Sunday 29th September 2013

Well yesterday's Group 1 previews that i posted got plenty of views so that was pleasing, what was also pleasing was that in both races two of the horses that i gave the highest ratings to ended up winning. I hope readers found the analysis both helpful & interesting & if anyone has any feedback then don't hesitate to write to me on twitter. No selections for today or most likely tomorrow (monday) as i am going to be busy with other commitments. This month has been a quiet one in terms of selections as i have found it a difficult period to really get excited & get behind too much. However, it has still be profitable month which is always important (see profit details below or on the statistics page). This means that the first 3 months since starting the blog have all ended in steady profit which is pleasing.

I am also glad to see that a few readers have got involved on the poll regarding whether to introduce a few football selections that look decent value onto the blog every now & then. I know a lot of readers view on the mobile site & for some reason the poll doesn't appear on that but  if you get the chance to get on a computer in the next week (poll ends in a week) then get involved as it would be great to see how many people get behind it as its only something i would introduce if readers feel its a good idea.

All in all its been a good start over the last 3 months & its good to see that the blog is getting plenty of regular readers & that the people who have given some feedback over twitter seem happy. If anyone has any questions or feedback or anything else then get in contact via the email above or over twitter. see below this months & the overall figures so far for the tips.

September 2013 (11 days of tips) (Quiet in terms of selections, often only 1 at a time)
= + 36 points (my actual profit) 

Alternatively for a £10 stake on each selection (£5 EW for a each way's) this month (11 days) the return would be = + £105.87 (profit) So not amazing but on by far the quietest month to date in terms of how many tips were posted its still a profitable return.

3 Monthly Total (34 days of tips) = + 166.4 points (my actual figures) 

For a £10 level stakes example on all selections over the first 3 months the return would be = + £818.45 (profit)

Saturday 28th August 2013

With a big days Racing ahead at newmarket today i have decided to go through & write up a couple of detailed previews for the Two Group 1 affairs taking place; The Cheveley Park Stakes & The Sun Chariot Stakes, for anyone who is interested in having a bet in those races.

Newmarket -

14:35 Connoly's Red Mills Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies, 2YO)

Some of this season's best 2 year old fillies gather here for this one & like always at group level the race is filled with some of the top stables & jockeys who line up ready to go head to head once more, one things for certain is that this is definitely not a race that lacks quality so we should be in for an exciting race which will ultimately determine which filly comes out as the top 2YO of the season. Below i have gone through each runner & given then a rating out of 10.

ALUTIQ - This Eve Johnson Houghton filly showed some solid promise when making a winning start on debut back in April at Kempton over 5f & followed that up by winning a handicap event at Newbury also over 5f two races later, but has perhaps not gone on from that how her connections may have wanted. Following that Newbury Success she stepped up to contest a group 2 at Royal Ascot & certainly wasn't disgraced when finishing 7th of 23 runners behind the very impressive Rizeena, in my eyes this is her best run to date. Since then she has finished a solid 5th in a big fielded valuable handicap but her last two runs (one at group 2 & last time at listed company) have been moderate at best finishing 5/9 & 4/6. Majority of her runs have come on the good to firm ground so no problems there although i think she would have to improve a fair bit & produce by far her best run yet to take this one. Overall Rating = 4

COME TO HEEL - This Irish runner is coming over to England for the first time which on that evidence alone suggest he should be pretty useful. Only had two runs to date & has won them both so not much more could be asked of her in that respect. First time out over today's trip of 6f she kept on well to win a maiden at Cork & she followed that promise up with a decent win in listed class next time out under a hands & heels ride from Wayne Lordan & gave the impression that there was perhaps more in the tank if needed. No doubt about it today's task is much harder & although she is not fully exposed & looks as though she should be still improving i think she would need to improve some way & may find a few of these two strong when it comes down to it. Overall Rating = 6 

DOROTHY B - This filly represents the John Gosden stable here & she has shown some promise on her three outings to date. Firstly winning a maiden pretty much at ease on her second start at Nottingham over 6f after looking in need of experience when running greenly on debut. That nottingham win came on good too soft ground & she seemed to relish the easing ground. Her best performance to date came last time out in listed company when beaten into second by only a neck by another of today's runner Joyeuse, that run came on good to firm show she looks as though she could be a versatile sort in terms of ground. That run last time out earnt her an official rating of 102 which means potentially she should be closely matched with a few of these & while further improvement is not guaranteed it is likely. Depending on how much improvement we see she could run well & may be worth an each way bet but perhaps taking this might be a bit out of reach. Overall Rating = 6.5

JOYEUSE - Lady Cecil's entry here is another runner here who comes into this for only her fourth racecourse appearance & has she has shaped with plenty of promise so far. Her best performance came when she finished a respectable 3rd of 19 behind one of today's biggest players Kiyoshi in the group 3 Albany Stakes at Royal Ascot back in June. She ran on well that day from off the pace to finish 3-4 lengths behind the winner. That run was definitely an improvement on her winning debut run & she followed them both up with a win at listed company last time out when finishing a neck in front of the above mentioned Dorothy B so those two potentially closely matched & could have an interesting battle again today. All in all she looks a decent prospect who has shown she can mix it a group 3 level, I'm not quite sure whether she can cut it at group 1 level & would have to some some 4 lengths with Kiyoshi, but with a lot of these also stepping up for the first time if she continues an upward curve she can run a decent race & may be a viable each way bet. Overall Rating = 7

KIYOSHI - Comes into this as one of the big players & rightly so. This Charlie Hills trained filly has shown plenty of quality on her 4 starts to date. After running a creditable 4th on debut in a big field she wasted no time looking back & decisively landed a goodwood maiden over 6f beating the recent group 2 winner Ihtimal by 1 1/2 lengths. Her last two runs still confirm that she is on the up, when firstly winning the 6f group 3 Albany Stakes at Royal Ascot by a decent margin & lost nothing last time out when finishing 2nd behind Rizeena at Curragh after stepping in to 7f to contest a group 1 race for the first time. The good to firm ground is of no problem & today's drop back to 6f i think should only be viewed as a positive. Her form last time out is definitely some of the best on offer & if in the same mood here she could be very hard to beat & should be up there at the business end. Overall Rating = 9

PRINCESS NOOR - Roger Varian's entry showed last time out in group 3 event at Ascot that she definitely does have some ability in big races when beating the well thought of Queen Catrine by 2 lengths, but her form in behind that doesn't look too appealing where she finished a moderate 5/8 & 9/19 in group 2 & 3 races respectively. That 9th came in the Albany Stakes at Royals Ascot & she ended up some 8 lengths behind Kiyoshi who is one of the ones who sets a pretty solid standard here so she would have plenty to find for this. That win last time out was a decent one none the less & if further improvement is on the cards then she can put in a decent run but would need to produce by some way her best effort to date to win this & is probably one for an EW bet at best. Overall Rating = 6

RED LADY - Frankie Dettori's mount comes into this for her fourth racecourse outing. She did indeed show promise when decisively winning a maiden on her second race by 4 lengths over 6f at Haydock & that run came after she finished last of 9 on debut in a warm maiden which produced a top 2YO as the winner in Rizeena. Last time out she was unable to really impress & build on that good maiden success when she was only a moderate 11th of 19 in the Albany Stakes who everyone will know by now was Kiyoshi, so she has plenty of ground to make up with her. All in All i don't think she has shown enough to get seriously involved here today & it would take some considerably improvement after her 99 days off for her to cause an upset here. Overall Rating = 2

