter disappointment given her price tag which was never justifiable as an odds on bet so that should be ignored in my opinion. She no doubt has ability but just looks a slightly difficult one to strike with but coming into this race which certainly looks to lack depth she should be wiser after a couple of efforts & can go close once again. The main rival looks to be the godolphin newcomer History Book who looks a decent prospect on paper, if proving to be anything fairly special & of course ready to go first time then she could be a danger for a massive yard who know how to get a winner first time out, this being said it is no guarantee that she will perform first time out & is likely to be very short for a debutant, if WILHANA is showing any improvement she could make her experience count. In honesty i could certainly get this wrong but for me all in all WILHANA looks a fair price at 2/1 so you don't have to go big to get a nice return & for all she looks to have the best form going & is worth a go to get it right on the third time of asking.
Multiples -
DOUBLE TO WIN 2 points @ around 7/1
13:30 Musselburgh - AKDAM = WON
&
17:50 Wolverhampton - AN CHULAINN = WON
Also
SMALL STAKES LUCKY 15 TO WIN (1.5 point overall)
13:30 Musseburgh - AKDAM = WON
14:30 Musselburgh - RATHVAWN BELLE = LOST (2nd)
17:50 Wolverhampton - AN CHULAINN = WON
18:20 Wolverhampton - WILHANA = LOST (2nd)
Pay out for lucky 15 pretty much returned stake.
Tuesday 5th November 2013 - Daily Tips
Yesterday's selection ran well at a nice price of 9/1 but was unfortunately touched out of the places close home & finished in 4th. Onto today & a few selections that catch they eye & look worthwhile.
Southwell -
16:10 - MILLKWOOD Win EVENS = LOST (2nd) & JIMINY EW 6/1 = LOST (4th)
Firstly MILLKWOOD has been the model of consistency this season in class 4 & 5 handicaps, finishing in the places no fewer than 6 times (his last 6 runs) & the drop back into maiden company today makes him look quite appealing. Of all the runners MILLKWOOD stands out on form credentials & while he is yet to get his head in front he brings forward by far the best consistency at the best level, the worry would be that this is his debut on Southwell's fibresand surface so whether he will take to it is unknown, however he has posted very good efforts on both soft & heavy, fibresand is likened to testing ground on the turf & while this is no guarantee it is a pointer that he should be ok & providing he does take to the surface fine then he looks very much the one to beat. The simple fact for this one is that MILLKWOOD has beaten horses rated a fair bit higher than all of his opponents today & if able to produce first time on this surface then he certainly looks worth another chance to break his maiden. JIMINY at a nice price looks worth a small EW bet to act as some cover for the main bet, He is still unexposed & ran a good close second over C&D last time out, all be it in a weaker race but further improvement isn't out of the question & he looks one of the more likelier ones for the places, also if MILLKWOOD fails to produce JIMINY looks to have the best proven form on the surface of those in this race so could be the one to capitalise.
Kempton -
18:30 - HAVELOVEWILLTRAVEL Win 5/4 = WON
Jeremy Noseda's filly looks a worthy favourite for this one & is still very much unexposed coming to what is only her 3rd race. Made a winning debut over C&D in maiden company back in September & followed that up with an encouraging 2nd in a class 5 handicap also over C&D 2 weeks ago. Dropping into a class 6 event tonight makes her an eye catching prospect. She still looked a bit green second time out even though managing to finish 2nd in what looks on paper a stronger event than this & she looks the type to improve for that run. Will have to give away some weight pretty much all round but not a huge amount & given the form of the majority of the field she could certainly go very well despite giving weight. Of course this is a handicap event so there are others who are not without chances & the main dangers are probably the hat trick seeking Princess Spirit & top weight Authoritarian. The former has won 2 C&D events on the bounce recently but they look weaker than this & she could struggle to overcome any improvement that HAVELOVEWILLTRAVEL has to offer, Authoritarian hails from the powerful Hannon yard & has shown some decent handicap form which would entitle her to get involved here but she gives the selection 3lb & could also struggle to deal with anything more HAVELOVEWILLTRAVEL has to offer. All in all this filly has known her job well on her first 2 outings & its unlikely she has shown her best, a replication of her already decent form should see her go close in this one & looks worth the punt.
