Yesterday turned out to be a nice result with only 2 EW bets returning a nice 5/1 winner. As to be expected with the the way things are going this week, it is yet another difficult day dominated by really tight small fields & on the way i like to do things there is no value in getting involved in these. I am never desperate to get involved & won't try and force results because this is just wasting good profit. As said before if the opportunities are there then i will take them, if not i am willing to be patient. On another overall poor day i have selected just one small EW that looks decent value.
Sedgefield -
17:00 - CILLISEAL EW 5/1 = LOST (4/5)
3m 3f staying chase here & while a case could probably be made for all of the 5 runners, it certainly looks as though the majority of the money will be coming for last time out winner Douglas, who although was a good winner last time out i'm certainly not sure he can repeat that form as his profile doesn't exactly scream consistency & he has to carry a penalty. CILLISEAL is a horse who has shown pretty solid consistency in staying events over the last couple of years & while only winning once in that time this gelding has run with credit more often than not. Was a fairly distant 4th in a much bigger field of 14 last time & before that he shows numerous 2nds & 3rds over similar trips as today. Best performance this year came over 25f (today 27f) at Ayr back in january when he ran a decent second of 10 runners. The trip shouldn't be a concern as he has performed over a furlong shorter & over trips further. The ground could be slight concern as he has only run on ground good to firm once, but did finish 2nd that day so hopefully that doesn't pose any real sort of problem. Derek Fox is the regular jockey aboard so he should know how to go about approaching this one. All in all like i said most runners have got a chance here but i like CILLISEAL'S consistency & i think if bringing his better form forward today then he could surprise a few people & go close. Although 5 runners i think at 5/1 the EW is value as finishing second pays out. By no means a bet to be going crazy about but on a poor day this is just a small EW bet.
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