Monday 14th October 2013 - Daily Tips

The weekend was a quiet one from me, but back today with a couple of selections that look worth the bet.

Salisbury -

14:50 DUTCH ROMANCE WIN 11/10 (13/8 SP) = WON

The Charlie Hills Trained 2 YO filly made an encouraging debut last time out, running on strongly to take 4th after coming from back in the field, she should be more the wiser for the run & this race on the face of things looks a good opportunity to do better on just her second start. That debut came over today's trip over 7f at Newbury on soft ground & in a 12 strong field she hinted at some ability when able to quicken & run on strongly in the final furlong to get a close 4th. That run came in a class 4 maiden & drops into a class 5 today which on paper looks an easier task. The horse who DUTCH ROMANCE finished a neck behind on debut has gone out & won since in a class 5 maiden & while that is not concrete evidence that DUTCH ROMANCE should be winning it is a good indication & the manner of her staying on finish in that debut suggest that with perhaps only slight improvement she should be up to winning a race of this sort. The booking of Ryan Moore is also a positive addition since when it comes to top jockeys making the difference on rides they don't get much better than Moore on his day. The main dangers look to be Joohaina & Aertex The former also ran with credit on debut when finishing fourth at kempton in this class but has been off for over 100 days since & will make her first appearance to turf today, Aertex although only 8/15 on debut in this class at goodwood she is another who looks as if the run should bring her on & anything entered by the Hannon/Hughes combo should command respect. Alumina is a debutant for Andrew Balding & while she has a decent pedigree & comes from a good yard who can ready one, i think she would have to run a really big race on debut to take this. All in all Dutch Romance brings into the race the strongest form & with conditions that look favourable & Moore on board i think she wouldn't require too much more than she showed on debut to get really involved here. Looks worth the bet despite the short price.

ALSO, DUTCH ROMANCE & DEVILS BRIDE (13:15 Limerick) IN A DOUBLE @ 2/1 = WON

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