ALSO A DOUBLE -
16:30 MUCH PROMISE & 18:30 HAVELOVEWILLTRAVEL @ 11/4 = WON
Southwell -
16:10 - MILLKWOOD Win EVENS = LOST (2nd) & JIMINY EW 6/1 = LOST (4th)
Firstly MILLKWOOD has been the model of consistency this season in class 4 & 5 handicaps, finishing in the places no fewer than 6 times (his last 6 runs) & the drop back into maiden company today makes him look quite appealing. Of all the runners MILLKWOOD stands out on form credentials & while he is yet to get his head in front he brings forward by far the best consistency at the best level, the worry would be that this is his debut on Southwell's fibresand surface so whether he will take to it is unknown, however he has posted very good efforts on both soft & heavy, fibresand is likened to testing ground on the turf & while this is no guarantee it is a pointer that he should be ok & providing he does take to the surface fine then he looks very much the one to beat. The simple fact for this one is that MILLKWOOD has beaten horses rated a fair bit higher than all of his opponents today & if able to produce first time on this surface then he certainly looks worth another chance to break his maiden. JIMINY at a nice price looks worth a small EW bet to act as some cover for the main bet, He is still unexposed & ran a good close second over C&D last time out, all be it in a weaker race but further improvement isn't out of the question & he looks one of the more likelier ones for the places, also if MILLKWOOD fails to produce JIMINY looks to have the best proven form on the surface of those in this race so could be the one to capitalise.
Kempton -
18:30 - HAVELOVEWILLTRAVEL Win 5/4 = WON
Jeremy Noseda's filly looks a worthy favourite for this one & is still very much unexposed coming to what is only her 3rd race. Made a winning debut over C&D in maiden company back in September & followed that up with an encouraging 2nd in a class 5 handicap also over C&D 2 weeks ago. Dropping into a class 6 event tonight makes her an eye catching prospect. She still looked a bit green second time out even though managing to finish 2nd in what looks on paper a stronger event than this & she looks the type to improve for that run. Will have to give away some weight pretty much all round but not a huge amount & given the form of the majority of the field she could certainly go very well despite giving weight. Of course this is a handicap event so there are others who are not without chances & the main dangers are probably the hat trick seeking Princess Spirit & top weight Authoritarian. The former has won 2 C&D events on the bounce recently but they look weaker than this & she could struggle to overcome any improvement that HAVELOVEWILLTRAVEL has to offer, Authoritarian hails from the powerful Hannon yard & has shown some decent handicap form which would entitle her to get involved here but she gives the selection 3lb & could also struggle to deal with anything more HAVELOVEWILLTRAVEL has to offer. All in all this filly has known her job well on her first 2 outings & its unlikely she has shown her best, a replication of her already decent form should see her go close in this one & looks worth the punt.
ALSO A DOUBLE -
16:30 MUCH PROMISE & 18:30 HAVELOVEWILLTRAVEL @ 11/4 = WON
Monday 4th November 2013 - Daily Tips
Today looks to be another difficult day from a betting angle especially in the two turf NH meetings & anyone who is posing great confidence in runners there probably should not, there are plenty of short priced favourites & small fields that just don't look to be offering much value particularly since we are still very much in the early stage of the NH season & await the ball to really get rolling, leaving things somewhat unpredictable. My focus today is on this afternoons AW meeting at Wolves & its a small focus at that where i have decided to go with one small EW that appears to be representing good value & looks on evidence as though he can go well.
Wolverhampton -
16:55 - GREYEMKAY 9/1 EW = LOST (4th/11)
This 5 year old gelding has been in decent form at this level for the majority of the season & has posted a couple of decent looking runs over C&D on his last two outings. His last two runs as just mentioned have come over C&D where he has posted respectable 3rd & 4th finishes both coming from some way back in the field to stay on well towards the finish. Although he is drawn in stall 9 which is a wider position than is ideal but considering the trip of 9 furlongs this isn't as crucial as over a sprint trip of say 5-6f. Will go off joint lowest weight in the race which is certainly something that catches the eye & can play to his advantage. Being a handicap of this nature there are plenty in here with chances & the majority will have shown decent form at one point or another but GREYEMKAY has been pretty consistent throughout the season & his two recent efforts over C&D make him look a decent EW bet. Advised as just a small EW bet on a day with nothing really serious, at the price of 9/1 this gives a nice return if he goes well but at the same time doesn't significantly affect the bankroll if things don't go the right way.
Wolverhampton -
16:55 - GREYEMKAY 9/1 EW = LOST (4th/11)
This 5 year old gelding has been in decent form at this level for the majority of the season & has posted a couple of decent looking runs over C&D on his last two outings. His last two runs as just mentioned have come over C&D where he has posted respectable 3rd & 4th finishes both coming from some way back in the field to stay on well towards the finish. Although he is drawn in stall 9 which is a wider position than is ideal but considering the trip of 9 furlongs this isn't as crucial as over a sprint trip of say 5-6f. Will go off joint lowest weight in the race which is certainly something that catches the eye & can play to his advantage. Being a handicap of this nature there are plenty in here with chances & the majority will have shown decent form at one point or another but GREYEMKAY has been pretty consistent throughout the season & his two recent efforts over C&D make him look a decent EW bet. Advised as just a small EW bet on a day with nothing really serious, at the price of 9/1 this gives a nice return if he goes well but at the same time doesn't significantly affect the bankroll if things don't go the right way.