VORDA - This French raider comes over to Britain for the first time today & therefore shouldn't be taken lightly as anything the French send over is usually quite handy. She made light work of her first 3 starts by winning all of them including a listed stakes & a group 2 event, both at Maissons-Lafitte & both over 5f. In addition to this excellent start she lost nothing in defeat when stepping up to 6f for the first time last time out in a group 1 event at Deauville when she was beaten by the outstanding american sprinter No Nay Never & she also had Rizeena in behind her that day. The only slight doubt you may have is that she will be experiencing the quickest ground to date with the forecast good to firm but she's looked a class act so can handle this i expect. That latest form puts her right at the front of the que for this one & has to be greatly feared, She is the early priced favourite & i don't think anyone could really argue with that & she should have a bold showing in her which ought to see her right up there. Overall Rating = 9

Chirpy's Verdict -

As with most Group 1 races this should be a good one to watch for the spectator. Kiyoshi & Vorda based on their proven group 1 form (strong form at that) look probably the pair to be concentrating on, neither of them should be disregarded here & are likely to be closely grouped at the front of the market. Come to Heel, Dorothy B & Joyeuse all have likely improvement in them & if continuing on their upward curves any one of them could be a decent EW bet if your looking for something at slightly bigger odds than the two that are likely to dominate the market. All in All though for me Kiyoshi & Vorda can settle this between the two of them & we could potentially see a fascinating battle. 

I hope readers find this review both helpful & interesting & as always i would love to hear any feedback anyone might have, just write to me on twitter. Good Luck with whoever you choose!

15:10 Kingdom Of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes (Group 1) (Fillies, 3YO +)

The feature race of the day & its set to be good one, with most of the hype around the renewal of the rivalry between the Hannon trained Sky Lantern & John Gosden's Elusive Kate, the pair fought out a controversial ending over C&D in the Falmouth stakes back in July when Elusive Kate come out on top & they look set to play a big part in what should be another fascinating contest. On other fronts the likes of Charlie Hills & Sir Michael Stoute enter some big runners, while Chigun & Duntle go forward for Lady Cecil & D Wachman respectively. On the whole it looks like spectators have another interesting group 1 race to enjoy. Below i have gone through each runner in more & given them an overall rating.

CHIGUN - Lady Cecil's entry comes into this one the back of some poor displays of late after showing some decent promise towards the end of last season. Her last two runs have come at group 1 level where she has been unable to really get involved finishing 7th of 12 7 9th of 12 at Leopardstown & Deauville over in France. Her best form to date came back in may when she ran out a ready winner in a decent group 3 event over 8f at Curragh, this race showed that she has got some talent but she has been unable to go on from that & is yet to prove that she can really cut it at this higher level. If you go back through her races i think you could draw conclusion that she prefers the ground on the firmer side so today's should suit but neverless it looks as though she would have to put some poor efforts behind her and show lots of improvement to get seriously competitive here. Overall Rating = 4

DUNTLE - This Irish Raider comes into this one on the back of what was probably her best piece of form so far when she finished 2nd in a group 1 last time out at Deauville in France but was beaten over 2 lengths that day by one of the biggest players in this one Elusive Kate so it looks as though she would still need to find more to go one better here, admittedly the ground was probably too soft for her liking in that one & today's firmer ground looks to suit better but still has a bit to find. DUNTLE has proved over the past two years that she is a solid group level horse winning 3 times at group 2 & 3 & she has also proved that she can cut it at Group 1 level having finished 2nd on both of her two attempts to date, including when only beaten a head over 8f a leopardstown back in september last year. Overall she isn't one to disregard lightly but is probably best thought of as an each way bet in this one. Overall Rating = 7

ELUSIVE KATE - John Gosden's 4 year old is considered a big player for this one & i think you'd have to be on another planet to disagree, If there's one thing she definitely shows is consistency at the top level, running from the front she is workman like but with class & has reaped the rewards at group 1 level several times over the last few years showing figures of; 10 runs, 4 wins, 4 placed, so her consistency is there for all to see. Her most relevant piece of form in terms of this race has to be when she won the Falmouth stakes over C&D back in July & although it was somewhat controversial with a stewards enquiring into her hampering the second placed Sky Lantern by running across, there wasn't to much in it & in all honesty she always looked to be holding Sky Lantern. All in all she has proved herself to be a very consistent Group 1 performer & although she ran poorly last time out if she bounces back to near her best today in conditions that look to suit she should be right up there & is certainly not one for dismissing. Overall Rating = 9

LA COLLINA - Showed plenty of promise as a 2 year old and didn't waste much time when winning a group 1 event over 6f at the Curragh on only her third racecourse start but then failed to go on from that & was only able to post placed efforts at Group 1, 2 & 3 until recently when she was a surprise 25/1 winner of a group 1 at Leopardstown over today's trip of a mile. She has shown her best overall form i think on good ground so today's quick firmer ground might not be ideal. Her overall form is pretty patchy & certainly doesn't scream consistency, there's also no guarantee that she'll be able reproduce that run last time out although if she did she could be an interesting prospect. Overall she doesn't look one for maximum confidence but if in same mood as last time out could have each way claims. Overall Rating = 6

INTEGRAL - Sir Michael Stoute's 3 year old has won 3 of her 4 outings so far & has shown some promise in doing so. Her best form came last time out when she ran on strongly in a group 3 event over today's trip of a mile at Sandown to force a dead heat on the line. Before that sandown run she raced in a group 1 event over 10f at Goodwood & in all honesty never got into it. Although she ran well last time out i think she would have to shown large improvement today to get seriously involved & although Ryan Moore is a positive rider & he does have his moments of magic she would have to lay down her biggest performance to date to have a real say in this. Overall Rating = 4

JUST THE JUDGE - Hailing from the well known Charlie Hills stable, this 3 year old has won 4 of her 7 racecourse outings & has placed on two of the other 3 (6 at group level) so doubt that she is a horse with some definite talent. Her best form came when she was seen winning the Irish 1,00 Guineas at the Curragh back in late may. Either side of that victory she was beaten by today's early Favourite Sky Lantern, firstly over C&D in the 1,000 guineas & then at the Royal Ascot meeting in the Coronation Stakes. She has looked as though she can certainly mix it at group 1 level despite a poor run last time out but the trip wasn't ideal & back at her optimum now but she looks to have a bit to find with Sky Lantern if she is to really lay down a big challenge here, foolish to dismiss but might find one or two too strong at the business end. Overall Rating = 7

SKY LANTERN - The ever present Hughes/Hannon combination head into this seeking revenge on Elusive Kate for the Falmouth & this filly is definitely a big danger here & is worthy of being on the front end of the market. 3 times a winner at group 1 level & there is no doubt she has class. Her most impressive displays came back to back when she won both the 1,000 Guineas & the Coronation stakes at Ascot in fine style, that run at Ascot was particularly impressive where she was held up & travelled into the race really well, quickening clear inside the final furlong to win decisively by 4 lengths. She looked set to make it a hat trick when finding Elusive Kate hard to pass in the Falmouth all be it being hampered by the winner. All in All if she is in her best mood today this filly could be hard to beat & she looks set to renew her rivalry with Elusive Kate in what looks to be a fascinating clash. On her best form she should be right up there & is a main player in this. Overall Rating = 9

Chirpy's Verdict - 

There are a couple here with something to prove & how the race pans out in running could have a big say in the outcome. Realistically the pair to focus on could well be The Falmouth rival SKY LANTERN & ELUSIVE KATE, who both need to bounce back from below par runs last time out but assuming they are capable of doing that they look set to give spectators another good showing & i think the latter could prove a hard one to pass once again if she is given a soft lead.

