Its been a quiet week in terms of selections so far with only one day of picks coming on wednesday, which did at least generate smallish profit. This time of the year is always going to be a difficult period with the flat season coming to a close & the jumps season just getting under way not to mention the changes in weather which throws a lot of form into question so its better to be cautious than waste money on selections your not fully confident on. Today is also a quiet one from me with just the one EW selection in the first at Doncaster, Admittedly there were a few others that i liked but for one reason or another i couldn't fully justify the bet & none more so than Ihtimal in the 15:15 at doncaster who for me brings forward the best credentials in the race & had the ground not been on the soft side i would have backed him all day long, but considering he's never been raced on ground worse than good to firm brings about an unknown quantity & i try to stay away from these, He may still be able to triumph but i wouldn't justify the selection based on him entering the unknown ground wise.
Doncaster -
13:40 THUNDER STRIKE EW 9/2 = LOST
A 2 year old group 2 event kicks the day off here & it looks a decent race too, where you could make a case for quite a few but in my mind none more so than the Richard Hannon trained THUNDER STRIKE. This colt has offered up pretty solid form this season since making a winning debut back early may. He has produced two solid placed efforts over 6f in group 2 events & in my mind had they been over today's 5f he may have won, he certainly looks as if today's drop back in trip is a positive. Last time out ran a solid second in very valuable handicap at York which again came over 6f & had it been over 5f he may have won it. Champion Jockey Richard Hughes takes the ride which is never a negative thing. The only concern may be the fact that the ground is good to soft (which may sound contradictory, based on what i have said above) but he did win a race really well at epsom on ground good (good to soft in places) so this was enough to persuade me that it shouldn't be too much of a problem. All in all this looks a good opportunity for THUNDER STRIKE to go close here & while a non runner this morning has effected the places to only 2, in my mind & on the facts he looks to have a good chance still of filling one.
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