Saturday 27th July 2013 - Daily Tips

Today's racing looks head & shoulders above anything else that has been on offer this past week, the highlight of which is the card at Ascot which brings some racing from the top drawer,  have done my best to cover this card in full along with fancies from the other cards around today. While today is good racing there are a lot of big field races so (not that i don't anyway) the order of the day has to be siding with EW value. Hopefully can round off a good week of profit, here they are;

Ascot -

14:05 - Best EW Fig Roll 10/1 = LOST

Group 3 2 year old fillies race kicks off the afternoon at ascot & i have gone with the Hughes/Hannon horse Fig Roll. Offers up some decent form in group 2 & a nice win in listed company, the pick of that group 2 form was when finishing 4 of 23 over C&D at the Royal meeting, admittedly that was over 5f but has won at listed level over 6f & ran a modest 4 of 8 in a group 2 last time out. This form coupled with her opening mark which could prove lenient compared to some others in the race make her a decent prospect of reaching the place money at this price.

14:40 - Best EW Fehaydi 10/1 & Defendant 12/1 = LOST

Fehaydi has some produced some decent form in this class off today's mark of late, the pick of which when finishing 7 of a big field 27 over C&D towards the back end of june. If repeating that sort of run off the same mark in this field then could potentially go close. Defendant ran a decent 3rd last time out in her only appearance at this level & considering Sir Mark Prescott has his horses in good form at the moment he could come on from that, goes off same mark but ridden by handy apprentice Robert Tart who is claiming 5lb who if getting things right in the saddle could steer this colt into the money. Small EW.

15:15 - Best EW Es Que Love 14/1 & LOST

                           Redvers 12/1 LOST

                           Head Of Steam 33/1 - Small Stake LOST

                           Trail Blaze 33/1 - Small Stake = PLACED (2/29)

This is an extraordinary sized field comprised of 29 runners & in such circumstances it is usually hard to tip something with any real confidence because what ever wins is going to need a bit of luck & things to pan out the right way. Certainly wouldn't advise any serious stake money here so thought i'd pick out a few that look to potentially have the chance of making the frame at big prices (5 places). Es Que Love has some solid form in big field handicaps & goes off a mark 2lb lower than when finishing 2/19 at Newmarket two runs back so could easily be up there again. Redvers is another who has solid form for finishing at the right end of big fields, off same mark as last two when finishing 5/16 & 7/27 at Newmarket & Ascot, champion jockey Hughes booked on the ride so again if the race pans out right then could be there or thereabouts. Head of Steam & Trail Blaze are two that looks to have a squeak of making the places on the pick of there form & anything is possible in this field so they look worth a very small EW dabble at nice big prices.

16:25 - Best EW Ocean Tempest 8/1 = NON RUNNER

Amatuer rider's up for this one so not sure how things should really turn out, one that does look interesting is ocean tempest. Has some solid place form in class 2's over 8 off this mark which should transfer well into today's drop in class (class 3) hasn't run 7f at this level yet but has had the experience over 7f & if able to cope with the sharpness then this gelding looks a decent EW bet.

Newmarket -

14:45 - Best EW Clayton 15/2 = WON

Opted for Clayton EW here & it looks a good bet, Offers up some solid place form figures in class 2 handicaps off today's mark & this form could be well in considering today's run comes in class 3. Was Poor last time out over 9f but if putting that behind him today returning to 10f he could be back challenging for the places, The top drawer Tom Queally has the ride today which can only be viewed as a positive & looks a decent EW value bet.

15:55 - Best EW Rene Mathis 20/1 = LOST

Offers up some solid place form of late, finishing 2nd & 3rd last two runs in this class off marks of 82 & 85, goes off 86 today but considering that was a good performance last time off 85 that shouldn't harm this gelding's place chances. Also going off lowest weight & in my eyes could ultimately be overpriced & is worth the small EW punt.

York -

13:50 - Best EW Maven 7/1 = LOST

The two market favourites here look worth avoiding in my opinion considering they are both too short for the EW & both come into this on the back of a victory in maiden company & you can never be certain how maiden form transfers into handicaps. Going with Maven here, admittedly isn't showing the most exciting form but was a winner over in this class over the trip 2 runs back off 3lb lower & does have some place form here at york in this class if you go back a bit, against this field looks as if she might just be able to run a big race, small stakes though.

14:05 - Best EW Les Troyense 8/1 = LOST & Medhi 14/1= LOST

Les Troyense was not disgraced when finishing 6/13 on his handicap debut in this country & has some regular place form to offer up running in Dubai, 1lb lower than last time today & F tylicki booked for the ride who has been in some decent form of late. In this field looks as if this Godolphin trained horse could make a good claim for the places & worth the EW play. It also looks as if a small EW stake on market outsider medhi could be worthwhile, has slowly been coming down the ratings from the low 100's to now going off 88. Has shown some average form when contesting in group 3 events, if regaining some old form off this new mark & at this level should could be more competitive than his price suggests.

15:30 - Best EW Mississippi 12/1 = LOST & Tarooq 16/1 = LOST

Another Big field handicap up here, with it being 4 places thought id have to pick a couple EW's out. Mississippi has some decent place form in big fields most notably when finishing 6 of 30 at the curragh last month, goes off same mark today & has a shout at a nice EW price. Tarooq has been sliding down the weight & looks potentially well handicapped against these going off lowest weight, best form came off a rating off 100 (80 today) at class 1 listed level back in march & ran a good 7/20 last time out over today's C&D off 2lb higher. If displaying some of that old form here today off a nice mark could potentially go close at a nice EW price.

16:40 Best EW Mister Pagan 10/1 = LOST

Didn't find too much to shout about in this field but Mister Pagan in my mind looks as if he could be one of the strongest, admittedly there isn't too much to go on so i could get this wrong but at 10/1 looks a value for a small EW punt, ran 4 of 16 last time out in class 4, today a class 3 but doesn't look all that much better & runs here today off the same mark but is ridden by 7lb claiming apprentice Jordan Nelson, if he can put that to good use Mister Pagan could make a real effort to make the frame.

Lingfield -

20:30 Best EW Royal Sea 7/1 = LOST & Spirit Of Gondree 16/1 = LOST

Starting with Royal Sea, Looking through his records, shows some decent form on the AW & Has been getting involved in class 4 & 5 races recently finishing midfield. Drops back to class 6 tonight & going off lowest mark for a while of 58 (has won of 60), Robert Tart on board tonight who was the rider the last time this gelding won, on the form looks to have as good as chance of any. Spirit of Gondree is another who goes of his lowest mark for a while & has some decent form figures particularly over tonight's trip of 10 furlong, best of which when finishing 5th of 14 & 3rd of 12 in pair of class 6 handicaps at kempton back in march, 3lb lower than that tonight & looks to have a chance on making the frame at a nice EW price of 16/1.

Newcastle -

15:05 Best EW Gatepost 5/1 = LOST

Has been coming down the ratings for sometime & looks to be off quite a lenient mark today considering this gelding shows some solid form in class 2 races (today class 3) off higher marks. finished 4/11 last time out over this trip & in class above off 2lb higher so if replicating that run here today he could potentially go very close.