I hope readers find this review both helpful & interesting & as always i would love to hear any feedback anyone might have, just write to me on twitter. Good Luck with whoever you choose!

Friday 27th August 2013 - Daily Tips

Another slow week in terms of selections but when not much is standing out there isn't much else i can say as you any readers by now will know that i am not a chancer who's gonna throw down several selections each day just on whim, that's just not my style so during tight periods there are gonna be 'no bet days'. Onto today & have just the one selection in the group 1 affair at Newmarket.

Newmarket - 

15:15 RIZEENA WIN 2/1 = LOST (2nd/8)

Like with most Group 1 races there are some very good horses in here, but for me the stand out is RIZEENA mainly because she is the only previous winner at group 1 level. Like the majority i think she can handle the step up to a mile, considering that victory last time out when she came from off the pace to lead staying on very well over 7 furlong so the step up to a mile should suit. That victory last time out at the Curragh came at Group 1 level & added to her previous Group 2 win over 5f from the Royal Ascot meeting so she is no stranger to success at a high level. Last time out she also beat the impressive Charlie Hills trained Kiyoshi who has had a few of today's rivals in behind her in previous races, including today's probable main danger Ihtimal. The ground today looks fine (good, good to firm in places) so there should be no concerns on that front. Godolphins Ihtimal is definitely one of the main dangers here & although this is her first outing at group 1 she showed last time when winning over a mile at doncaster in a group 2 that she is the sort who could cope stepping up in grade however, in my opinion RIZEENA's proven winning form at group 1 make's here the strongest candidate even though this is her first attempt at a mile. I mean in all honesty i could get this wrong but i believe that RIZEENA should be able handle the extra furlong & her strong previous group 1 runs should hold her in good stead & see her right up there at the business end, hopefully James Doyle gets her over the line first, 2/1 looks a very fair price & she looks worth the bet. 

Thursday 26th September 2013

Unfortunately no selections for today, will be looking for tomorrow & hopefully have a few value picks. On a different note i have been toying with the idea of adding a few football selections to the blog every now & then for anyone who might be interested. I have a few people who make regular money from betting on the football & may get them involved to select a few value picks from time to time just to offer something different. By this i don't mean pointless 8/10/12 fold accumulators, these aren't tips if people are interested in these then they are best of just picking them themselves, but what i do mean is just the occasional value single or the odd double perhaps maybe once or twice a week or whenever something of real value comes up but certainly not on a daily basis & as with all my racing selections any football picks would always be accompanied by proper reasoning & analysis so that people can see why the bet is selected & i feel this also gives readers the opportunity to decide whether the bet is actually viable for them. Anyway I have added a poll on the right hand side of the page below the logo for readers to vote to decide whether this is something they would be interested in or not, if after a short while the votes suggest that it's a good idea then i will make it happen.

Back to the main focus, which is of course racing. A short while ago i did an in depth preview of the ST LEGER race at doncaster which seemed to go down well as it had plenty of views & received some positive feedback via twitter. I will be posting more in depth previews tomorrow for both of Saturday's Group 1 events at Newmarket - The Kingdom of Bahrain Sun Chariot Stakes & The Connoly's Red Mills Cheveley Park stakes so if anyone is interested in having a bet in those big races then definitely check that out, they will be posted at some point tomorrow & i will let people know via Twitter.

Tuesday 24th September 2013

There will be no blog over the next two days (tuesday, wednesday) due to other commitments, yesterday was a poor day really with only 1 out the 3 selections hitting the place money to give a return, with the other two selections running poorly & not confirming the form, particularly the last one so apologies there. Overall its been a quiet/slow month as i think can be expected at this time of year but never the less its still one of steady profit overall. hopefully have some selections of value up on thursday so make sure to check them out.

Monday 23rd September 2013 - Daily Tips

The weekend was a quiet one from me with no involvement in any of the action. Friday was a sound result though with the days only selection winning nicely to bring about solid profit. Onto today & the racing looks a shade better perhaps than some of which has been on offer of late. Have a few selections that look worth the bet today, hopefully can start the week with a decent day.

Kempton -

14:20 STORM FORCE TEN 7/1 EW = PLACED (3/8)

This looks quite a tight maiden to kick things off here at Kempton where a few of these will probably winning races before too long so a case could be made for a few of them but STORM FORCE TEN looked decent last time out round here & could be better than the price suggests. Didn't show much on debut & finished a pretty poor last of 8 over 7f at Sandown but like many horses first time out looked in need of the run & showed next time out around here at Kempton that he may have some promise when finishing a staying on 3rd of 12. Like his first run brought him on there is a good chance he will be able to come on from that last run also. Last time out came over 8f & he stayed on pretty well to claim a decent 3rd which could indicate that today's 10f should suit. Personally i think having that run around here last time holds him in good stead as he can offer up course/surface form which is something some of his rivals cannot, how important that is remains to be seen but i think it is something in his favour. There are a couple here that also have shown promise but i really like proven form at Kempton which is what the selection has shown. Andrew Balding has his yard in good form at present so thats another positive. All in all this colt showed last time out that he can get competitive & i don't think he would need to come on from that one too much to get involved here, so looks worth some each way money at a decent price of 7/1.


Tipperary -

15:15 GRACE DAISY 8/1 EW = LOST

This filly has posted a few respectable efforts in her 3 races to date most notably on the last two occasions when finishing 4th of 9 & 5th of 12. Last time out she particularly caught the eye at Down Royal over 5f in a maiden, after initially not getting into the race she managed to fly home in the last furlong to claim a fast finishing 4th & i think if she had got into the race better she would have been able to lay down a better challenge because she really did fly up the straight. Having that been only her third run she may have needed the experience & improvement now switched to handicaps shouldn't be ruled out in my eyes. She is in receipt of a fair bit of weight from those who are more fancied than her in the market which is a positive thing & if travelling into the race better today then she could take advantage of that difference in weight. This is by no means a bet to go crazy on but i think @ 8/1 she is worth a smallish EW bet & i can even see her being subject of a bit of support later, if she can get into the race better than last time & replicate that finishing form then GRACE DAISY could be up there challenging when it matters.

Leicester -

15:30 TRULY MADLY 9/4 WIN = LOST (4/9)

A 7f seller here for this one, which looks as if it might just be the opening TRULY MADLY needs to lay down a strong challenge again. On the whole this 3 year old filly brings the best form into the race & has posted some respectable efforts in better company. Her most notable efforts this season were when she was a decent 3rd in a class 4 handicap over today's trip of 7f at Kempton & when winning over 6f in a class 5 handicap also at Kempton, these figures look positive ones when you remember she is dropping into selling company here today. She has also shown ok on good to soft ground form when finishing 3rd at Epsom over 6f in class 5 handicap back late August so there should be no problems on today's forecast good (good to soft in places).The ever impressive James Doyle has been on board for 2 of her better efforts including that win at Kempton & he takes the mount again today. The only sizeable negative could be that she ran poorly last time out at Kempton in a class 4 handicap & never really got into the race but i think she can be forgiven that & dropping into a seller today could be just what she needs to spark a revival. There are a few others with form that suggest they could go well in this but all in all TRULY MADLY looks the pick on the facts & figures, i think she can go close & hopefully repay the faith & take the spoils.

