Tuesday 19th November 2013 - Daily Tips

Saturday was the most recent day of tips & it was another nicely profitable day at that, overall it's been another good month & with a few weeks to go hopefully the month can continue on the upward curve. Onto today & the focus is purely on the AW meeting at Wolves this evening where there looks to be some decent bets.

Wolverhampton -

16:00 - BURREN VIEW LADY - 4 Point Win 5/2

BURREN VIEW LADY has been in very solid form this season for the Easterby yard & she hasn't finished outside of the top 2 places on her last 5 runs, winning on two of those occasions & they have all come at this venue, she looks set to go well once again & in all honesty it is very hard to make any sort of case against her. Last time out she was a promising 2nd of 12 runners over C&D in this class (class 4) & to me that looked a slightly stronger race than this one. This filly has shown impressive progression this summer since switched to the polytrack here & she clearly thrives on it, that last race was her hardest task yet & she ran with much credit after going down by only a neck to horse rated 85 & was 3 lengths clear of the rest. The horse who narrowly defeated her last time is of a higher mark than anything in this race, the main threat looks to come in the form of top weighted Fat Gary, who himself is a recent C&D winner but in what looks a weaker race than me on all evidence & he will have to give BURREN VIEW LADY 3lbs. This is a handicap so nothing should ever be taken for granted, but BURREN VIEW LADY has been in excellent form here & if running up to her latest piece of form she should be going very close & looks a nice bet, The early price looks to be a somewhat generous one & is certainly worth snapping up as odds of 5/2 mean you don't have to go big to get a really nice return.

17:30 - GREYEMKAY - 1 Point EW 11/2

GREYEMKAY is a horse i have backed a few times this season at decent EW prices & he is a horse who very often gives a good performance but is unlucky in defeat. To me he definitely looks as though a handicap win at this level is well within his grasp & so he looks worth the EW punt here. On both of his last two runs he has run a creditable 4th over C&D & has been perhaps unluckily touched off the place money each time. Last time out he put up a decent run in a class 6 (0-60) race, dropping down to a (0-52) tonight looks to be a big positive. Ridden by regular jockey Jacob Butterfield who claims 5lb means he will sit pretty nicely towards the foot of the weights which is another eye catching thing to bear in mind. One negative you could draw upon is the fact he is drawn wide in stall 12 but considering the race is over 1 mile 1f there is time to get placed well if he is given a decent ride, so this shouldn't cause for much concern. This is a fairly big field & there a few who bring decent form forward, but GREYEMKAY has performed well in a better race last time out & has shown some consistent form this season so a reproduction of that last performance here should see him make a decent claim for the places & is worth a small punt EW.

18:00 - KYLE OF BUTE - 1 Point EW 11/2

Very similar to the bet above, this gelding has performed with credit recently notching up a win & 2 decent 2nds over C&D from his last 4 runs. Similarly to above again he drops from a decent run in a (0-60) into a (0-52) so for me this gives him obvious appeal. He ran well last time out over C&D in second & perhaps delivered his challenge a tad early but either way it was a decent performance & considering this looks a weaker race he should be going well once again. Ridden by 5lb claiming apprentice Josh Baudains means he will be towards the bottom of the weights & he looks to be drawn well in stall 5 also. Once again with AW handicap stuff there are a few others who can go well but for me KYLE OF BUTE makes the most appeal after a decent run in what looked a better race, if able to reproduce that form he can go close once again & looks worth the EW money.

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