Kempton Park -
12:50 - DUBAI PRINCE - 4 Point Win @ 7/4 = LOST (Pulled up)
This looks a decent novice hurdle on paper & no doubt a case could be made for several of these runners but for me the one who stands out the most is DUBAI PRINCE, who could hardly have been more impressive on hurdling debut a month ago. Once a winner at group 3 level on the flat, John Ferguson's 5 year old made a winning start over hurdles last time out at Leicester over today's trip of a 2 miles. That race was undoubtedly a weaker affair but he jumped slickly & shot clear to win by 6 lengths after never having to be asked by jockey Dennis O'Regan, winning in a manner that suggested he had plenty more to give. That was he first racecourse appearance for over 450 so he is entitled to be plenty sharper for it. This isn't a gimme by no means with some smart performers also going to post but DUBAI PRINCE showed real promise first time out & with improvement likely he looks one to side with.
15:45 - JUNCTION FOURTEEN - 1.5 Points EW @ 7/1 = WON
Emma Lavelle has been enjoying a fine season so far & she looks to hold decent claims here with the lightly raced JUNCTION FOURTEEN. The 4 year old makes only his 4th racecourse appearance today & has performed with plenty of credit, showing progression with each run so far. There seems no reason why he cannot continue that improvement now switching his attention to handicaps, last time out over 2m 4f in a novice event he ran a good race to win late on by a head, staying on strongly in the final stages which would indicate that the extra furlong today should have further positive impact. Leighton Aspell gets the ride today, a jockey who has been in good form recently himself & has a strike rate of 37.50 % when teaming up with Emma Lavelle. 14 runners due to go for this one but JUNCTION FOURTEEN looks easily the least exposed & has shown steady improvement each run so far, which means it would come of no surprise to see him improve further & run a big race here with conditions looking set to suit. The early 7/1 looks a nice price & is worth getting on EW.
Wolverhampton -
15:45 - TAXIFORMISSBYRON - 1.5 Points EW @ 6/1 = LOST (4th)
Regular readers will remember that i tipped this horse last friday, since he looked to have been found a good opportunity to go close off a price which looked far too big (16/1 SP), he put in a good performance to run out the eventual 2nd returning nice EW money. This 3 times AW winner took the route back into handicap company nicely after some efforts that didn't best reflect him in claimers, that race came in 0-65 company & the drop into 0-60 company today makes him appealing. His rating has slipped to 60 & is as low as it has been since october, so realistically he looks capable of taking a race like this from his current mark. Admittedly this is low grade stuff & horses at this level often fail to confirm on what looks promising form, if that proves to be the case here then so be it. For me though this looks like a nice opening for TAXIFORMISSBYRON to go close once more, if turning up in similar mood as last friday then there's no reason why he shouldn't be getting involved.
No comments:
Post a Comment