Saturday 21st September 2013

Yesterday brought about solid profit after the day's only selection LADY LARA won nicely. Nothing from me today, as regular readers will know i am not one to get involved on a saturday too often unless there are opportunities too good to miss. In my mind saturday racing is always very competitive with lots of large sized fields & hard to call races, so the action should be enjoyed for what it is & is very often best watched from a betting point of view. If you are getting involved in today's action be sensible & as always BE LUCKY.

Friday 20th September 2013 - Daily Tips

Well yesterday was poor & although the selections were only small EW bets it was still a bad showing with only the one selection confirming the form to finish in the place money, EUTROPIUS ran well to finish a close fourth & had he got a better start i'm sure he would have challenged more strongly but was not to be. Just the one selection today & hopefully she can produce the goods, will be going through the Wolverhampton evening card this afternoon & if anything looks viable will update it on here later on, good luck if getting involved.

Newbury -

16:15 - LADY LARA WIN 7/4 = WON (1/5)

This looks a good opportunity for the A P Jarvis filly LADY LARA to have a real crack at getting herself off the mark as a 2 year old. There is no doubt that she is the most experienced runner in the race & she comes into this one with not just experience but experience at a better level, none more so than her run last time out 7 days ago in a group 2 affair at Doncaster where she finished a respectable 3rd behind the well regarded Godolphin runner Ihtimal. That day was the first time she had raced on easing ground & she seemed to take to it well when striking the front 2f out but then finding a couple too good inside the final furlong. The drop back from 8f to 7f today looks as though it should be a positive as last time she wasn't able to find that bit more in the latter stages. Dropping down from group 2 level today into a class 2 handicap is what makes this bet really appealing & she is unlikely to get many better opportunities if she is one to remain at a decent level. Admittedly there are a couple of unexposed sorts who look as though they will progress in this one, i'm hoping that LADY LARA's experience at a better level will prove too much for them. The Ground last time out at Doncaster was supposedly softer than the official good to soft & she took to it well so hopefully today's soft ground shouldn't pose a real problem. The booking of James Doyle is always a positive addition as well. All in all this filly looks to have the right profile going into this one & if she reproduces her form of last time out then she should be hard to beat & looks worth the bet.

Thursday 19th September 2013 - Daily Tips

Yesterday's selection was a non runner which was disappointing because i was really interested to see how he was gonna fare under race conditions which looked ideal, but nevermind nothing lost & onto today. Yet another day from my point of view where a real serious bet doesn't look viable however, i have selected a few from 3 races at AYR to keep an interest in the days action, all small EW bets (nothing too serious) that looks to represent value & all follow the same trend which is form on today's forecast soft ground so hopefully those will go well. Good luck if you do get involved.

AYR -

15:10 - DELORES ROCK EW 11/2 (7/12) = LOST & STRONG MAN EW 12/1 = LOST (5/12)

A 13 runner decent looking handicap here & while a case could be made for a few the two selected look as if today's conditions should suit & therefore hopefully can go well. Starting with DELORES ROCK who admittedly hasn't been in great form this season but this filly hasn't yet had the opportunity to go on soft ground which if you look back through her career performances to date is certainly the ground where her best form has come. Her best performances came back towards the end of last season when she won both here at Ayr on heavy ground & at Carlisle on soft. Staying on really well on both occasions & winning by a decent gap both times of 4 & 5 lengths. Given that impressive run on heavy any more rain here today would surely be a bonus. She has been largely racing in class 4 races this year (class 5 today) & dropped back down to class 5 company last time out over 6f on ground that was still probably too quick & he stayed on well to finish a decent 4th of 10 runners so today's 7f trip looks fine, looks well in towards the foot of the weights & all in all if improving on last time out on what look more favourable conditions today & perhaps brining forward one of them displays he showed last season then he could be at the right end & looks worth the EW money. Secondly in this one have gone for another small bet on STRONG MAN at what looks to be perhaps a price too big at 12/1,although he has form on a variety of grounds he is another who has gone well on soft ground but doesn't get it particularly often. His second to last run was a decent performance when although well beaten by the favourite he was a decent 2nd of 11 runners under similar conditions as today & he looks better off in the weights today as well. I think there are a few in this race who would be suited by better ground & will have to prove they can deliver on soft so STRONG MAN looks worth a small EW at a decent price.

15:40 - EUTROPIUS EW 9/1 = LOST (4/11)

EUTROPIUS is another who's form of late isn't anything special but he has been running in better races than this one including a pair of pretty warm class 3 events on his last two outings & dropping back down to a class 5 today looks a much more realistic prospect. He has only had to deal with soft ground on one occasions but ran a good race that day finishing 3rd under a penalty, that race came over 8f at Southwell & had it been over today's 7f i think he would have gone even closer. Has won in this class & over this trip so there are no issues on that front. Ridden by Danny Tudhope who in my eyes has emerged as one of the better jockeys this season so that should be seen as a positive. Is weighted better today than when finishing third in his only soft ground race & if capable of replicating that sort of form here today he looks worth a small EW bet & could make a sound claim for the places.

16:40 - WELL PAINTED EW 6/1 = LOST (Pulled up) & GRANDORIO EW 9/1 = PLACED (3/11)

On paper this looks another tight contest but once again i think the two selected show solid credentials on today's forecast ground & look capable of going well. Starting with WELL PAINTED a horse who has certainly ran his best races on easing ground, most notably when a keeping on second at Doncaster in a class 2 event over 8f last June. Was also not disgraced when a staying on to finish 8th of 26 runners at last years Royal Ascot meeting. Has been in not such good form this season but showed better signs when staying on to get 4th in 13 runner event at kempton latest & considering he is always staying on over these trips i think he is a horse who should do well upped to 10f today for the first time. In this field the soft ground could definitely play to his strengths & i wouldn't be surprised to see him become the subject of plenty of market support nearer the off. All in all he looks to have a good profile for giving this race a good crack & looks worth the EW while the price allows. GRANDORIO has shown on a couple of occasions that he can be a big player at this level, particularly when winning by a 5 length margin in this class second to last time out, that race did come on good to firm ground so its hard to take too much out of that in terms of today's race but he did also convincingly win a race of this type at Newcastle on soft ground last August so that form stands him in better stead for this one here today. Looks well in towards the foot of the weights & if repeating the above form he could be a threat in this one, at 9/1 he looks worth a small EW bet as i think ultimately he could be a tad overpriced.

Wednesday 18th September 2013 - Daily Tips

Another day where there seems little value in getting involved in much & although admittedly there were a few runners that are very likely they come in tight races where its hard to call so the action there looks best watched to be on the safe side. Just another small EW bet today that does seem to have decent chances on the figures, but once again nothing too serious.

