Afternoon Cards -
Ayr -
Just the two picks on this card here today, with the ground soft(heavy in places), this puts a lot of races into the unknown with the majority of runners not races on anything worse than good. Have picked a few EW that have previous form on today's ground.
14:30 Best EW Breezolini 11/2 = LOST
The only one in this race to have had multiple runs in today's ground, showing some decent form off higher marks in those runs, most notably when winning a class 5f event at doncaster in heavy ground off 5lb higher back in july last year. Also ran a creditable 2nd of 1o at today's course over a furlong further in very similar conditions as today. If bringing this sort of game forward today & combined with the fact that the others have very little experience between them on this ground then breezloni can go close, while the price is decent enough the EW value is there.
16:30 Best EW Steer By The Stars 5/1
The decsion again here is based mostly on form on today's ground, Won a 7f event at catterick back in october in conditions as today's & won comfortably off 2lb higher. Not been given a crack at soft/heavy ground off a decent mark since then & although today's trip is over 8f i think this filly shouldn't find it too much trouble as she has the ground heavily in her favour & is worth the EW.
Wolverhampton -
15:45 Best EW Winnie Perry 6/1 = LOST
Finished a good second of 11 runners 12 days ago at lingfied, over today's trip, in same class & running off the same mark. This suggests that he could be every bit as competitive in today's race. Has been coming down the weights for poor runs on turf, that run last time out his first outing on the AW over this trip & he looked to relish it. At 6/1 today looks a solid EW bet.
16:15 Best EW Avonvalley 14/1
Avonvalley looks as if he may have found himself a good opening here to have a solid crack at the places. has come back down the weight slightly to arrive at a C&D winning mark today. Won over the C&D back in march with today's jockey on for that one. Ran a creditable 4th last time out at lingfield off 1b higher, is reproducing that sort of form here this gelding can lay down a claim for the EW money.
16:45 Best EW Blazing Dessert 8/1
This gelding shows some of his best form on the AW, admittedly most of it comes over 12 furlong races but also showed form over 14f on turf when finishing 2/8 2 runs back. Ran over 14f on the Aw at Southwell back in may & finished midfield but off 6lb higher, down to lowest mark for a while now & has won over 12f off higher marks. Off this mark looks as if should be able to challenge for the places at a decent EW price.
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