Saturday 2nd November 2013 - Daily Tips
Unfortunately yesterday evening didn't go well with both selection failing to produce. In all fairness that has been really the first poor day for quite some time so it isn't too bad. Onto today & have gone for just the one selection here in the UK & a couple of picks for the Breeders Cup over at Santa Anita later on in the evening.
Wetherby -
15:00 AT FISHERS CROSS EVENS - NON RUNNER
There is no getting away from the fact that Rebecca Curtis' charge was the stand out staying hurdler in the novice division last year & went through the season with a perfect 6 from 6 unbeaten record. There will be lots of excitement around AT FISHERS CROSS this year as people will be backing him to go onto even bigger things. Towards the back end of last season he contested in two Grade 1 races at both the big meetings (Cheltenham & Aintree) & did not disappoint, running out a very impressive winner on both occasions under the champion jockey. He is no stranger to getting the job done under the forecast soft ground conditions & overall it really is hard to pick any holes in his profile. I am always wary of horses coming back from a break but there is no doubt this gelding has been well prepared for the new season by the curtis yard & he has come back to win on seasonal reappearance before so this shouldn't be cause for too many worries. Although he was so impressive last season there are still some very decent opposition today despite the small field, most notably coral cup winner Medinas & the victor in this race last year, the Paul Nicholls trained Tidal Bay. The former was a good winner of the Coral cup at the cheltenham meeting but was unable to go on an produce anything when upped to a grade 1 at Aintree for his last race of the season, Tidal Bay has been an excellent servant over both fences & hurdles but is now a 12 year old & i think may perhaps be short of the level that AT FISHERS CROSS looks capable of producing. All in all this is a decent renewal of the grade 2 prize but for me it is too hard to look past AT FISHERS CROSS & ready on reappearance & able to produce anything near the form he showed in the grade 1 novice events he will be hard to beat under MCcoy who is closing in on that magical 4000th winner, backed at Fishers Cross 3 times last season & he delivered on all 3 occasions & once again in my eyes he looks to be a bet not to miss out on despite the short price.
ALSO AT FISHERS CROSS ON A DOUBLE WITH WISE DAN (23:40 Santa Anita) @ 5/2 = WON (Becomes evens single due to non runner)
Breeders Cup (Santa Anita) -
It is that time of year again where as the Flat season in Britain & Europe has come to a close, plenty of the European top flat performers are sent to contest in a meeting which is certainly in the modern era one of the biggest meetings worldwide. For any racing fan the Breeders Cup is a must watch as some of the worlds finest Equine Talent goes head to head. As to be expected it is very tough from a betting point of view but nonetheless i have gone for a few picks later on in the meeting that look decent & couldn't resist having a little go on one of this seasons top British Fillies. It is best to say though that the meeting should be mainly enjoyed for what it is & not from a real serious betting point of view.
Time of races are UK times.
22:22 Breeders Cup Turf (Grade 1) - THE FUGUE Win - 5/2 (fun bet) = LOST (2nd)
23:40 Breeders Cup Mile (Grade 1) - WISE DAN Win - EVENS = WON
00:35 Breeders Cup Classic (Grade 1) - Game On Dude Win - 11/4 (fun bet)
Wetherby -
15:00 AT FISHERS CROSS EVENS - NON RUNNER
There is no getting away from the fact that Rebecca Curtis' charge was the stand out staying hurdler in the novice division last year & went through the season with a perfect 6 from 6 unbeaten record. There will be lots of excitement around AT FISHERS CROSS this year as people will be backing him to go onto even bigger things. Towards the back end of last season he contested in two Grade 1 races at both the big meetings (Cheltenham & Aintree) & did not disappoint, running out a very impressive winner on both occasions under the champion jockey. He is no stranger to getting the job done under the forecast soft ground conditions & overall it really is hard to pick any holes in his profile. I am always wary of horses coming back from a break but there is no doubt this gelding has been well prepared for the new season by the curtis yard & he has come back to win on seasonal reappearance before so this shouldn't be cause for too many worries. Although he was so impressive last season there are still some very decent opposition today despite the small field, most notably coral cup winner Medinas & the victor in this race last year, the Paul Nicholls trained Tidal Bay. The former was a good winner of the Coral cup at the cheltenham meeting but was unable to go on an produce anything when upped to a grade 1 at Aintree for his last race of the season, Tidal Bay has been an excellent servant over both fences & hurdles but is now a 12 year old & i think may perhaps be short of the level that AT FISHERS CROSS looks capable of producing. All in all this is a decent renewal of the grade 2 prize but for me it is too hard to look past AT FISHERS CROSS & ready on reappearance & able to produce anything near the form he showed in the grade 1 novice events he will be hard to beat under MCcoy who is closing in on that magical 4000th winner, backed at Fishers Cross 3 times last season & he delivered on all 3 occasions & once again in my eyes he looks to be a bet not to miss out on despite the short price.