Yarmouth -

16:55 JUDGE 'N JURY EW 13/2 = NON RUNNER 

A 5f sprint for the penultimate race on today's yarmouth card & a case can be made for a few of the runners with Jamiacan Bolt & Exceptionelle bound to be popular at the head of the market but for me JUDGE 'N JURY has a solid profile when looking in terms of relevant form for this race. Has looked in good form of late when hitting the place money in 3rd on his last two outings (both on good to soft ground) & particularly catching the eye last time out when staying on well in a listed event at Doncaster 7 days ago (drops into class 2 handicap today). His overall record when racing on ground good to soft looks pretty tidy having run 14 times winning 4 times, placing an additional 5 times & also not being beaten far in some big fields in the other six runs. Although he has won on a variety of going, i don't think there is an arguing that this gelding does like easing ground & there should be no issues where today's ground is concerned. There are a few others in the race who show decent form on this ground, but i think the form JUDGE 'N JURY looks in at the moment is solid & that last run in better company makes particularly good reading. He caught the handicappers eye last week 7 is due to go up 4lb in the official ratings in the near future. The highly experienced Frankie Dettori takes the mount again today which should be a positive booking. Make no mistake this should be a decent race but in my mind this gelding looks to have some solid credentials going forward for this one & if bringing his better form like he did last week at doncaster then he could go close, while the price allows looks worth some EW money on another day where any really serious bets just aren't viable.

Tuesday 17th September 2013 - Daily Tips

Once again on the whole today the action looks best watched from my point of view, with all the cards being dominated by soft ground which throws up plenty of uncertainty & at this time of year its hard to take form that most horses have been showing on better ground recently & transfer it to poor ground & if you are doing this you are taking chances. Had today's cards came a few weeks ago it would be a lot easier to be confident about a few selections today but with the either horses showing poor form of no form on the forecast ground its hard to weigh up realistic chances. I have just one small EW selection today that looks as though it can go well & keeps a small interest in the days action, nothing too serious though.


Thirsk

14:10 SEARCHLIGHT EW 5/1 = PLACED (2/9)

Had this race come on ground with less ease then it may be a tight one to call & in all honesty it could still pan out that way but for me SEARCHLIGHT'S impressive debut run on good to soft ground stands out. This 2yo gelding travelled strongly on debut over the same trip as today (6f) & was only beaten half a length (clear of the rest) on easing ground like today's & although he hasn't perhaps gone on from that as you may have thought he did post two more placed efforts in maidens before finishing 4 of 5 in a class 2 handicap at york last time but i think the ground was too fast for him that day (good to firm) & dropping into today's class 4 company looks a more realistic option. That debut run is his best performance to date & is the only time he has been given softer ground which hints towards him going well on today's surface. The others in the race either have poor form on easing ground or no form (in which case its unknown how they will take to it) but for me SEARCHLIGHT looks as though he might need this ground to really improve on his impressive debut run. On a day where a real serious interest is non existent he looks worth some EW money while the price allows.

Monday 16th September 2013

Today's action looks best watched in my view on the whole lots of poor hard to call races & the seasonal change of weather throwing lots of unknown into the equation in terms of the ground. Last week was another quiet one in terms of selections as to be expected around this time of year, with only a few selections during the week bringing about small profit. Saturday was a decent day hitting nice solid profit from the two selections however, yesterday's selection was a bitter disappointment & i have to say the selection was made & placed in the morning on the knowledge that the ground was good to soft & if i was to have known that constant rain for the next 5 hours would have changed the going dramatically to really heavy then i would have not made the selection as it was based on solid form to tie in with good to soft ground, so apologies there. Overall last week was a slow one but still one of small profit so not the end of the world.

On a different note The ST LEGER preview that i did for saturday got plenty of views & it seems that people liked what they read as a few of you were in contact over twitter leaving positive feedback. These in depth previews of the big races are something that i enjoy doing & there will be more to come throughout the year so look out for those & i hope they are helpful & interesting. The next few weeks could be slow ones also in terms of selections & as i have said i see this as only normal for this time of year & its better to be cautious than to waste money on poor selections. If tomorrows card's provide any decent value selections worth the bet then they will be on the BLOG at some point during the morning as always.

Sunday 15th September 2013 - Daily Tips

Yesterday was a decent day with the day's two selections making solid profit with a winner & the EW placing. Good to see that the ST LEGER preview i did got plenty of reviews & i hope people found it either helpful or interesting & i would like to hear any feedback anybody might have, this is always appreciated. Onto today & i don't usually get involved on sunday's but i think there's a good opportunity so i'm going to give it a go.

FFOS LAS -

14:55 LIFE & TIMES WIN 10/11 = LOST (Hard rain all afternoon changed the going to heavy, spoilt any chance)

A weak looking 5 runner maiden for this one & i think on all evidence LIFE & TIMES is the one to beat, having ran two respectable 3rds in his two flat appearances to date, including a fast finishing close 3rd of 11 runners last time out on good to soft ground similar to today's conditions. The race brings 3 newcomers so there is a essence of the unknown but LIFE & TIMES looks well capable on winning this sort of event so his experience should prove too much for any of them (it may not but i think the evidence is strong enough) which leaves the other runner, Defiant who has shown some decent form in his two starts so far but today's trip of a mile looks as though it could test his stamina a lot more than LIFE & TIMES & defiant is also unraced on ground worse than good. All in all i think LIFE & TIMES looks to have improved better than Defiant in his runs so far & looks capable of going on here today, Hopefully this Mark Johnston trained gelding can get off the mark here today & repay the faith, I may get this wrong but i'm willing to go on the hard facts here & while the price is short enough i think he is worth the bet before the price shortens any further.

Saturday 14th September 2013 - Daily Tips

Have done a detailed preview of the ST Leger tomorrow at doncaster for anyone who is interested. See at the bottom of this preview for today's other 2 selections.

Doncaster 15:50 Ladbrokes St Leger Stakes (Group 1)

This year's renewal of the final classic race of the season looks an interesting one, where plenty seem to be in with a chance & several have something to prove one way or another. One thing's for sure that come 15:50 Tomorrow, everyone who loves racing will be watching & will have their opinion on who the winner should be. The ever thriving Godolphin team took this race last year with 25/1 shot Encke & they return this year with 3 contenders LIBERTARIAN, SECRET NUMBER & CAP O'RUSHES who will all be aiming to replicate last year's success for the same owners. The O'brien team had to settle for second last year as Odds on favourite Camelot came up short, they saddle LEADING LIGHT who is seeking a 5 timer & FOUNDRY who is ridden by Ryan Moore both are bound to be well supported. Elsewhere John Gosden enters the improving EXCESS KNOWLEDGE who was last seen when a close second in the Gordan Stakes (Group 3). Epsom Oaks winner TALENT is also likely to have her share of supporters despite her disappointing effort last time out in the Irish Oaks. The Consistent GALILEO ROCK may also be one for consideration. All in all this years race looks to have plenty of interesting runners & like so many of the big races could prove a hard nut for punters to crack.

See below for a more detailed look through each of the runners, where i have given each a rating from out of 10.

