Saturday 13th July 2013 - Daily Tips

Saturday 13 July 2013

Right here we have it, first day of tips/analysis and as we are just starting out for the moment we won't be covering all races but will be selecting a few picks that represent good value, of course as we go on the coverage will become greater and if there is anything particular that you wish to ask me to give an opinion on then please don't hesitate. So just a few for today here they are -

Newmarket

15:15 - I'm So Glad 25/1 - Each Way = Place (3/19) 

This looks like it should be a tight affair like many big field handicaps. Lots of potential winners here however one that catches the eye as really good value is Mick Channon's runner I'm So Glad, admittedly she hasn't had the best 2013, having said this she has been running over various shorter trips and the return to 7f looks like it should suit considering she won two 7f races here at Newmarket off a similar official rating and in the same class with the ground GF (as it is today) towards the end of last season. Charles Bishop rode for both of those two victories and he is once again aboard today and is claiming 3lb. Taken all this into account she looks to be a very good value each way punt and I think this filly has much more of a chance of making the frame than her 25/1 price tag suggests.

York

15:30 - Jwala 16/1 - Each Way = Won (1/9)

Heeraat looks as if its going to go in as a short priced favourite for this one and I think that this is slightly unjust, although he ran a credible 6th in a big field at Royal Ascot on his latest appearance and does have steady form figures for his previous runs I dont think going off the same mark of 107 today as that Ascot run merits his shortish price tag. So the value looks to be with something that solid each way claims and I think Jwala has just that, this filly is on the back of two good runs over the trip in the same class races as today and finishing second in both of these means that the 16/1 price tag could prove to be incredibly generous considering she is off the same mark of 101. At this price Jwala looks a really good each way bet which represents solid value.

16:40 Wyborne 12/1 - Each way = Lost (5/14) & Eagle Rock 10/1 - Each Way = Won (1/14)

This is another race where the red hot favourite Big Time Billy looks like it is going to be well backed, this is somewhat confusing to me, while it did win really well last time out it has been slapped with a 12lb increase and I just think that is almost definitely enough to see it run nowhere near as commanding as last time out. there are a couple here at nice prices that could well be worth the E/W money. Starting with Wyborne who was third behind today's fav Big Time Billy and stayed on well towards the finish but unlike the fav goes off the same mark of 80 today, which I think gives him a much better chance of running well and getting in the frame. Secondly and perhaps the stronger of the two picks here is the Franny Norton ridden Eagle Rock, who is a horse that is slowly creeping down the ratings and this could well be his time to strike. it has been running over a mixture of trips of late but does have some steady form over today's trip of 16f off higher marks, this together with his appealing price tag make Eagle Rock a sound each way prospect.