ALSO AT FISHERS CROSS ON A DOUBLE WITH WISE DAN (23:40 Santa Anita) @ 5/2 = WON (Becomes evens single due to non runner)
Breeders Cup (Santa Anita) -
It is that time of year again where as the Flat season in Britain & Europe has come to a close, plenty of the European top flat performers are sent to contest in a meeting which is certainly in the modern era one of the biggest meetings worldwide. For any racing fan the Breeders Cup is a must watch as some of the worlds finest Equine Talent goes head to head. As to be expected it is very tough from a betting point of view but nonetheless i have gone for a few picks later on in the meeting that look decent & couldn't resist having a little go on one of this seasons top British Fillies. It is best to say though that the meeting should be mainly enjoyed for what it is & not from a real serious betting point of view.
Time of races are UK times.
22:22 Breeders Cup Turf (Grade 1) - THE FUGUE Win - 5/2 (fun bet) = LOST (2nd)
23:40 Breeders Cup Mile (Grade 1) - WISE DAN Win - EVENS = WON
00:35 Breeders Cup Classic (Grade 1) - Game On Dude Win - 11/4 (fun bet)
Friday 1st November 2013 - Daily Tips
Apologies for the late posting of the blog today, have a few selections that look worth the bet for this evenings all weather cards, here they are;
Dundalk -
17:35 - MONSIEUR POWER 'WIN' EVENS = LOST (3rd)
Edward Lynams 2 year old colt has performed with definite credit on both of his outings so far & none more so than last time out when he was a respectable 3rd in Listed company over 6f at Curragh. That run last time out confirmed the promise that he showed on debut when he finished 3rd again at the Curragh over 6f, considering it was his debut he travelled into the race very well & had it been over tonight's trip of 5f he may have gone even closer. The drop to 5f tonight looks as though is should suit considering he has travelled well on both his starts & got into a nice position but kept on same pace in the final furlong. On paper this race looks his easiest task yet & when you consider he went well last time in listed company finishing in front of one particular horse rated 100, he can go close tonight dropping back down to maiden company. Makes his AW debut tonight but hopefully that shouldn't bee to much of a problem, one negative you could come across is the fact that he is drawn wide in stall 10 but then again a bit of good positioning from the jockey at the start could see him overcome this & Kernoff who looks perhaps the main danger is also drawn wide in stall 9 so too much shouldn't be made of this i don't think. There a few others in the race who have decent form but none that match the form MONSIEUR POWER has shown in better company so all in all he looks to have plenty in favour here & make a bold bid.
Wolverhampton -
19:55 - CANDY KITTEN EW 11/2
& CANDY KITTEN 'To Place' (betfair, finish top 3) 6/4
CANDY KITTEN is a 3 year old filly who has gone pretty well of late & has shown improvement in each of her two runs on the polytrack this term, looks capable of going well once again. She was able to post a decent third behind a runaway front pair in this class (5) over 8f at Lingfield at the back end of september & followed that up with a win over C&D 13 days ago. That run last time out she looked to really benefit from the fitting of cheek pieces & being upped the extra furlong to 9f, that race was in maiden company but she stayed on best to beat a long odds on favourite who last time out herself had beaten some horses rated in the mid 70's which on ratings is better than anything in this field tonight. The cheekpieces go on again tonight & if they have the desired effect once more & she shows any more improvement she can run very well. There are a few others who could have cases made for them but CANDY KITTEN is in good form & on recent evidence has decent place claims at a nice price.
Wolverhampton -
19:55 - CANDY KITTEN EW 11/2
& CANDY KITTEN 'To Place' (betfair, finish top 3) 6/4
CANDY KITTEN is a 3 year old filly who has gone pretty well of late & has shown improvement in each of her two runs on the polytrack this term, looks capable of going well once again. She was able to post a decent third behind a runaway front pair in this class (5) over 8f at Lingfield at the back end of september & followed that up with a win over C&D 13 days ago. That run last time out she looked to really benefit from the fitting of cheek pieces & being upped the extra furlong to 9f, that race was in maiden company but she stayed on best to beat a long odds on favourite who last time out herself had beaten some horses rated in the mid 70's which on ratings is better than anything in this field tonight. The cheekpieces go on again tonight & if they have the desired effect once more & she shows any more improvement she can run very well. There are a few others who could have cases made for them but CANDY KITTEN is in good form & on recent evidence has decent place claims at a nice price.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)