CAP O'RUSHES - One of the three Godolphin entries, who won the group 3 Gordan stakes at Goodwood at the end of July but then was a disappointing 6th of 7 runners last time out at York over the same trip of 12f in a group 2 event & before those two runs was a Moderate 4th in the Irish Derby so there is no doubt that the horse has some ability at this level & the fact that this colt is entered today suggests that he perhaps does need further to get really competitive. Does have winning form on tomorrow's forecast ground on Good to soft but overall form looks patchy & Looks the stable (C Appelby) second string behind LIBERTARIAN. Overall Rating = 5

EXCESS KNOWLEDGE - This John Gosden trained colt has only had the two runs this season & has performed with promise on both of those. Firstly back in July ran a decent 3rd in a listed event over 10f & last time out finished 2nd behind Cap O'Rushes in the Gordon stakes at Goodwood but was tried at that trip for the first time & the way he ran on well in the final furlong suggests that today's further trip of 15f should suit, that run last time out came on ground good to soft so tomorrow's further easing ground shouldn't pose a problem. James Doyle a very positive booking & will no doubt enhance this colts support in the market. Looks more progressive than some of these & also less exposed, Doesn't look one to dismiss easily.
Overall Rating = 8

FOUNDRY - Comes into this for only his third ever racecourse start & in fairness looks as if he is possibly the O'Brien stable's second string here. Was a very decisive winner of 7f maiden in november last year & was then waited with until racing in a York group 2 event last month where he finished a very respectable 2nd behind the well regarded Telescope. The fact he won his maiden on soft ground is a definite positive & That run last time out showed he is no mug, still unexposed but having said that it looks as though he would have to improve a fair bit for this step up in trip to get seriously involved in this company. Overall Rating = 6

GALILEO ROCK - Shows solid place form at group 1 level & no more so than when finishing 3rd in the Derby at Epsom & then backing that up with a solid second in the Irish Derby behind the very consistent group 1 performer Trading Leather. That run in the Irish Derby looks particularly interesting as he ran on really well that day showing that the step in trip here ought to suit. Has not encountered ground worse than good when running at this level but did win his maiden last year on ground good to soft, so that shouldn't be too much of a problem. I think if handling the step up in trip as he looks he will & if replicating his recent form at this level could see him be a big player here & looks to have solid place claims. Overall Rating = 9

GREAT HALL - Big step up in class here for this colt who was last seen winning a class 2 handicap at Haydock over 14 furlongs & while that was a decent win he would surely need to improve a lot to compete at this level. Unraced on ground worse than good & all in all looks as though he may be a little out of his depth here. Big outsider & unless dramatic improvement he certainly isn't one for any real confidence.
Overall Rating = 2

HAVANA BEAT - This colt has consistently run at group 2 & 3 level this season so far for Andrew Balding's yard but is yet to really threaten in a race of that type. His best performance to date is probably when finishing 3rd of 8 in a group 3 at Newmarket over 13f & while he ran on well that day which suggest today's step in up trip could see him do better, he looks as though he would have to bring a career best to figure in this one. His Only run so far that came on ground softer than good was last time out which saw him finish last of 7 in the Gordan Stakes at Glorious Goodwood so doesn't look one for maximum confidence.
Overall Rating = 4

LEADING LIGHT - Comes into the race looking for a 5 timer having won the last 4 of his 5 career starts. Looked a decent improver when winning his first attempt at group 3 level at the Curragh back in may over 10f, followed that up nicely when upped to 2 miles with a decent win in another group 3 event at Ascot in June, That win is a real positive when you think about today's trip. Has won on varied ground including heavy so shouldn't be any problems on that front. Certainly looks the sort who could keep improving further & if continuing her ascent this O'Brien trained colt may have enough to get competitive in this company. Will no doubt be popular in the market & not one too dismiss lightly. Overall Rating = 7

LIBERTARIAN - On the facts & figures this colt looks like Godolphins biggest player here & is expected to run well by many. Didn't look himself last time out in the Irish Derby & never figured, but the ground was perhaps too fast for him that day. If he is forgiven that performance his second in the Derby at Epsom looks particularly impressive, he stayed on very well that day which is a good indication that he may be well suited by today's extra 3 furlongs. Before those two runs he did beat the Irish Derby winner Trading leather over 10f at york so there is no doubt that this horse is one of class & deserves his place in this line up. Won his maiden on ground good to soft so should be fine in that respect. If repeating the sort of display he showed in the Epsom Derby then he has the ability to surely go close here. Overall rating = 9

RALSTON ROAD - Has ran three races at group level this season including at group 1 but he has failed to really get involved in any of those & Looks as if he could be outclassed here once again today. He was an average 8th of 15 over 16f at Ascot in the group 3 race that was taken by Leading Light which is probably his best form in relation to today's race. Has run on a variety of grounds but still looks as though he would have to improve by a large quantity to get seriously involved in this. Overall rating = 2

SECRET NUMBER - Has been running in both group 2 & 3 events so far this season & has ran only ok in them in all honesty & his best form has come when he has been raced over in Dubai on the synthetic surface. He did shape a decent third last time out in a group 2 behind the impressive Telescope but didn't do a great deal in behind. The fact that he is entered he probably suggests he may be suited by this trip but in all honesty that is something that is taken without an real hard evidence. Others looks much better off in this one. Overall Rating = 4

TALENT - Was a disappointment last time out when finishing last in the Irish Oaks & never really threatened to get involved, the ground may have been too quick for him that day. Before that run he looked every bit a top class group 1 performer when winning the Epsom oaks in fine style, running on very well that day to suggest that the step up in trip today shouldn't be a problem. That Epsom Oaks win came on ground good to soft which is similar conditions as should be faced for this one so that is a big plus. If putting that poor performance last time behind him & continuing the improvement shown in the Epsom Oaks he could well bounce back a get involved at business end here. Not one to dismiss & could potentially be a good EW bet at likely bigger odds than a few. Overall Rating = 8

CHIRPY'S VERDICT 

It really does look an intriguing renewal, with the unexposed sorts of EXCESS KNOWLEDGE & LEADING LIGHT expected to continue their improvement & go well. It could pay though to side with the consistent performer GALILEO ROCK who could be a very good EW bet while the price allows. LIBERTARIAN & TALENT are also two who could have a big say if bouncing back from poor results in Ireland & reproducing their impressive Epsom form.

I have to say that these views are based on my own opinions upon studying the form & watching previous runs. I hope that people find this helpful/interesting & would like to hear any feedback people might have, just write to me on twitter. Should be a good race & GOOD LUCK with whoever you go for.

Saturday's Selections -

Doncaster -

14:05 OUTSTRIP WIN 7/4 = WON

Just a 4 runner group 2 affair to kick things off here on the final day of the Doncaster meeting & in my mind the facts & figures are quite clear. The Grey Gatsby & Treaty of Paris finished 1 & 2 in a recent group 3 affair where as Cable Bay finished 4th of 7 in a group 2 event, leaving the selection OUTSTRIP who was narrowly beaten into 2nd in a group 2 event at glorious goodwood on only his second run & he looks a decent prospect for the thriving Godolphin team. His close second last time out not only came at group 2 level but came on good to soft ground which is significant considering today's forecast ground, in addition this the pair that finished 1 & 2 last time out have not raced on ground worse than good, with the other runner cable bay having run on soft ground last time but failed to land a serious blow. Sometimes races throw out all form & logic by producing something that goes against the facts & figures but hopefully that is not the case in this race here today & i would like to think that OUTSTRIP is capable of continuing his improvement by adding a success at group level to his CV on just his third outing.

