Not too much racing on offer today, so I have tried to pick out something that looks of value from every race, where as usually when there are more cards on offer I try to stick to what looks like the few best bets from each card.
Ayr - (mostly very small fields here today so hard to find too many decent EW bets)
14:30 - Best E/W Barney Mcgrew 5/1 = WON (1/7)
7 runner handicap where the favourite is bound to be well supported after winning his last two, but both of those came off a lower weight, that's up another 7lb today & now goes off a mark that is much higher than any of his previous winning marks. So it could pay to side with Barney Mcgrew who was a group 3 winner a few years back & although not shown anywhere near that form recently he has been running over 5 & 6f in class 3 & 4, was raced in a class 5 7f last time & ran a creditable 3/12, down another 1lb today 7 inform jockey Paul Mulrennan takes the ride. Should go well again today & wouldn't need much more than a repeat of his last run to go close here. Worth the EW while the price is available.
15:05 - Grand Diamond 13/8 Win = WON (1/4)
A interesting little 4 runner handicap here where a case could be made for at least 3 of them, however this time I think it is worth siding with the favourite. The deciding factor in that has to be the fact in won over C&D off the same mark a week ago. Up from class 6 to a class 5 but is also ridden by 7lb claiming apprentice (was on the for C&D win latest). As long as the price doesn't go too short it is worth a punt on the nose as there is no reason why this gelding cannot win again off the same mark.
15:40 - Fitz Flyer 9/4 Win = WON (1/4)
Another small field here for this one and again cases can be made for 3 of them, Midnight Dynamo is likely to be popular having won over C&D 2 runs back, however is up to a new mark now & looked to struggle a bit over 6f in class 3 last time out, today's trip will suit & drops to class 4 but the I think the handicapper might just have the better of him off this mark. Its worth taking the chance on Fitz Flyer who admittedly seems to find it hard to win but may have found a gap here. Is slowly coming down the OR & has largely been running in class 2's showing some good place form here & there in big fields. Didn't get a clear run last time out & also didn't benefit from wide draw, Joe Fanning up for the ride today & if this gelding produces one of his better runs he can take a long awaited win.
16:15 - Someone's Darling 11/8 Win = WON (1/4)
Yet again a small field race, Someone's darling looks the best on form & going off lowest weight. She ran a good second off 2lb lower over C&D recently & this looks easier. Has looked in good form this year, while none of the others offer as good immediate form, Someone's Darling looks the best bet.
17:15 - Best EW Script 7/1 = PLACED (3/9) or Hab Reeh 6/1 = LOST
This looks a tight affair & a tight market is sure to confirm that. Script was a good third off the same mark last Thursday & providing this doesn't come too soon this filly can go well again, She was staying on well last time so the step up to 6f today looks as if it could help not hinder. Hab Reeh has some decent form over the trip & in this class, most notably when finishing 2 of 16 at thirsk off just 1lb lower & a repeat of that run could see this gelding go close here. Both looks to have solid chances of making the frame at these prices.
Cartmel -
14:15 - Best Bet Macarthur 3/1 win = LOST (3/9)
This race looks as if it will be settled by the 3 who are grouped tightly at the front of the market; Smart Ruler, Macarthur & Dr Dalwhinny. All have something to offer but I think Macarther brings the most solid form into the race & would be a Ideal EW bet in this field, this price is a bit too short for that but is still worth a small punt on the nose. Finished 2nd of 14 last time out off the same mark, in addition to this put in a good run to finish 2nd over 17f in a class 4 handicap off 4lb lower & should have really won that day but for a poor jump last. Another 2nd has come over 19f so today's 18f could be the one and in this field he could well take the spoils for a first time since hurdling.
14:45 - Best EW Executive Hall 5/1 = WON (1/12)
Hard to find any in this big field that have any form that is really worth getting excited about with none of these winning at any point recently. Executive hall has the most consistent place form of late & looks one of the most likeliest to get up for place money here. 3rd over C&D second to last time out when patiently ridden off a mark of 86, goes off 87 today but is ridden by 7lb claiming apprentice Craig Gallagher. should go well here and has a good chance of making the frame.
15:55 - Alba King 5/4 Win = LOST - Best EW Saddlers Deal 20/1 = LOST (3/7)
Alba King was an eased winner over 16f at southwell 8 days ago & despite being hit with the 7lb penalty, he has won off a higher mark than this over 17f when hurdling so could potentially be good value to win under this penalty now chasing. One at a much bigger price which looks as if it could suprise a few & stake a claim for the place money is Saddlers Deal. Dropped in class today & had his mark reduced by 5lb, running over a trip where he has seen some of his best form. Today could see this experienced gelding put in a big performance.
Beverley -
19:00 - Saint Thomas 7/4 Win
Has a lot in his favour today does Saint Thomas, has real solid form of late not finishing outside of the place money in last 5 starts including finishing 2nd and 3rd both over C&D off the same mark as today. That 2nd came in a class 4, back down to class 5 company today. Franny Norton on board today & she has had the ride on him before reaching place money on both occasions & today does look as if the pair can go one better by being first past the post.
No comments:
Post a Comment