Good to return today after a week off. With the bad weather up & down the country already claiming two of NH meetings i have decided to focus only on the AW card at lingfield today, where there are some interesting race & a few selections that look worth the money.
Lingfield -
13:25 - KEENES POINT - 0.5 Point EW @ 14/1 = NON RUNNER & DOZY JOE - 0.5 Points EW @ 16/1 = LOST
This looks a tricky looking handicap over 7f where despite plenty looking in with chances those at the head of the market look fairly short & a couple i have picked out could well be overpriced. First up KEENES POINT for John Hills looks an interesting one now fitted with first time blinkers. Would appear to be less exposed than most of these, a winner of a Lingfield maiden back in January & showed another respectable performance on his only other outing here, when finishing a running on fourth over C&D back in August. That race came in 0-75 company & the drop to 0-70 company today could see him well off. Recently gelded & the fitting of blinkers could help him produce & improved effort & at the prices looks worth the EW. DOZY JOE showed some encouraging form at this sort of level on various AW tracks back in winter 2012, including a couple of good 2nds over (one over C&D) in stronger races than this one (0-75, 0-70 today), recently made reappearance after over 350 days off so it is likely he will have needed the run & should certainly be better for it, today's booking of Robert Winston looks a more encouraging one & in a race that realistically is wide open it looks worth taking a small chance on DOZY JOE at a big price.
14:00 - JOYOUS - 4 Point WIN @ 3/1 = LOST (3rd)
Dean Ivory's filly was far from disgraced when running on to take a solid second on her handicap debut a few weeks ago & in fairness she was probably a little unlucky not to win after not enjoying the clearest of runs. Ivory's 4 year old showed steady progression in her 4 maiden efforts & took to the surface over C&D well last time out. Has been raised 3lb in the handicap for that close 2nd but she still looks relatively well in here when you consider further improvement is certainly not out of the question. There was plenty to like about her run last time out, she showed a nice change of gear up the straight to come from the back, staying on powerfully & with a cleaner passage she may have got there. Of course others in with a shout here, the pick of those would probably be Parisian Pyramid who has plenty of old form which suggests he should be up to taking a race of this nature but has been out of sorts lately & JOYOUS an exposed sort who looks on the up is certainly preferred. Winston who enjoys a respectable strike rate when riding for Dean Ivory takes the ride again which looks positive & if the tactics go to plan here she would appear to have a solid chance.
14:35 - MODERNSTONE - 2 Points EW @ 5/1 = PLACED (2nd)
This lightly raced filly continued her progression last time out when a narrow winner over C&D & looks as though another big challenge could be on the cards. William Knight's filly appeared to relish the step up in trip & despite having to go the long way round (caught very wide on the turn) she managed to dig deep, staying on to get up near the line. Looks less exposed than plenty in this race & since she has steadily improved so far it isn't out of the question to assume she can improve further. There is no doubt this is a stronger race in depth than last time out with a host of dangers but she will get plenty of weight all round & will race of a lowly 8 stone. Andrea Atzeni boast an impressive 67% strike rate when riding for William Knight at Lingfield & unsurprisingly gets the booking again. Overall this is no easy task but MODERNSTONE looked a potential horse on the up last time & if in the same mood here she can go close.
ALSO JOYOUS & MODERNSTONE DOUBLE - 1 Point Win @ around 25/1
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