Chester -

14:55 CUBANITA 9/2 EW = PLACED (2/8)

Admittedly in this one the favourite Cameron Highland looks a decent prospect & for some he will be hard to get away from, however he has to carry top weight here after a recent success where as CUBANITA sits pretty at the foot of the weights, receiving a handy looking 9lb from the above mentioned early favourite. CUBANITA has shown some impressive form in her only 2 runs this season & looks well treated, Especially when you look at her last run when finishing a very close 3rd at cork over today's trip but in a better race (group 3, today listed class), she stayed on really well that day on soft ground so there should be no problems on that front. Prior to that good performance last time out she was an ok 5th in a group 2 event on good ground over 10f & had she raced the extra two furlongs that day she would have gone closer i'm sure. 12f looks her best trip & this filly looks to be racing under pleasing conditions today all things considered, at a price of 9/2 she looks well worth the EW money & on paper she looks to have the credentials to play a big part in this one.

Friday 13th September 2013 - Daily Tips

Its been a quiet week in terms of selections so far with only one day of picks coming on wednesday, which did at least generate smallish profit. This time of the year is always going to be a difficult period with the flat season coming to a close & the jumps season just getting under way not to mention the changes in weather which throws a lot of form into question so its better to be cautious than waste money on selections your not fully confident on. Today is also a quiet one from me with just the one EW selection in the first at Doncaster, Admittedly there were a few others that i liked but for one reason or another i couldn't fully justify the bet & none more so than Ihtimal in the 15:15 at doncaster who for me brings forward the best credentials in the race & had the ground not been on the soft side i would have backed him all day long, but considering he's never been raced on ground worse than good to firm brings about an unknown quantity & i try to stay away from these, He may still be able to triumph but i wouldn't justify the selection based on him entering the unknown ground wise.

Doncaster -

13:40 THUNDER STRIKE EW 9/2 = LOST

A 2 year old group 2 event kicks the day off here & it looks a decent race too, where you could make a case for quite a few but in my mind none more so than the Richard Hannon trained THUNDER STRIKE. This colt has offered up pretty solid form this season since making a winning debut back early may. He has produced two solid placed efforts over 6f in group 2 events & in my mind had they been over today's 5f he may have won, he certainly looks as if today's drop back in trip is a positive. Last time out ran a solid second in very valuable handicap at York which again came over 6f & had it been over 5f he may have won it. Champion Jockey Richard Hughes takes the ride which is never a negative thing. The only concern may be the fact that the ground is good to soft (which may sound contradictory, based on what i have said above) but he did win a race really well at epsom on ground good (good to soft in places) so this was enough to persuade me that it shouldn't be too much of a problem. All in all this looks a good opportunity for THUNDER STRIKE to go close here & while a non runner this morning has effected the places to only 2, in my mind & on the facts he looks to have a good chance still of filling one.

Thursday 12th September 2013

Yesterday turned out to be not a bad day in the end after LISA' LEGACY stormed home at Kempton, which brought about smallish profit overall & made up for the first 2 selections disappointing runs. Not liking much on the cards today & have found it hard to commit to anything for one reason or another. It's good to see that the blog is getting plenty of regular views now & i hope that people are finding it interesting/useful. It's also pleasing to see quite a few of you getting in contact on twitter showing appreciation & that your getting involved. Hopefully the Blog will contain some picks tomorrow & if you do get involved in today's action be cautious & as always BE LUCKY.

Wednesday 11th September 2013 - Daily Tips

After a few no bet days yesterday & monday, today i have selected a couple that look of decent value, so hopefully can finally get this week up & running with a decent day.

Kempton -

19:15 LISA'S LEGACY EW 9/2 = WON

This gelding has been in pretty solid form this season so far winning once & placing on 3 occasions, most notably when second trying this trip for the first time 8 days ago, only beaten by a neck that day & goes off the same mark here. Somewhat surprising that he isn't already shorter in the market based on that last run. Today's run comes on the AW surface which shouldn't be a problem as she has place form on it (all be it over a shorter trip). Having looked at the field she looks one of the more likely types here for definite & probably wouldn't need much more than last time to go close again. While the price is available LISA'S LEGACY look solid EW value.

Uttoxeter -

14:10 OUR MAIMIE WIN 11/4 = LOST

Brings what certainly looks like the most solid form profile into this maiden hurdle after placing in her last to events over in ireland & on paper they look like stronger races than today. The first of those two runs is the more stand out, she ran on very well in the final furlong to take second & was pressing the winner so had the trip been over today's extra furlong she probably would have won. In addition to those two decent seconds in Ireland, this mare ran a decent effort in second behind a well fancied favourite over 22f at FFOS LAS on ground more similar to today, so today's trip of 21f should pose no problems. The very capable Sam Twiston Davies takes the mount for this one & she looks well in at the foot of the weights. I think this mare definitely has the ability to win a race of this type & if taking well to the expected quicker ground in combination with bringing her recent form forward i'm hoping that she can take the spoils here. The price looks decent value at 11/4 & is worth the money on the nose.

15:50 TEAK E/W 9/2 = LOST

On paper this looks a fairly competitive affair with both Social Realism & Man of Leisure likely to be popular, but they both have to contest from a career high mark & i personally think that TEAK going from the foot of the weights looks the best option & represents decent value. After returning from a decent spell on the flat this gelding returned to hurdles recently & posted two decent efforts finishing 2nd & 3rd, the latter of those in a better race (class 2, today class 3). His rating is now upped 3lb to 111 but in this field he is to carry by far the lowest weight which could be a big aid. Both of those last races came over 22f but today's drop back to 21f looks to issue, Only slight issue could be that the jockey has never had the ride before but realistically that shouldn't be a problem. All in all if bringing this recent form forward today combined with the weight he receives from his opponents all round makes him a good EW bet while the price allows as the place money at least could be on the cards.

Tuesday 10th September 2013

Another no bet day today from me, which is not ideal & i'd much prefer to have some selections to be confident about but that is just not how it's playing out. I'm always honest on here & as i have said before i am no magician i cannot pull out several winners every day which is why i won't take chances & waste people's time on poor days. There were a few runners that were likeable today but i thought they were better left alone as reasons for opposing were there, whether it be competitive opposition, weight or priced out of any value, there was some uncertainty & when the circumstances don't look right for you & your struggling to be fully confident then it's better to be sensible. Hopefully the blog will contain some selections of value tomorrow.

Have added a very small stakes TRIXIE bet to the multiple section, just a small fun bet to keep some interest in today's racing.

Monday 9th September 2013

Unfortunately today is looking more & more like a no bet day. The cards are dominated by races that just aren't of my type to get involved in, with lots of small tight fields or larger fields that represent very little stand out value in my opinion. Also with heavy raining coming in droves today which is likely to affect the ground. Anyone who has read the blog regularly will know by now that i will take a cautious approach whenever it is necessary & while i love analysing the race cards & challenging myself to get regular winner's, my priority has to be making a steady income & not being careless with any profit already made. I can only go on the races that are available each day & if i don't think the value is there, there is little more i can do as i won't aimlessly try & force bets in races that i am not keen on. While there is no action from me today, take a look at last week's result below, despite not too many selections &  few no bet days it was a very profitable week nonetheless.


5 SELECTIONS (4 each way) = 3 WINNERS @ 8/1, 5/1 & EVENS

Returning = + 24 points profit (my actual figures)

Alternatively, for a £10 level stake on each tip (£50 total stake) the return would be = £118 (£68 profit)

Saturday 7th September

No Selections today, Anyone who regularly reads will know that i usually stay away from saturday's action. Although its been a quiet week in terms of the amount of selections, its been a very profitable one with 3 out of 5 Selections winning at 8/1, 5/1 @ Evens. Blog will return next week where hopefully some nice winners can be found! 

If you get involved today be sensible & BE LUCKY

Friday 6th September 2013 - Daily tips

Yesterday was effectively a no bet day with just one small EW that admittedly ran a shocker, which certainly did surprise me but it was very small losses so onto today. Couple of selections.

Newcastle -

14:10 ROYAL BANKER EW @ 8/1 = WON (1/10)

Maiden race here over 6f & admittedly these aren't something i look to get involved in all the time but ROYAL BANKER looks good value in this today so is worth an EW. Can only go on his debut run but in terms of form for this race it looks a pretty decent one, finished 4th of 10 in a better race than today's (class 3, today class 5) over today's trip & on similar ground, certainly didn't disgrace himself in doing so. There are a couple who also offer up good debut runs but not in races as good as the one ROYAL BANKER contested, realistically he should come on from that run & should no doubt find this race a bit easier, so with that in mind he shouldn't need a great deal of improvement for him to hit the place money & at 8's looks worth the EW money.

15:10 HI FILWAH WIN @ Evens = WON (1/8)

Although this colt has been running consistently in these races by finishing 2nd On 6 of his 7 outings & 3rd on the other, he will no doubt be very frustrating to follow as he keeps failing to get up a win at short prices. No doubt he is capable of winning a race of this sort & in my mind offers up the best form in today's race. On his latest outing he was an eye catching second of 12 & was a couple lengths clear of the rest, if he is able to transfer that today then he should go very close. In my mind this looks to be one of his best chances yet to shed his maiden tag & in all honesty he wont get many better opportunities, hopefully today is the day he repays his followers & gets over the line first!

Thursday 5th September 2013

Yesterday turned out to be a nice result with only 2 EW bets returning a nice 5/1 winner. As to be expected with the the way things are going this week, it is yet another difficult day dominated by really tight small fields & on the way i like to do things there is no value in getting involved in these. I am never desperate to get involved & won't try and force results because this is just wasting good profit. As said before if the opportunities are there then i will take them, if not i am willing to be patient. On another overall poor day i have selected just one small EW that looks decent value.

Sedgefield -

17:00 - CILLISEAL EW 5/1 = LOST (4/5)

3m 3f staying chase here & while a case could probably be made for all of the 5 runners, it certainly looks as though the majority of the money will be coming for last time out winner Douglas, who although was a good winner last time out i'm certainly not sure he can repeat that form as his profile doesn't exactly scream consistency & he has to carry a penalty. CILLISEAL is a horse who has shown pretty solid consistency in staying events over the last couple of years & while only winning once in that time this gelding has run with credit more often than not. Was a fairly distant 4th in a much bigger field of 14 last time & before that he shows numerous 2nds & 3rds over similar trips as today. Best performance this year came over 25f (today 27f) at Ayr back in january when he ran a decent second of 10 runners. The trip shouldn't be a concern as he has performed over a furlong shorter & over trips further. The ground could be slight concern as he has only run on ground good to firm once, but did finish 2nd that day so hopefully that doesn't pose any real sort of problem. Derek Fox is the regular jockey aboard so he should know how to go about approaching this one. All in all like i said most runners have got a chance here but i like CILLISEAL'S consistency & i think if bringing his better form forward today then he could surprise a few people & go close. Although 5 runners i think at 5/1 the EW is value as finishing second pays out. By no means a bet to be going crazy about but on a poor day this is just a small EW bet.

Wednesday 4th September 2013 - Daily Tips

The last few days have been very poor & have offered very little to get stuck into from both a sensible & value point of view & unfortunately today seems much of the same. Days like these (which seem to be every day at the moment) are a disappointment to say the least, because i love nothing more than being able to get stuck in & pick some confident selections, but that's just not the way things are panning out this week. On a different note i am a big fan of the jumps & with the return of a national hunt card today at southwell means that i have managed to select two bets that look of decent EW value & seem worth a punt, small stakes though.

Southwell - 

15:10 - DUCHESS THEATRE 5/1 EW = LOST (4/9)

Since going over hurdles has run two decent races, firstly making her debut over timber back at beginning of august finishing 3rd of 6, 7 lengths behind the very useful multiple winner As i am. Improved on that first effort when finishing 2nd of 12 last time out over today's trip of 16. Both of these runs have come in class 4 novice hurdles, drops into a class 5 maiden today which on the face of it should be an easier task, ridden by regular conditional Jack Greenall so should be no problems on the jockey front. Ultimately if she is able to bring the form she has shown so far over timber forward today then this mare looks capable of being able to challenge at least for the place money.

16:10 - VINNIE THE FISH 5/1 EW = WON (1/9)

3 mile maiden hurdle up here & firstly in my opinion there are question marks regarding distance over a fair few of these. This is something that could play nicely into VINNIE THE FISH's hands, who finished a respectable third at 50/1 last time out in a novice class 4 & in fairness he finished behind two decent sorts who have performed at a better level. That run came over 23 furlongs but looked to stay on without any trouble so today's extra 2 furlongs shouldn't be a problem especially considering i'm not sure with lots of the rivals who are making a big step up in trip, also the booking of champion jockey A P MCcoy can only be seen as a positive. Being a class 5 maiden this race definitely looks easier, so i don't think this gelding would need much improvement on last time to go close. Looks worth the EW while the price allows.

Monday 2nd September 2013 - Daily Tips

Another very poor set of race cards by the looks of things today & this seems to be the trend of late. Just to clear up for anyone, I am an analyst of race form & i use my skills in this area to pick out regular selections in order to make a weekly/monthly profit. I can't ever guarantee a certain amount of profit as this is something that cannot be done in this game, but if you know what you are doing & you are able to be sensible & cautious then there is money to be made as my first two months on here have displayed. I will always have no bet days or days where i only have one small selection, these days are necessary because if there is nothing to be confident about then why waste money, in my opinion the people who are constantly tipping 30 selections a day or tipping something in every race per day don't really know what they are doing & this is certainly not what i mean when i say 'pick out regular selections'. It's also highly unlikely that they are backing all of their selections because they would no doubt be losing a lot of money. Like i've said its impossible to guarantee a certain amount of profit in this game & as this is the case it is of course important to take opportunities when they arise, however on the flipside it is equally important not to waste any profit you've made on poor days where you are not really feeling anything. Anyone who bets seriously will know that you cannot have bets every day, it simply doesn't work like that.

I have just one small stake EW selection today that is of interest. Certainly not a serious money bet though.

FFOS LAS -

14:20 SPIC & SPAN EW 9/1= NON RUNNER

This Gelding has patchy form & admittedly seems a frustrating sort. A regular front runner & I don't think that there is any doubt that he does have some sound ability at this level. Notched up a win over C&D in july off 3lb lower in the ratings but has been somewhat disappointing since then. Only ran 2 days ago where he faded into midfield late on after making the running, however if this hasn't come too quickly this race looks to be under more suitable circumstances, carried top weight saturday & today has the luxury of going off lowest weight against some rivals that he had in behind him when winning over C&D in back in July, his mark is slowly dropping back down to a more suitable one as well. I do personally like a front runner & if SPIC & SPAN is able to steal first run from the front today then he could potentially do much better. Is worth a small stake EW at a decent price.